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GOLD BASEL III: CATEGORY 5 HURRICANE!

This article was contributed by The Wealth Research Group.

I don’t know when it started for me, but at one point or another, my passion for traveling the globe became an obsession. Some people are fully content with their hometown environment, with their immediate surroundings, and feel no urge to explore other regions of the world; I’m not one of them. To the contrary, I really want to see as much as I can of Planet Earth and my next plans include Australia, South America, and Iceland in the next 24 months.

In South America, for example, on the shores of Peru, some five million seabirds, named cormorants and boobies, come to breed and form epic-sized colonies.

Each and every morning, the birds leave the land and head out to the deep blue, the Pacific Ocean, where a strong current, called the Humboldt, carries with it shoals of anchovies, which come to feast on the tiny krill.

Before they know it, though, the anchovies become prey themselves and are carpet-bombed by the seabirds, which, using the wind, can dive down to six meters (20 feet) and commence a feeding frenzy.

The birds are assisted by the dolphins, which are also attracted to the anchovy shoals and push them up to the surface. It’s a total double-whammy!

With today’s technology, sitting at home with your laptop in front of you, coffee in one hand, and headphones in your ears, one can watch this incredible event in a high-quality documentary film.

What I love about this ecosystem of seabirds, dolphins, anchovies, and krill is that it is undisturbed in nature. An observer can look at this from the sidelines and feel that it isn’t fair, that the anchovies should be more careful and less naïve, or that someone should alert sharks to the situation. It’s funny how an onlooker can always make a judgment call that there’s something “wrong,” an error that must be “fixed.” We feel an urge to add our input into an evolutionary food chain that has been in existence for tens of thousands of years.

In human societies, we aren’t left alone to our own devices either; every eco-system, be it a household, corporation, classroom, nation, or the stock market, an overruling body is creating limitations to the unrestricted rules of engagement.

Last year, these overruling bodies and governments forced entire countries and populations to remain confined to their homes, for instance.

This is causing all sorts of unintended consequences, reactions that could not have been foreseen to the initiatives that governments enacted.

Another example of creating an artificial eco-system goes on in the precious metals world, where the LBMA and COMEX allow derivatives of silver and gold to be traded in multiples of their real supply.

This leveraged marketplace has long been criticized by holders of physical gold and silver, since, in their view and according to most statistics and surveys, had this “paper” trading platform not been in existence, the price of gold, but especially of silver, would be far higher.

Basel III is a set of international regulations dealing with bank capital adequacy, stress testing, and overall market liquidity.

Basel III will go into effect on June 28, 2021, for European banks, and January 1, 2022, for UK banks.

The big change is that gold will become a risk-free Tier 1 asset, which will make it more expensive to buy and sell unallocated gold.

If this were a hurricane, the change would be labeled Category 5!

A tier 1 asset is the best description of gold, in my opinion, anyways. In three weeks from now, the rest of the world will adopt the Basel III regulations, which we believe is a critical milestone if you own precious metals!

The post GOLD BASEL III: CATEGORY 5 HURRICANE! first appeared on SHTF Plan – When It Hits The Fan, Don’t Say We Didn’t Warn You.

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DON’T GO BROKE!

This article was contributed by Future Money Trends.

Having trouble buying gold at a decent price? Don’t worry, you’re not the only one because premiums have gone through the roof with shortages on many gold coins.

Here are 3 Actions You Can Take to Diversify With Gold Immediately

  1. Physical coins: Miles Franklin has been in business since the 1990s and owner Andy Schectman has let us know that for our readers, he will beat ANY price. We receive ZERO referral fees or commissions – this is purely an unbiased recommendation and who we buy from ourselves. You can call him at 800-255-1129.
  2. Sprott physical gold trust: it’s the only fund I trust that holds real verified gold, and it’s stored in Canada as an added benefit for country diversification. You can buy it on the New York Stock Exchange under the symbol PHYS.
  3. To achieve maximum potential to the upside, you’ll want to look at a few core mining shares. Be very selective and only partner with the right people because the management teams matter more than the gold in the ground itself when it comes to mining stocks. To read our full profile of our top recommendation and largest holding, please click here.
governments, central anksWe consider gold to be a cash-equivalent – it’s the ultimate form of money.

Central banks own it and have been net buyers since 2009.

With the recent actions taken by governments and central banks worldwide, you should consider having a higher than normal position in gold, in our opinion.

I personally have half of my cash in gold coins and half in U.S. dollars.

The world is facing a currency crisis, a reset of what we’ve all come to know as normal. Just know that things are not normal at all.

Be prudent during this time.

We will continue to provide regular updates and investment ideas straight to your inbox.

Click here to review the latest analyst report of the company with a their 1 year price target.

The post DON’T GO BROKE! first appeared on SHTF Plan – When It Hits The Fan, Don’t Say We Didn’t Warn You.

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LASSIE COME HOME: GOLD RETURNS TO $1,900!

This article was contributed by Future Money Trends. 

Gold has officially broken out above $1,900!

Under the hood, the gold stocks indices have begun their rally even sooner than gold has!

Gold Mountain (TSX-V: GMTN & US: GMTNF) is one of only a handful of gold companies that are bringing a new gold mine into production in 2021.

According to management, Gold Mountain (TSX-V: GMTN & US: GMTNF) will be in production by November, at the latest!

We’re catching this company, right as they’re commencing their next drill program, with the purpose of further increasing the resource.

Management estimates that the previous owners had spent CAD$50mn on the project, even though Gold Mountain (US: GMTNF) paid only CAD$10mn for it!

Once in production, its cost is set to be only $554/ounce, making it one of the lowest-cost mines I’ve come across.

Secondly, Ciena (CIEN), featured in the August 2020 Watch List, which you can access HERE, has roared to an all-time high of $60/share, up 50%, since we featured it for the first time!

We’re thrilled about the implementation of Watch Lists and will compile one area, where all of the Watch Lists can be easily accessed with one click of a button!

The post LASSIE COME HOME: GOLD RETURNS TO $1,900! first appeared on SHTF Plan – When It Hits The Fan, Don’t Say We Didn’t Warn You.

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Russia’s $186 Billion Sovereign Wealth Fund Dumps All Dollar Assets

This article was originally published by Tyler Durden at ZeroHedge. 

Following a series of corporate cyberattacks that American intelligence agencies have blamed on Russian actors, Russia’s sovereign wealth fund (officially the National Wellbeing Fund) has decided to dump all of its dollars and dollar-denominated assets in favor of those denominated in euros, yuan – or simply buying precious metals like gold, which Russia’s central bank has increasingly favored for its own reserves.

Finance Minister Anton Siluanov

Finance Minister Anton Siluanov made the announcement Thursday morning at the annual St. Petersburg International Economic Forum.

“We can make this change rather quickly, within a month,” Siluanov told reporters Thursday.

He explained that the Kremlin is moving to reduce exposure to US assets as President Biden threatens more economic sanctions against Russia following the latest ransomware attacks. The transfer will affect $119 billion in liquid assets, Bloomberg reported, but the sales will largely be executed through the Russian Central bank and its massive reserves, limiting the market impact and reducing visibility on what exactly the sovereign wealth fund will be buying.

“The central bank can make these changes to the Wellbeing Fund without resorting to market operations,” said Sofya Donets, economist at Renaissance Capital in Moscow. “This in some sense a technical thing.”

Jordan Rochester, currency strategist at Nomura International PLC, said, “This is a transfer of euros from the central bank to the wealth fund, we’ll then see the central bank the holder of the USDs and it’s up to them to manage it. No initial market impact.”

The news isn’t a complete surprise: The Bank of Russia, Russia’s central bank, has steadily reduced its dollar holdings over the last few years amid increasing sanctions pressure from the US and Europe. That trend continued through President Trump’s term.

Just a few days ago, we reported that the Russian parliament had just authorized the sovereign wealth fund to buy gold through the central bank. However, the central bank reports its holdings with a six-month lag, making it impossible to determine its current holdings.

Russia’s gold holdings eclipsed its dollar reserves last year despite a halt in gold purchases. This was partly due to an increase in the value of its gold holdings with the rise in gold prices, and partly a function of the central bank’s continued efforts to shed dollar assets.

The wealth fund currently holds 35% of its liquid assets in dollars, worth about $41.5 billion, with the same amount in euros and the rest spread across yuan, gold, yen, and pounds. After this latest change, the fund’s assets will be held 40% in euros, 30% in yuan, 20% in gold, and 5% each in yen and pounds, Siluanov said.

Source: Bloomberg

 

The wealth fund holds savings from Russia’s oil revenues above a cutoff price and is used to help offset shortfalls when the market falls below that level. Together with illiquid assets, its total value is $185.9 billion.

A few years ago, Russian President Vladimir Putin warned that Washington was inadvertently accelerating de-dollarization with its aggressive financial sanctions, which were forcing its geopolitical adversaries to reduce their dependence on the greenback. Just last month, Russia reached a new milestone whereby fewer than 50% of its exports were paid for in dollars.

It appears that after years of steadily reducing its dependence on the dollar, Russia is about to intensify those efforts in a way that Washington will be forced to take notice.

The post Russia’s $186 Billion Sovereign Wealth Fund Dumps All Dollar Assets first appeared on SHTF Plan – When It Hits The Fan, Don’t Say We Didn’t Warn You.

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Why Is Paper Money Constitutional?

The official money of the United States today is paper currency. But that’s clearly not what the Constitution says. It says that gold and silver coins shall be the nation’s currency. 

How is that possible? I thought the Constitution was supposed to be the highest law of the land. I also thought that it was the responsibility of the U.S. Supreme Court to enforce the Constitution. Why then are Americans living under a paper-money monetary system rather than the system stipulated in the Constitution?

Article 1, Section 8, of the Constitution gives Congress the power to “coin money.” It is not given any power to “print” money. Coining money is not printing money. At the risk of belaboring the obvious, coining money entails making coins out of metals.

The Framers preferred coins made from gold and silver. How do we know this? Because of Article 1, Section 10, which states in part: “No State shall make any Thing but gold and silver Coin a tender in Payment of Debts.”

It would be difficult to get any clearer than that. So the question naturally arises: Why have the States made paper money a tender in payment of debts, given that the Constitution expressly limits them to making only gold and silver coin legal tender? And why hasn’t the Supreme Court forced the states to comply with the Constitution?

Equally important, why has the Supreme Court failed to force the federal government to comply with the Constitution? It’s clear that by the express language of the Constitution, the Framers, as well as our American ancestors, not only favored gold and silver coins as the official money of the United States but also engrafted such a system onto the Constitution itself? Isn’t it the responsibility of the Supreme Court to enforce the Constitution?

It was President Franklin Roosevelt who, along with his Congress, abrogated America’s founding monetary system. Citing the economic emergency of the Great Depression, Roosevelt and his Congress decreed that America would no longer use gold and silver coins as its official money. Instead it would resort to paper money as its official money. 

Roosevelt then went a step further. He ordered everyone to turn in his gold coins to the federal government. In return, they would receive paper money. Anyone who was caught owning gold coins — which had been the official, legal money of the American people for more than a century — would be criminally prosecuted for a felony.

There was at least one big problem, however, with Roosevelt’s actions: He didn’t secure a constitutional amendment prior to nationalizing gold and making paper money legal tender. Remember: the Constitution is the highest law of the land. It controls the actions of the president and Congress. The executive and legislative branches cannot amend the Constitution. They are required to comply with the Constitution.

Moreover, the Constitution does not provide an emergency exception. That means that its provisions remain fully operative and enforceable despite any emergency. 

Unfortunately, the Supreme Court abrogated its responsibility to enforce the Constitution, which enabled Roosevelt to get away with his monetary power grab. 

That’s how Americans have came to live under a paper-money system notwithstanding the clear language to the contrary in the Constitution. That’s also how federal officials have been able to confiscate the income and wealth of the American people through decades of monetary debasement.

The post Why Is Paper Money Constitutional? first appeared on Tenth Amendment Center.

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An Outlook For Gold

As we have noted, the Biden administration’s tax plan and the central bank’s modern monetary theory of creating as many dollars out of thin air as possible are setting up a “perfect storm” for precious metals, including gold. Physical assets are still a great way to protect your wealth and enhance your bartering power should the SHTF.

Talking about the outlook for gold and getting an update on Blue Lagoon Resources and the Dome Mountain project, Rana Vig, CEO of Blue Lagoon Resources tells us a bit about new news at his company, Blue Lagoon Resources. He also tells us what he thinks about gold prices and where we are in the market cycle, writes 2 is 1 YouTube channel. 

Rana Vig: Biden’s Tax Plan & The Central Bank Is Setting Up A “Perfect Storm” For Precious Metals

Gold and silver will continue to become more valuable as more stimulus is handed out. This is the “perfect storm” for gold and silver. Governments are going to continue to create more money and as it goes down, expect gold to go up to $7000, even, says Vig. It’s all perspective and timing.

Vig says he feels that cryptocurrency is here to stay, but so are gold and silver. People are stocking up on metals to protect themselves from a devastating economic situation that is coming down the road. Whether we see something happen this year, next year, or in the next few years, gold will be a hedge against government tyranny and an economic collapse that appears right now to be wholly intentional. -SHTFPlan

Vig also reminds listeners that copper is hitting new highs as well and could be a great option for ownership. Metals such as gold have been around as money for thousands of years and it has outlasted other government collapses. It is likely to do the same. As the currency continues to be devalued, gold will break out and surge higher.  Gold is about a long-term plan to protect your wealth, says Vig.

 

The post An Outlook For Gold first appeared on SHTF Plan – When It Hits The Fan, Don’t Say We Didn’t Warn You.

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POWELL IS EITHER DEAD WRONG OR A GENIUS!

This article was contributed by Portfolio Wealth Global. 

For months now, the theme has been that the economy is heating up.

If you free-search the term “Overheated Economy,” tons of articles, showing packed malls and fully-booked resorts appear.

The notion that bond yields are going to keep rising and that the FED must tighten soon is flawed in the eyes of FED Chair Powell.

If he’s wrong, the gloom-and-doom crowd believes inflation will get out of hand.

I want to show you Powell’s arguments that inflation will not rise above the 2.2%-2.4%, where the FED wants it to be for the next few years, and then I’ll show you where Powell could be wrong.

WHY DISINFLATION IS LIKELY

Disinflation doesn’t mean deflation. It means that inflationary expectations aren’t met.

It means that deficit spending and unsecured government debts are not going to cause a worst-case scenario, despite the in-your-face emotional rants of people who despise them.

Here’s why Powell believes disinflation (2.2%-2.4% long term) is more likely:

  1. Supply Chain Congestion: This is a big one. His reply is that any supply chain matters are fleeting and will be resolved. I agree. The capacity to manufacture in today’s world is nearly inexhaustible.
  2. Technological Boom: A crucial point is that breakthroughs in technology are making our lives much more affordable.

If I think about twenty years ago when people wanted to chat with a friend of theirs, while riding the bus, the SMS technology was expensive!

A text message used to cost a fortune. If I tried to live the same life I did twenty years ago, my life would be 50% cheaper than it is right now, so technology is driving prices down.

  1. Mature Economy: No robust economy with a long-standing currency system has ever suffered from crazy inflation.

It is true that all fiat currencies in history have gone to zero, but it’s also misleading since the population had ample time to exchange the old currency for the new one before the old expired into nothingness.

  1. Competitive Global Economy: In the 1970s, America was the clear dominator and no one else was even close. Today, the ability to produce and manufacture is uncanny and before companies raise prices, there better be a very good reason for it.
  2. Phillips Curve Theory Failed: In the last few years, we saw unemployment levels in the U.S. go down so much, yet inflation never became an issue. The jobs market was so tight that people were quitting left and right and companies still didn’t raise wages by that much, since they looked outside the U.S. for talent.

Courtesy: Zerohedge.com

Bonds have clearly been a horrible asset to hold in 2021, but with the 10-year bond dishing out 1.714%, as I write this, get inside the head of a pension fund manager, with billions to deploy and a mandate that he must hold government bonds.

He looks at the available supply of bonds and sees that in Europe, every government will borrow from you, but none of them will pay anywhere near what Washington will and some might even charge you interest!

Inflation might not become a pressing issue, so don’t bank your livelihood on hyperinflation.

Instead, take baby steps and do what’s right for you today, with the available information at your disposal, not with some theory that 51 years after we’ve gone on the fiat currency system, suddenly everyone will treat it like a house of cards.

It might not happen…

The post POWELL IS EITHER DEAD WRONG OR A GENIUS! first appeared on SHTF Plan – When It Hits The Fan, Don’t Say We Didn’t Warn You.

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NO RATE HIKES. GOT IT?

This article was contributed by Future Money Trends. 

One of Future Money Trends’ proudest moments in our newsletter’s history is covering the bullish case of Bitcoin when its price was $13/coin!

It’s been nearly nine years since, and Bitcoin is more relevant and important today than it ever was before.

Its technological adoption by the international community is now a thing of art.

Hype or not and government regulation or not, by this time in 2023, you’ll be seeing Bitcoin ATMs all around you and thousands of businesses accepting the cryptocurrency.

If anything can ever hope to materially change the currency ballgame and the dollar hegemony, it looks like Bitcoin would be it. Having said that, for Bitcoin to reach its reserve role will probably take 15-20 years to develop.

For now, the dollar is what we’re stuck with, unless you prefer one of the other fiat currencies…

 

Courtesy: Zerohedge.com

The global economy had plenty of chances to reinstitute gold as some sort of foundational part of its currency strategy. It has chosen not to do so, and there does not seem to be any strong political, academic, economic, financial, or regulatory will to advance any failsafe that includes it.

If you think about it, letting gold trade freely is actually in our best interest!

I like it when gold trades on the open market since I have an exact system for when to accumulate more ounces:

  1. When gold comprises less than 5% of my net worth. That’s the most important rule of thumb (asset allocation balancing)
  2. When its price falls by 15% or more (buying the dip).
  3. When real interest rates are negative (a hedge against the cost of holding cash)
  4. When my allocation towards stocks is excessive (a hedge against expensive markets)

Courtesy: Zerohedge.com

American consumerism is just not what it used to be!

The millennials saw the unfortunate problems endured by their parents in the 2008 Great Financial Crisis and they’re much more conservative in general.

They are even minimalists.

This fear of an overheated economy is really laughable.

The FED is not going to raise rates with unemployment rates for Asians at 6%, Hispanics at 7.9%, blacks at 9.6%, and whites at 5.4%!

Secondly, there are an estimated 1.6M job seekers who are actively looking and aren’t counted in the official numbers because of the way they are reported.

As you can see from the survey above, most Americans plan on saving their stimulus checks or paying down debt (80% of participants).

Courtesy: Zerohedge

Now, with the euphoria stage out of the way and options traders vanishing from the scene, if the CPI data doesn’t confirm a real threat of inflation (data comes out mid-April), we expect tech to continue leading for years to come.

Don’t be surprised to see rates continue to climb, but as we see it, the 85% rally in yields since the beginning of 2021 is overdone.

Gold has greatly suffered from this bond bear market in 2021. We believe that April might be the best time since June 2019 and March 2020 to own mining equities!

We’ll update on our highest-conviction ideas imminently!

The post NO RATE HIKES. GOT IT? first appeared on SHTF Plan – When It Hits The Fan, Don’t Say We Didn’t Warn You.

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GOLD FINALLY BOTTOMED: WHERE WERE YOU?

This article was contributed by The Wealth Research Group. 

It literally takes five minutes to fact-check that gold and CPI (Consumer Price Index) or the PCE (Personal Consumption Expenditures) don’t correlate with each other. Said differently, gold and inflation aren’t two peas in a pod.

Gold tracks real interest rates, of which inflation stats are 50% of the equation, with bond yields being the second half. The way to calculate real rates is by deducting inflation from the 10-yr Treasury yield. When the subtraction comes out negative, gold’s relevance is, by far, higher than at any other time, since it becomes disadvantageous to hold cash.

In the chart below, you’ll see nearly eighteen years of the 10-Year Treasury yield, adjusted for inflation:

The first thing you’ll notice is that it is currently negative. The last time it was such, gold peaked at over $1,900 in September 2011 and again at $2,069 on August 6th, 2020.

In other words, there is compelling reasoning behind the thesis that August’s rally to an all-time high above the elusive $2,000 was it, that it was the peak, and that we’ve entered a bear market again.

On the other hand, if we compare this period to 2008 and 2009, we can see that back then, the dollar went into the crisis already weak, after it was beaten down by the Japanese Yen and the Euro in the early 2000s.

So, when comparing the two periods, the first decade of this millennia saw a weak U.S. economy, compared with other nations, whereas the coronavirus crisis happened in the midst of an American boom period.

If anything, the 2020 pandemic resembled more of the 1990’s boom, which changed with 9/11 and the Twin Towers tragedy.

Incidentally, there was a regime change from Democrats to Republicans, from peacetime to war, from free markets to more government intervention, but Greenspan’s ZIRP policy caught America unprepared.

To summarize, the dollar was really strong, going into the Dotcom bubble, just as it was, going into March 2020. The market crash might have helped bring a regime change in both cases and, in both cases, the dollar got weak right after.

The demographics in the 2000s did not support a housing boom, so the artificially low rates only served to entice the wrong people to originate a mortgage, forcing banks to take on risks they otherwise would not have, had the FED kept rates normal.

Today, it seems like the housing market is strong and has legs to run, creating velocity of money again.


Courtesy: Zerohedge.com

As you can see, every once in a while, the bond market begins to tell itself a story of epic inflation, due to the easy-money policies, excessive deficits, and a myriad of additional factors, which it convinces itself are sure to bring an inflationary spiral.

Q1 of this year was horrible for bond prices since yields rose ferociously.

The 10-yr bond, which is the barometer of the asset universe, has soared by 85%, from just over 0.9% to 1.7% today.

Those who lent funds to Washington in early January have lost 53%!


Now, it is up to you to decide, whether you are about to allow the same people who have poisoned the well, basically since 1971, to brainwash the masses into thinking the world is coming to an end for the gazillionth time, scaring their followers out of owning stocks or getting into real estate, falsely chasing returns by piling endlessly into cyclical commodities, or if you are instead going to stay leveled, putting a portion of your savings into precious metals – not instead of investing, but on top of it!

Not Biden, nor Jerome Powell, and not even your favorite guru that you believe has the pulse and beat on the markets, can change one iota from this truth: equities and real estate are wealth generators.

As long as entrepreneurship and brainpower aren’t banned in this country, building, running and owning businesses and real estate in the booming areas, will always find a path to outperform any and all governmental stupidity or inefficiency.

Gold has bottomed, massive inflation is nowhere in sight and you must act.

 

The post GOLD FINALLY BOTTOMED: WHERE WERE YOU? first appeared on SHTF Plan – When It Hits The Fan, Don’t Say We Didn’t Warn You.

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SELL IT ALL!

This article was contributed by Future Money Trends.

As I scour the Web, I see two camps emerging. On one end are the inflation bubble believers, who trust only what they “can hold in their hand.” After 2008, they have fully developed the belief that the whole financial system is rigged and that it’s an artificial beast that will one day evaporate into thin air, just as “currency is printed from nothing.”

People who belong to this camp do not easily trust what they are told and want to stick with “God’s money,” which means gold and silver to them.

Its superiority over anything else is a given, in their eyes. The perspective they have is that markets go up because of currency printing and precious metals go down because of paper trading manipulation.

This camp does have offshoots, which you may find putting money into Bitcoin even though it is digital since it is outside of the banking system that’s controlled by Deep State governments in the West.

They dread the cashless society and have come to put no faith in the government to do the right thing.

This camp thinks of the elites as a group that works for itself using any and all means governmental, private, and quasi.

Although this camp is a clear minority, they pride themselves as being enlightened, calling the rest “a herd,” sheep that blindly trust Washington to tell them what to think.

The more I research their arguments, the more I see that this isn’t a small group.

In my opinion, this camp serves a great purpose: they put forth facts, theories, and opinions that are useful to keep others informed.

In the past year, though, we’ve also seen an avalanche of exaggerations and bullshit spread as if it was coming from this group in an effort to make bank from getting media attention to fears of grand-scale conspiracies.

It looks to me like some are utilizing and exploiting the deep-rooted mistrust in the elites to make eccentric claims.

I don’t like that and it only serves to defeat the purpose of exposing real controversies.

The watchdogs are now labeled as “fake news loonies” and that’s not what they are or what they stand for.

On the polar opposite of this camp are those that rely on the media and the establishment, not noticing that there’s a clear, purposeful, and distorted brainwashing propaganda initiative behind the mainstream press.

I’m astounded at most who make up this camp. The number of lies and deceitful activity, clandestine, and covert operations done in the shadows that have been fully exposed by supportive evidence is overwhelming.

The camp avoids the stock market altogether because they link the two worlds, that of the Deep State web of espionage and the collapse of the financial system, and would rather hold cash and gold in their portfolio.

To me, this is the travesty of the “sell it all” mentality.

In the past 40 years, since 1981, the S&P 500 index has gone from 133 points to 3,943 points. This represents an appreciation of 2,864%. At the same time, the NASDAQ composite has gone from 202 points in 1981 to 13,319 points in 2021, an appreciation of 6,493%.

Do I own gold? Absolutely. I believe that there are very few individual Americans that own a larger holding than mine. Do I own silver? Yes, I do. Do I own stocks and real estate? I absolutely do.

Though intoxicating and addictive, I choose not to connect how the world’s stock market behaves and how the government operates.

I look at facts and see that I want to own equities. Don’t hide from the world. Don’t think that only you can see the underlying truth and the rest are blind. I am not blind to the endless scandals out there; I just rose above it and decided that other people’s evil actions won’t shape my destiny.

 

The post SELL IT ALL! first appeared on SHTF Plan – When It Hits The Fan, Don’t Say We Didn’t Warn You.

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SELL IT ALL!

This article was contributed by Future Money Trends.

As I scour the Web, I see two camps emerging. On one end are the inflation bubble believers, who trust only what they “can hold in their hand.” After 2008, they have fully developed the belief that the whole financial system is rigged and that it’s an artificial beast that will one day evaporate into thin air, just as “currency is printed from nothing.”

People who belong to this camp do not easily trust what they are told and want to stick with “God’s money,” which means gold and silver to them.

Its superiority over anything else is a given, in their eyes. The perspective they have is that markets go up because of currency printing and precious metals go down because of paper trading manipulation.

This camp does have offshoots, which you may find putting money into Bitcoin even though it is digital since it is outside of the banking system that’s controlled by Deep State governments in the West.

They dread the cashless society and have come to put no faith in the government to do the right thing.

This camp thinks of the elites as a group that works for itself using any and all means governmental, private, and quasi.

Although this camp is a clear minority, they pride themselves as being enlightened, calling the rest “a herd,” sheep that blindly trust Washington to tell them what to think.

The more I research their arguments, the more I see that this isn’t a small group.

In my opinion, this camp serves a great purpose: they put forth facts, theories, and opinions that are useful to keep others informed.

In the past year, though, we’ve also seen an avalanche of exaggerations and bullshit spread as if it was coming from this group in an effort to make bank from getting media attention to fears of grand-scale conspiracies.

It looks to me like some are utilizing and exploiting the deep-rooted mistrust in the elites to make eccentric claims.

I don’t like that and it only serves to defeat the purpose of exposing real controversies.

The watchdogs are now labeled as “fake news loonies” and that’s not what they are or what they stand for.

On the polar opposite of this camp are those that rely on the media and the establishment, not noticing that there’s a clear, purposeful, and distorted brainwashing propaganda initiative behind the mainstream press.

I’m astounded at most who make up this camp. The number of lies and deceitful activity, clandestine, and covert operations done in the shadows that have been fully exposed by supportive evidence is overwhelming.

The camp avoids the stock market altogether because they link the two worlds, that of the Deep State web of espionage and the collapse of the financial system, and would rather hold cash and gold in their portfolio.

To me, this is the travesty of the “sell it all” mentality.

In the past 40 years, since 1981, the S&P 500 index has gone from 133 points to 3,943 points. This represents an appreciation of 2,864%. At the same time, the NASDAQ composite has gone from 202 points in 1981 to 13,319 points in 2021, an appreciation of 6,493%.

Do I own gold? Absolutely. I believe that there are very few individual Americans that own a larger holding than mine. Do I own silver? Yes, I do. Do I own stocks and real estate? I absolutely do.

Though intoxicating and addictive, I choose not to connect how the world’s stock market behaves and how the government operates.

I look at facts and see that I want to own equities. Don’t hide from the world. Don’t think that only you can see the underlying truth and the rest are blind. I am not blind to the endless scandals out there; I just rose above it and decided that other people’s evil actions won’t shape my destiny.

 

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GOLD: SAY GOODBYE!

This article was contributed by Future Money Trends. 

We don’t think investors get it yet. FED Chair Powell didn’t “bomb” his latest speech; in his mind, he believes he did a great job and that the economy is behaving exactly how the central bank would like to.

If anything, Jerome Powell is saying that the FED’s easing won’t have to be extra-aggressive since the economy’s free-market forces are strong enough to drive it forward for the first time in a decade.

In other words, the FED isn’t worried about you or your portfolio dropping in the short-term. Instead, they’re celebrating America’s bullish recovery and are even pushing back against the market’s appetite for another stimulus round (monetary policy), saying that we have enough of it. Of course, the government is expected to continue on its fiscal pro-active approach, but the central bank wants to take a backseat.

What’s actually important to keep in mind is how right they are!

Courtesy: Zerohedge.com

As seen in the chart above, real yields are still at -0.6%. The FED is saying that we’re nowhere near a world of balanced-out yields, where bonds are worthy of people’s attention if they’re searching for income, so don’t expect them to suppress the natural rise for now.

Don’t forget that Janet Yellen is running the show at the Treasury. She is the former chair of the central bank and I’m certain she has a relationship with not only Powell but all of the governors on the board.

If this appointment of Yellen to the Treasury ends up being a sophisticated one, it is because the Deep State is thinking they want a full collaboration between the FED and the government. While they were shouting at Trump for intervening with the FED’s job, what they really meant was that he wasn’t in line with them. The bottom line is that they always wanted a consolidation of power.

Courtesy: Zerohedge.com

All of the signs are pointing towards this last Friday’s crash and rebound being the end or close to that, but not quite. Use the next 30-day period to position yourself in the markets. There will be volatility and I assume one last puke coming from the last of the heavy sellers coming towards mid-April.

The conclusions we’ve drawn here are:

  1. The FED isn’t going to do anything about this wrongfully-presumed market crash, which isn’t one at all – it’s the air leaking out of the SPAC bubble and is actually really good for markets.
  2. The FED is actually content with the way the recovery is evolving.
  3. Investors are now realizing the FED’s 2.0% inflation target could become true and they’re shuffling their holdings accordingly.
  4. Real rates are still negative, even after all of this.

So, what’s the deal with gold, then?

* Gold is now down 18% from the highs, which is right in line with what we wrote in August.

* The Senate just passed the $1.9tn stimulus package, which had a 70% chance of going through, so there’s definitely going to be volatility around that!

* Yields remain negative. The government remains extremely indebted. The populous is still pro-MMT and pro-UBI, so Biden will keep spending.

HOLD YOUR GOLD. Others may think this is the end for it but they are missing the big picture.

Gold has been left for dead since November’s vaccine announcement.

 

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It Is ALL BY DESIGN: The Great Reset Is Coming, Prepare For Digital Currency

If you think you have no liberty or freedom now, just wait until the Great Reset, and the elitists and ruling class demand you use their digital dollar.  This is all by design and everything will be tracked, traced, surveilled, monitored, and shut off if you don’t agree to willingly enslave yourself to these psychopaths.

Supporters of the World Economic Forum’s all-encompassing Great Reset agenda are eyeing BIG changes for the global monetary system.

Plans that might once have been dismissed as pure speculation or conspiracy theories are now being openly pushed by people who occupy the highest levels of power. -Stefan Gleason, Money Metals Exchange

If people allow a digital dollar to become a part of their lives, we will end up completely and wholly enslaved. Not that we aren’t now, but there will be no escape. Comply, or be shut off from buying food.

If the Federal Reserve, perhaps in coordination with the IMF, attains the ability to inject stimulus directly into digital wallets, then Quantitative Easing could take a whole new meaning. Central bankers could bypass Congress and distribute their own aid as they see fit – and dole out their own punishments as well.

Medical Journal: Get The COVID-19 Vaccine, Or Be Punished HARSHLY

Treasury Secretary Yellen recently told the New York Times, “Too many Americans really don’t have access to easy payment systems and to banking accounts, and I think this is something that a digital dollar — a central bank digital currency — could help with. I think it could result in faster, safer, and cheaper payments.”

But ankers and politicians do not work in our favor and any still believing they work for us, is delusional. A central bank digital currency might also result in the imposition of negative interest rates or the automatic deduction of taxes with no way for holders to escape. If you are guilty of “wrongthink,” expect to be punished for it monetarily. We have got to wake up and stop allowing other human beings to have any power or control over our lives. Stop the talk of transferring power and just cease to be a slave. This world is going down a dark path if we cannot realize we have no obligation to be slaves for any reason, whether the masters call it government or democracy or republic.

Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell told Congress last week that the Fed is indeed “looking carefully” at issuing a digital dollar, calling it “a high priority project for us.”

The best way to protect yourself is to own physical gold and silver. YOu can also work with your neighbors more locally and take to a barter system that could be mutually beneficial for all. Both will help remove power from the system and in the end, free you and your family from the permanent enslavement these people want to force on us all.

 

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Harry Dent: “Nothing Will Save You” From The Upcoming Market Crash

Harry Dent, a best-selling author, is warning of a 40% market plunge in April.  Dent says “nothing will you save you” either, as gold, silver, and bitcoin will all go to zero.  Dent says central banks are losing control.

“The Fed is losing absolute control,” he tells our Daniela Cambone in this exclusive interview. While he argues that the crash will be the worst of our lifetime, Dent predicts that the ensuing depression will not be decades-long. The popular pundit also warns that there is nowhere to hide to protect yourself from this crash, “Nothing can save you, not Bitcoin, not gold.” Dent explains how he sees Bitcoin as a superbubble that will correct 95% and why gold will be heading back down to $1,000 an ounce.

 

This crash, when it does finally happen, will be the nail in the coffin of the United States dollar, that’s for certain.  The Federal Reserve (central bank) has already begun to acclimate the populace to the acceptance of a wholly controlled digital dollar tied to a social credit score, much like China’s.

Anyone who thinks the slave state cannot possibly get worse is delusional at best. It should be obvious to most by now that the rulers will not be loosening the chains.

Why Central Bank Digital Currencies Are a Bad Idea

Is Dent wrong? Maybe. Only time will tell. A crash is becoming more likely. We already know the dollar is toast and it is only a matter of time before the entire house of cards goes up in flames so the world can all be put on a pittance of universal basic income in exchange for their obedience to the totalitarian surveillance control state the elitists are building right now.

Prepare the best way you can and make sure you know certain skills, such as how to barter, hunt, fish, and forage.  Skills can never be confiscated.

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These Are The Shadowy New York Financial Institutions That Forced Robinhood To Restrict Trading In Certain Stocks

This article was originally published by Michael Snyder at The End of the American Dream. 

Have you ever heard of the Depository Trust & Clearing Corporation?  What about Cede and Company?  If those names are foreign to you, then you don’t really understand how the core of our financial system really works.

A lot of people are blaming Robinhood CEO Vlad Tenev and the heads of other major trading platforms for the stock trading restrictions that we witnessed last week, but it was actually the DTCC that suddenly jacked up deposit requirements ten-fold.  Robinhood and other trading platforms were put in a vise-like grip, and they had no choice but to act.  Someone needs to investigate how these decisions were made at the DTCC, and if laws were broken those that were responsible for the decisions need to go to prison.

We are being told that retail traders needed to be brought under control “for their own good”, but it was the reckless short selling of the big hedge funds that actually set the stage of last week’s chaos.

Why doesn’t anyone ever talk about restricting their exceedingly foolish trading strategies?

Thanks to relentless buying by “the Reddit Army”, several major hedge funds got absolutely slaughtered last week, and that group included Melvin Capital

Melvin Capital, a premier Wall Street hedge fund entangled in the frenzy over GameStop (GME), lost 53% in January, a source familiar with the matter told CNN Business.

Melvin, a major short-seller of GameStop, bet that the company’s shares would drop. But, on January 11, GameStop announced new board members who could help it with digital sales. That set off a fury on Reddit, namely subreddit WallStreetBets, which catapulted GameStop’s stock more than 1,600%.

Of course, the small fish are not supposed to beat up the big fish like that, and the billionaires at the big hedge funds undoubtedly reached out to their powerful friends for help.

There had been speculation that the big hedge funds leaned on Robinhood CEO Vlad Tenev and the heads of other large trading platforms directly, but the truth is more complicated.

It turns out that the pressure on Robinhood and other major trading platforms came from the clearinghouse level.  The following comes from a piece in USA Today that was authored by Vlad Tenev himself

In a matter of days, our clearinghouse-mandated deposit requirements related to stocks increased ten-fold. These deposits are the collateral we post to ensure our access to clearinghouse services on behalf of our customers. They are what led us to put temporary buying restrictions in place on a small number of securities that the clearinghouses had raised their deposit requirements on. As we noted in a blog on Friday, it was not because we wanted to stop people from buying these or any stocks — we built Robinhood to provide access to investing for all. And it certainly wasn’t because we were trying to help hedge funds.

Tenev didn’t mention it by name, but the company that clears almost all of Robinhood’s trades is the Depository Trust & Clearing Corporation.  If you are not familiar with the DTCC, here is some basic info from Wikipedia

The Depository Trust & Clearing Corporation (DTCC) is an American post-trade financial services company providing clearing and settlement services to the financial markets. It performs the exchange of securities on behalf of buyers and sellers and functions as a central securities depository by providing central custody of securities.

DTCC was established in 1999 as a holding company to combine The Depository Trust Company (DTC) and National Securities Clearing Corporation (NSCC). User-owned and directed, it automates, centralizes, standardizes, and streamlines processes in the capital markets.[3] Through its subsidiaries, DTCC provides clearance, settlement, and information services for equities, corporate and municipal bonds, unit investment trusts, government and mortgage-backed securities, money market instruments, and over-the-counter derivatives. It also manages transactions between mutual funds and insurance carriers and their respective investors.

In 2011, DTCC settled the vast majority of securities transactions in the United States and close to $1.7 quadrillion[4][5][6] in value worldwide, making it by far the highest financial value processor in the world.[6] DTCC operates facilities in the New York metropolitan area, and at multiple locations in and outside the United States.

Theoretically, the DTCC is supposed to be a neutral participant in the markets.

But as we saw last week, that is definitely not the case.

So why should we allow a “for-profit monopoly” to have so much power over our financial system?  The following comes from a piece that was just authored by Omid Malekan

The brilliance of this excuse is that it only proves the skeptics and conspiracy-theory believers right. DTCC is a for-profit monopoly that sits at the heart of America’s financial system. It is controlled by the biggest Wall Street institutions and responsible for all public equity settlement. A subsidiary of it literally owns every single share of publicly traded stock in America. Yes, you read that correctly. You don’t actually own your shares of Apple or Microsoft, they do. You are only allowed to enjoy the financial benefits of being an investor because your corporate overlords let you. Why? Because the government wants it that way (the fact that financial firms like DTCC always donate a lot of money to politicians has nothing to do with it.)

Of course, the DTCC is not actually the top of the pyramid.

The Depository Trust & Clearing Corporation, the National Securities Clearing Corporation, and the Fixed Income Clearing Corporation are all managed “under the umbrella” of a shadowy entity known as Cede and Company…

This small New York based financial institution has a dozen directors and no more than a half dozen employees but holds, according to some reports, some 34 trillion dollars in assets.

A complex system of interlocking bodies, such as The Depository Trust & Clearing Corporation, the National Securities Clearing Corporation and the Fixed Income Clearing Corporation oversee all stock trading in the US. They all come under the umbrella of Cede.

And, on paper at least, own all the stocks traded.

One or more decision-makers at these shadowy entities decided to put an extraordinary amount of pressure on Robinhood and other trading platforms.

We need to find out exactly who was involved in making the decisions, and if something illegal took place the decision-makers need to be held accountable.

For now, Robinhood and other trading platforms will continue to restrict trading in certain stocks as we begin a new week

Robinhood will continue to limit trading on Monday in short-squeeze names like GameStop that have experienced explosive rallies and unprecedented volatility over the past week.

Customers can only buy one share of GameStop’s stock and five options contracts. However, the millennial-favored stock trading app did cut down its list of restricted stocks from as many as 50 on Friday to eight starting Monday.

Our financial system is far more vulnerable than most people realize, and it is just a matter of time before the house of cards comes tumbling down.

Anyone that still thinks that we have a “free market” after what we witnessed last week is simply being delusional.

Very powerful forces look out for the interests of the ultra-wealthy and the game has been carefully designed for them to win.

***Michael’s new book entitled “Lost Prophecies Of The Future Of America” is now available in paperback and for the Kindle on Amazon.***

About the Author: My name is Michael Snyder and my brand new book entitled “Lost Prophecies Of The Future Of America” is now available on Amazon.com.  In addition to my new book, I have written four others that are available on Amazon.com including The Beginning Of The EndGet Prepared Now, and Living A Life That Really Matters. (#CommissionsEarned)  By purchasing the books you help to support the work that my wife and I are doing, and by giving it to others you help to multiply the impact that we are having on people all over the globe.  I have published thousands of articles on The Economic Collapse BlogEnd Of The American Dream, and The Most Important News, and the articles that I publish on those sites are republished on dozens of other prominent websites all over the globe.  I always freely and happily allow others to republish my articles on their own websites, but I also ask that they include this “About the Author” section with each article.  The material contained in this article is for general information purposes only, and readers should consult licensed professionals before making any legal, business, financial, or health decisions.  I encourage you to follow me on social media on FacebookTwitter, and Parler, and anyway that you can share these articles with others is a great help.  During these very challenging times, people will need hope more than ever before, and it is our goal to share the gospel of Jesus Christ with as many people as we possibly can.

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The Dollar’s Reserve Currency Status Won’t Last Forever

This article was originally published by Doug French at The Mises Institute. 

The Federal Reserve and the confederation of central banks that follow Chair Powell and his lieutenants at the Eccles Building have flooded the world with fiat script which is only limited by Keynesians’ and modern monetary theorists’ imaginations. In this flurry of metaphorical printing, one country, Russia, has loaded its central bank balance sheet not with the speculation de jour, bitcoin, but instead with the barbaric relic gold.

Tellingly, Russia’s stockpiling began in 2016, and on the eve of the president’s departure from the White House, Vladamir Putin and Elvira Nabiullina, President of Russia’s central bank, had more gold than US dollars stockpiled.

Bloomberg reports, “A multi-year drive to reduce exposure to US assets has pushed the share of gold in Russia’s $583 billion international reserves above dollars for the first time on record.”

It’s no secret Mr. Putin initiated the strategy to “de-dollarize” Russia’s economy. The yellow metal is now the second-largest component of the central bank’s reserves after euros, which make up a third of its reserves. Chinese yuan reserves make up 12 percent.

Over two years ago Forbes compared the oil-producing state Texas to the oil-producing country. “Even though Russia has nearly five times as many residents as Texas, the Lone Star State’s economy is more than $400 billion larger. Texans, therefore, enjoy a gross domestic product (GDP) per capita of around $58,000, whereas Russians have one closer to $8,700,” wrote Frank Holmes.

In the same article, Holmes pointed out, “The Russian Federation is the largest single producer of crude in the world, pumping out 10.95 million barrels per day (bpd) in January, according to the country’s energy minister.” Until there is an EV (electric vehicle) in every American garage, Russia is not to be taken lightly.

Americans have benefited mightily by holding and trading with the world’s reserve currency, though most people haven’t given it a thought. No one remembers when the pound sterling held this distinction a hundred years ago.

“Reserve currencies are typically issued by developed, stable countries,” Investopedia.com. Developed? If you insist. Stable? Not so much.

“Reserve currency-issuing countries are not exposed to the same level of exchange rate risk, especially when it comes to commodities, which are often quoted and settled in dollars,” Investopedia explains. “Issuing countries are also able to borrow in their home currencies and are less worried about propping up their currencies to avoid default.”

Investopedia laughingly cites what it calls a drawback to the reserve currency, “Low borrowing costs stemming from issuing a reserve currency may prompt loose spending by both the public and private sectors, which may result in asset bubbles and ballooning government debt.” Sounds familiar.

In 2015, Patrick Barron wrote on mises.org,

Because of this money-printing philosophy, the dollar is very susceptible to losing its vaunted reserve currency position to the first major trading country that stops inflating its currency. There is evidence that China understands what is at stake; it has increased its gold holdings and has instituted controls to prevent gold from leaving China.

Russia has joined China.

Barron concluded, “If we abolish, or even lessen, legal tender laws and allow the process of price discovery to reveal the best sound money if we allow our US dollar to become the best money it can—a truly sound money—then the chances of our personal and collective prosperity are greatly enhanced.”

The Fed fiddles while the dollar burns.

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BITCOIN, GOLD, STOCKS AND TECH: 2021 SYNOPSIS!

This article was contributed by Portfolio Wealth Global. 

In 2020, prices of virtually all asset classes that we follow have gone up. We published five Watch Lists (1, 2, 3, tech, and 5), were bullish on gold, silver, and Bitcoin – which just hit a new all-time high of $27,000 – and bearish on the U.S. dollar, which is suffering from its worst year in a long time.

Due to money printing and lackluster global trade, the demand for dollars is weak. If global trade is slowing down, there’s not much need to buy dollars and, of course, if tourism is restricted, that is also a major headwind for dollar demand.

Courtesy: Zerohedge.com

In the meantime, if you’re a millennial or a Gen Z and are tying the knot or looking to own your home – since the government is willing to finance something in the order of 90% of it for 30 years at the lowest interest rate in history – you’re looking for any way imaginable to qualify and apply for a mortgage.

There’s literally no better deal in the history of deals than getting a mortgage for a home right now, which is the reason Portfolio Wealth Global believes that real estate prices, housing construction and the entire industry (as a whole) will continue to prosper, boom and employ Americans for years to come.

This year, the 30yr fixed mortgage hit sixteen weekly new lows, an annual record for the number of times it has done so in a single calendar year!

Next up Bitcoin; personally, I’d be cautious with Bitcoin. Portfolio Wealth Global first covered Bitcoin at well below $700, and over the years there have been opportunities to own it below $1,000 and $5,000, but its recent run is a testament to how fast sentiment changes with it.

We’re definitely cautious.

What about stocks? Are they in a bubble? Our answer may surprise you, but we’re bullish.

We’re actually about to release our sixth Watch List and do not believe there are many reasons to see a flat year in 2021.

Valuations are rich in some sectors and with certain names, but the world is dramatically changing and investors are betting heavily on the future. In other words, if you were waiting all of these years for the reset, you’re living through it.

It may not be just what you imagined, but these are pretty much the early stages of it.

Courtesy: Zerohedge.com

What about gold? Real rates bottomed right around the election and the vaccine announcement, and are headed in the direction of -1% and lower, which will send gold, in all likelihood, above $2,000/ounce in short order.

There are also clear signs of inflation, both with agricultural commodities, as well as with oil.

This is what the markets view as real-world inflation and our analysis is that 2021 will be better for silver than it will for gold. Both will do well (we forecast new all-time highs for gold), but with the right backdrop, silver could hit even $35 and $40!

Courtesy: Zerohedge.com

Clearly, the agricultural commodities have FINALLY bottomed after more than a decade and are on the rise.

If this trend is real, it will be impactful. Food and energy (oil is on the rise as well) are both items that people immediately sense in their pockets and connect with inflation.

Our conclusion is simple: it’s a recovery year, and people who are feeling the beginning of the end will rejoice and make decisions that will generate money velocity.

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CAN SILVER HIT $50/Ounce, SHOCKING EVERYONE?

This article was contributed by Future Money Trends. 

Silver’s price is tied with inflation much more than gold’s is. In the 1970s, as inflation raged in the United States, silver rose to $50/ounce, having started the decade at under $2. It was a sensational decade for the white metal.

However, in the 1980s and 1990s, as deflationary forces brought interest rates down rapidly, the metal’s price languished. Today, its price is HALF of what it was in 1980!

Obviously, investing in silver is NOT similar to investing in gold, which does enjoy a long-term appreciation under both deflationary and inflationary environments.

The question, then, is whether or not there’s a potentially interesting trade setting up in silver now that it has doubled from its March lows.

The answer depends on inflationary pressures and inflationary expectations.

  1. We are seeing that the dollar is dramatically weakening, which is the first sign that silver is likely to enjoy the momentum.

Here’s the dollar chart as it stands today:

Courtesy: Zerohedge.com

It doesn’t feel like the trend is swinging, either. This seems to be a long-term structural decline. Even the price of oil is back over $50/barrel.

  1. Silver’s price has already tested $30 this year and has shown that in the first stages of a recovery, however weak it may be, it can surge by triple-digits.

In 2009, for instance, it appreciated from $9 to $49 in two short years.

Again, this is a trade that could be capitalized upon, not a buy-and-hold idea.

  1. The price of silver has directly correlated with the price of oil over the years. With oil surging, this could be a critical bullish catalyst for silver.

In the end, silver is an ideal way of betting on inflation.

The Federal Reserve has done the heavy lifting for us. It arbitrarily mandated 2% inflation as some magical number. This means that the street will be bracing for inflation if the FED measures it as such.

Therefore, the smartest move is to watch that 2% gauge from Powell and his buddies.

Courtesy: Zerohedge.com

In our world, we’re reaching a point that we call the DEBT LIMIT, which is the moment when deflating the currency supply by simply adding more debt is not productive.

This moment will change how investors view inflation.

Be prepared for it and study the topic thoroughly in the meantime.

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PAIN COMETH!

This article was contributed by Portfolio Wealth Global.

No, we don’t think hyperinflation is coming!

How can inflation bazooka higher, when half of young adults live with their parents in 2020 and 38% of Americans are consumed with thoughts about how to make ends meet?

This doesn’t mean that gold and silver can’t or won’t rally in 2021 (inflation has been below 2% for over a decade), since gold responds to real yields, which are measured by 10-yr yield, subtracted by CPI. So even with CPI at current levels (disinflation), as long as rates go down, that negative real yield helps gold.

Silver is an even stranger cat since it responds best to dollar weakness and, boy, do we have plenty of that…

Why are we focusing on pain, though, if vaccines are approved and if the beginning of the end for this unique period is ahead of us? Well, the price that most small businesses paid to indirectly help, by supposedly slowing the spread of the virus to the people at risk of dying of Covid-19 has been huge.

One day you woke up and the government told you that your baby – your source of income, your pride and joy, the business you took time, effort, thought, sweat, and sacrifice to bring to the marketplace – had to remain closed.

Small businesses received minimal assistance and we’ll only learn just how horrible the situation is in 2021.

This is because the dust will settle, restrictions will ease and we’ll see who is left standing.

Courtesy: Zerohedge.com

Bond investors, as you can see, bet on technology advancements and on disinflation. No one buys a negative-yielding bond for the income, of course. The only way to profit from this – and there’s a large incentive to capture gains – is to sell the bond for more than you paid for it.

Appreciation occurs when yields fall. The price of the underlying asset (the bond) shoots up.

Obviously, QE does not create inflation, as was previously assumed, since we’ve had over a decade of it and the FED keeps missing its target. The FED has little control over inflation, but we, the people, do.

What are the implications of so many Americans in this poverty-stricken position?

  1. With 36% of voters believing in fraud and with roughly 80% of Republicans believing foul play, any hardship will serve as a catalyst for more division.
  2. Government will play an even bigger role in the lives of most Americans, who stand to become even more dependent upon it.

It’s time to address this issue, once and for all.

Courtesy: Zerohedge.com

We do not see how the unsustainable bullish stance in the stock market, coupled with the genuine distress of most Americans, continues to remain decoupled for another year.

The fundamental problems in the U.S. economy are bigger than what a central bank can address and, frankly, they’re not only more serious than what the government has to offer to “solve” them, but they’re being addressed with all of the wrong tools.

Nanny state capitalism is not a plan; Americans need to be inspired to get up and figure it out!

Pain cometh in 2021.

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CAN SILVER HIT $50/Ounce, SHOCKING EVERYONE?

This article was contributed by Future Money Trends. 

Silver’s price is tied with inflation much more than gold’s is. In the 1970s, as inflation raged in the United States, silver rose to $50/ounce, having started the decade at under $2. It was a sensational decade for the white metal.

However, in the 1980s and 1990s, as deflationary forces brought interest rates down rapidly, the metal’s price languished. Today, its price is HALF of what it was in 1980!

Obviously, investing in silver is NOT similar to investing in gold, which does enjoy a long-term appreciation under both deflationary and inflationary environments.

The question, then, is whether or not there’s a potentially interesting trade setting up in silver now that it has doubled from its March lows.

The answer depends on inflationary pressures and inflationary expectations.

  1. We are seeing that the dollar is dramatically weakening, which is the first sign that silver is likely to enjoy momentum.

Here’s the dollar chart as it stands today:

Courtesy: Zerohedge.com

It doesn’t feel like the trend is swinging, either. This seems to be a long-term structural decline. Even the price of oil is back over $50/barrel.

  1. Silver’s price has already tested $30 this year and has shown that in the first stages of a recovery, however weak it may be, it can surge by triple-digits.

In 2009, for instance, it appreciated from $9 to $49 in two short years.

Again, this is a trade that could be capitalized upon, not a buy-and-hold idea.

  1. The price of silver has directly correlated with the price of oil over the years. With oil surging, this could be a critical bullish catalyst for silver.

In the end, silver is an ideal way of betting on inflation.

The Federal Reserve has done the heavy lifting for us. It arbitrarily mandated 2% inflation as some magical number. This means that the street will be bracing for inflation if the FED measures it as such.

Therefore, the smartest move is to watch that 2% gauge from Powell and his buddies.

Courtesy: Zerohedge.com

In our world, we’re reaching a point that we call the DEBT LIMIT, which is the moment when deflating the currency supply by simply adding more debt is not productive.

This moment will change how investors view inflation.

Be prepared for it and study the topic thoroughly in the meantime.

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MAN THE LIFEBOATS: DOLLAR DISASTER IMMINENT!

This article was contributed by Wealth Research Group. 

Today, we’re sharing an important update from WealthResearchGroup.com, which is paramount for understanding what comes next:

Since the November 3rd elections, the dollar has been pushed to a corner that is actually a double-edged sword for gold. Because of the anticipation that a super-weak dollar will cause bond yields to rise, gold has become weak, right alongside the dollar. This correlation has been recently cut off.

From November 6th, when Pfizer’s announcement altered the way investors priced in Covid-19 risk of bankruptcy for pandemic victim sectors – reasoning that with a vaccine far fewer companies will go under – the dollar has sold off hard, gold has crashed to below its 200-DMA, and rates have been rising, in turn.

A few days ago, Mitch McConnell basically called (and caused) the bottom for gold, when he said that Washington must pass the stimulus bill, in order to avoid a complete Main Street meltdown in January. Gold prices began to price a fiscal aid program, a monetary QE support policy, and an inflationary recovery in 2021.

When I wrote that I personally bought gold-backed ETF shares, it was literally two days before the bottom. We nailed it!

Courtesy: Zerohedge.com

Our five watchlists, published in April, June, August, September, and a pre-election one in October, have delivered the research necessary to conduct due diligence on over fifty companies; the appreciation of said companies has been remarkable when compared with their respective index benchmarks.

In April, we published THIS. Within it, AXP (which I’m a shareholder of) has appreciated by 60%. VFC (which I’m a shareholder of) has appreciated by 73%! SWK (which I’m a shareholder of) has appreciated by over 80% and trades even above its Pre-Covid-19 price. I don’t believe the company will ever trade for $100/share, which was the limit order noted in the report. It was a stunning entry point, in my opinion. The S&P 500 has appreciated by 31% in the same timeframe, so these companies have delivered a significant Alpha. Spirit Aerosystems (SPR), which I stressed recently as a company that one must look at when it was trading for around $20/share in the beginning of November, has doubled in one month, thanks to the anticipated recovery in the airline industry.

This was only the first watchlist. It contained 27 companies, in total. Then, in June, we published the 2nd watchlist HERE! It featured an additional 10 new companies. Sysco (SYY), which I’m a shareholder of, has appreciated by 53%! Axis Capital (AXS) has appreciated by 36%, Trane Technologies has appreciated by 68% and Booz Allen Hamilton (which I’m a shareholder of) has appreciated by 22%.

In August and in September, we published watchlists 3, 4, and TECH. Within these, we profiled 20 additional companies, with only CHKP (which I’m a shareholder of) trading below its limit order; the rest have been on fire.

Now, though, I’m warning that euphoria is unsustainable. I feel much like I did when my friend’s maid/cleaner asked him how to buy Bitcoin, when it traded for $12,000/coin in 2017, on its way to $20,000. In other words, I’m not calling the top, but I’m cautioning that it’s near, unavoidable, and would usher in a period of sideways and downward selling.

We are about to publish a 6th watchlist, so stay tuned!

The dollar weakness has caused this record inflow into emerging markets and the vaccine risk-on trade has caused gold to brutally crater, but the stimulus surprise, which was uncalled for, has reversed the trend in commodities.

Courtesy: Zerohedge.com

The commodity index is the CHEAPEST it has been since 1990 and some measures show it is the cheapest since 1942; the recovery in global trade and manufacturing in 2021, as the economy opens up, will potentially serve as an inflation catalyst and we are positioning not only in commodities but with a number of the most compelling companies I’ve come across in my career, which started when my folks signed a waiver to let me trade as a minor (16 years of age) in June 2000. I’m excited!

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GOLD COMEBACK: HERE’S THE BLUEPRINT!

This article was contributed by Portfolio Wealth Global. 

Gold does not directly correlate with the dollar. This couple has ceased from trading inversely to each other for many years. It’s very common to see a strong dollar and a strong gold rally, as well as a weak dollar (like right now) along with a weakening gold price (like right now). So, if the dollar isn’t the leading indicator for future gold prices, then what is?

The answer isn’t government debt either; the federal deficit and the national debt pile are contributors to the macro case for owning and storing precious metals, but the debt rises by the second, so if that were the case, gold would always go up.

It’s not inflation either; there’s inflation in the system inherently. Our global economy keeps adding more currency to circulation with each passing year and gold has been rising at more than a 1.6% pace, which is what the Federal Reserve cites as its gauge for CPI (Consumer Price Index).

Inflation and gold correlate much more once inflation becomes a noticeable issue, which any person can see and recognize. The truth is that the average American not only does not know how to define the term monetary inflation, he also has no idea what the consumer price index is – which means that inflation isn’t a hot topic, mentioned daily by influential figures.

Courtesy: U.S. Global Investors

This, as you can see, is an inverse correlation at its best. Bond yields, especially real yields, are the best barometer for where gold is headed next. Real yields are the result of discounting CPI from the nominal 10-yr bond yield.

Right now, the 10-yr bond is 0.84%. Because inflation is higher than that in the United States, there are negative yields, when accounting for real life. If one lends the government $100,000 for a decade, receiving 0.84%/annum, while his purchasing power erodes by more than that, he’s actually banking a guaranteed loss.

In that type of world, one is incentivized to allocate a portion of his savings towards precious metals, since bonds don’t offer much of an alternative to cash.

But, if the sentiment on the street is that this trend is reversing – which means rates are headed higher, while inflation stays tame, causing negative rates to disappear – the reason to own gold, as a trade, goes away.

This is what’s happening right now: Wall Street is convinced that rates bottomed in March and after six months of recovering from the initial shock, lenders have more options to choose from, so they’ll demand higher rates from the U.S. government.

Courtesy: Zerohedge.com

We do not anticipate inflation remaining the same as today. In fact, with the latest reporting about oil prices in 2021, it seems that the street doesn’t either.

On top of that, as you can see above, the markets are euphoric, with valuations resembling Dot.Com era levels. Right after it burst, gold bottomed and then soared for eleven consecutive years.

That’s not what we’re envisioning, but if stocks peak soon and trade sideways for a number of months, gold could do well, as money rotates toward it.

The point is that this slump could be based on a totally false narrative.

So, what we’re doing is building our watchlist and waiting for the SWING, which will occur the moment the trend reverses.

The post GOLD COMEBACK: HERE’S THE BLUEPRINT! first appeared on SHTF Plan – When It Hits The Fan, Don't Say We Didn't Warn You.

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Currency Federal Reserve fiat currency future gold prices global economy Gold Government Debt Headline News Intelwars inversely monetary system Precious Metals prices Trading weak dollar

GOLD COMEBACK: HERE’S THE BLUEPRINT!

This article was contributed by Portfolio Wealth Global. 

Gold does not directly correlate with the dollar. This couple has ceased from trading inversely to each other for many years. It’s very common to see a strong dollar and a strong gold rally, as well as a weak dollar (like right now) along with a weakening gold price (like right now). So, if the dollar isn’t the leading indicator for future gold prices, then what is?

The answer isn’t government debt either; the federal deficit and the national debt pile are contributors to the macro case for owning and storing precious metals, but the debt rises by the second, so if that were the case, gold would always go up.

It’s not inflation either; there’s inflation in the system inherently. Our global economy keeps adding more currency to circulation with each passing year and gold has been rising at more than a 1.6% pace, which is what the Federal Reserve cites as its gauge for CPI (Consumer Price Index).

Inflation and gold correlate much more once inflation becomes a noticeable issue, which any person can see and recognize. The truth is that the average American not only does not know how to define the term monetary inflation, he also has no idea what the consumer price index is – which means that inflation isn’t a hot topic, mentioned daily by influential figures.

Courtesy: U.S. Global Investors

This, as you can see, is an inverse correlation at its best. Bond yields, especially real yields, are the best barometer for where gold is headed next. Real yields are the result of discounting CPI from the nominal 10-yr bond yield.

Right now, the 10-yr bond is 0.84%. Because inflation is higher than that in the United States, there are negative yields, when accounting for real life. If one lends the government $100,000 for a decade, receiving 0.84%/annum, while his purchasing power erodes by more than that, he’s actually banking a guaranteed loss.

In that type of world, one is incentivized to allocate a portion of his savings towards precious metals, since bonds don’t offer much of an alternative to cash.

But, if the sentiment on the street is that this trend is reversing – which means rates are headed higher, while inflation stays tame, causing negative rates to disappear – the reason to own gold, as a trade, goes away.

This is what’s happening right now: Wall Street is convinced that rates bottomed in March and after six months of recovering from the initial shock, lenders have more options to choose from, so they’ll demand higher rates from the U.S. government.

Courtesy: Zerohedge.com

We do not anticipate inflation remaining the same as today. In fact, with the latest reporting about oil prices in 2021, it seems that the street doesn’t either.

On top of that, as you can see above, the markets are euphoric, with valuations resembling Dot.Com era levels. Right after it burst, gold bottomed and then soared for eleven consecutive years.

That’s not what we’re envisioning, but if stocks peak soon and trade sideways for a number of months, gold could do well, as money rotates toward it.

The point is that this slump could be based on a totally false narrative.

So, what we’re doing is building our watchlist and waiting for the SWING, which will occur the moment the trend reverses.

The post GOLD COMEBACK: HERE’S THE BLUEPRINT! first appeared on SHTF Plan – When It Hits The Fan, Don't Say We Didn't Warn You.

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STALEMATE: 2ND STIMULUS – THIS CHANGES EVERYTHING!

This article was contributed by Future Money Trends. 

Nancy Pelosi wants a stimulus bill that is over $3 trillion. Mitch McConnell wants to pass something in the order of $500 billion. These leaders are clearly worlds apart. Nancy even rejected bills that were $1.5 trillion, saying that they were “nice but not nearly enough.” On the other hand, conservative Republicans are saying that the free market ought to be taking the lead while the government has done enough and that the debt is already gigantic.

The problem is that neither party wants to concede, giving even an inch to the other side since they’ll appear weak in front of their voters. Both parties desperately want to win the Senate race in Georgia. It’s going to get very political, with hundreds of millions raised for the cause, and January 5th is the vote – even Trump and Biden might campaign. The problem is that January 1st comes before that and if nothing is done, millions of people, many of which are parents with children, face evictions since they’re not capable of paying rent, while millions of others will cease receiving enhanced unemployment benefits.

Therefore, a bipartisan group of senators is working on a bridge-stimulus plan as we speak.

Future Money Trends believes that there’s a strong chance that, when it comes to rent, an extension of the moratorium will be introduced. If it doesn’t, Q1 2021 could be one of the best times to purchase homes since prices will dip because of the excess inventory.

Courtesy: Zerohedge.com

November has been the best-ever month for stocks on a global basis. It’s absolutely mind-boggling how much euphoria is out there. When you think about mortgage forbearance, which has allowed households to “save” $1,000 to $2,000 every single month since the bill was introduced, you can understand how much leverage is being put into the stock market that will need to be taken out later. Households have been using the extra cash to invest, but they’ll need to pull it out, at some point.

It’s happening all over the place and the temptation to trade has never been bigger.

As you can see above, indices of entire nations have gone up in one month as much as stocks return in 4 or 5 years.

The technical Relative Strength Indicators (RSI) are just green everywhere, save for precious metals most likely.

Courtesy: Zerohedge.com

On the 15th of December, the FED will convene to discuss interest rates and asset purchases, going forward. If there’s no bipartisan bill by then, we believe they’ll increase QE again.

There are now talks about forgiving student loan debts from $10,000 to upwards of $50,000. There are 45 million Americans who have student loans, and these are individuals who struggle to originate mortgages, raise their credit scores, and save anything.

On the flip side, forgiving these loans will fuel even more socialistic programs, and will cause tuition in this country to be jacked up further, argue the fiscally-conservative. It’s also unfair to reward debtors while punishing those that chose not to assume massive obligations.

In our assessment, when the next president asks his economic advisors for the best ROI for another fiscal program, they’ll point towards state and local government aid, where for every $1,000,000 spent, nearly 90% of it goes immediately back to the economy.

This is much higher than in the case of student loans, so while Elizabeth Warren and Bernie Sanders introduce far-left initiatives, it doesn’t seem like that’s the way the country is headed.

We currently put the odds of stimulus checks hitting the mailboxes of Americans as being very low in the next 40 days. We give it more of a chance after January 20th, but if the bipartisan proposal somehow passes, markets will celebrate this surprise.

As for us, we are not aggressively participating in this party. There’s not enough alcohol in the world to convince us to play with fire.

 

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