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STOCKS DEMOLISHED: WHAT DID YOU EXPECT?

This article was contributed by Portfolio Wealth Global. 

Oh man, yesterday proved what happens when there’s uncertainty about a major event, coupled with the CERTAINTY that no Federal Reserve is coming to your aid in the days ahead. This is education for the millennials, who have been trained to expect Daddy Jerome Powell to show up every time they load-up.

There is no BACKUP COMING, no Navy Seals coming to the rescue.

This is it; between now and perhaps the end of the year, price discovery is going to be real. We’re going to see exactly what big money and algorithms think about valuations with nothing to prop up markets.

Panic? YES. Volatility? SURE. Buying opportunities? 100%. Craziness and illogical behavior? EVERYWHERE you look.

This will be one of the most important investment months of your career. By acting responsibly, professionally, and with poise and composure, not with an inability to see positions going up and down like yoyos, one will be able to exploit others’ mental incapability to handle bullets firing above their heads.

For the next few days, the FED is out of the business of putting a floor on stocks; perhaps even more than just a few days…

The major indices are now RED for the month of October.

Famed hedge fund manager David Einhorn, who got his ba**s handed to him for shorting TSLA, is convinced the markets peaked on September 2nd. He believes the bubble is over and cites IPO mania, elevated valuations for the Robinhood app darlings, market concentration (FAANG), options trading volumes being off the charts, and the parabolic charts of some stocks.

On top of that, Rasmussen polled Americans and has issued a VICTORY ALERT for President Trump – what a turnaround.

The same polling company actually found that tens of millions of Americans likely believe that a REAL McCoy Civil War is a possibility.

Courtesy: visualcapitalist.com

This chart has a lot to do with how America got here!

The ability to create currency and segregate it so it ends up in the hands of the rich and powerful to decide what to do with it has led to expensive asset prices, record buyback programs, no wage growth, and the worst income gap in history.

Think about the process of currency creation: how dollars are born and get pushed into the banking system where the institution cherishes safety and lends to the big and the wealthy, STARVING the real economy.

I personally bought shares yesterday, according to the watch lists we have previously published, taking nibbles at companies, not whole chunks.

NEVER buy a full allocation right off the bat; one can be fully correct on the potential of the company and COMPLETELY WRONG on the timing. Being flexible with your purchases (being patient about the process) is the tactic of successful investors.

Nothing is “now or never” – NOTHING. There’s always time to think things through.

The odds are fully in your favor; let the game come to you.

As I see it, if Joe Biden wins (despite this huge controversy with Hunter’s compromised dealings with China), between now and January 2021, it’s going to get sickening at times since the world will be paralyzed until Inauguration Day. If Trump wins, I still don’t expect SMOOTH SAILING because I think a contested result is coming either way, but Trump won’t lose a recount if he wins the initial vote.

THIS IS EXCITING.

 

The post STOCKS DEMOLISHED: WHAT DID YOU EXPECT? first appeared on SHTF Plan – When It Hits The Fan, Don't Say We Didn't Warn You.

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NASDAQ NOSEDIVES: Can You Handle THE HEAT?

This article was contributed by Tom Beck of Portfolio Wealth Global.

We warned all throughout the MONTH of AUGUST that markets just don’t accept the REALITY of VALUATIONS anymore and one week afterward, the S&P 500 and NASDAQ peaked and have since entered a correction (NASDAQ for now).

Historically, as we explained, September is the market’s WORST MONTH, but this is getting even more SCREWED UP since Europe is considering a second quarantine period while elections in the U.S., which are the BIGGEST UNKNOWN, are rapidly approaching.

Listen closely: Americans are so programmed by propaganda ON BOTH ENDS of the spectrum that the questions asked to everyday citizens reflect the SERIOUS NUMBNESS of the average voter:

 

Courtesy: Zerohedge.com

As you can see, the RACE IS TIGHT and the stakes are high!

Yesterday, I watched the amazing documentary “The Social Dilemma,” which proves beyond any shadow of a doubt what the business model incentives of social media giants are, and it will be them that DECIDE THE OUTCOME of this presidential run come November.

Between now and then, here’s what could HELP TRUMP, and below that is what could help BIDEN:

  1. Vaccine news – the cure will obviously be positive for Donald Trump, who will RIDE THE COATTAILS, taking credit for the record-fast approval process.
  2. Quarantines and school closures – I have no doubt that Democratic states are going to MAKE LIFE a living hell for residents because they must show Trump’s inadequacy with containing the pandemic.
  3. Debates – obviously, the more we allow these two TO CONFRONT each other, the more Trump has a chance to shine.
  4. Social unrest – if chaos returns, police defunding claims will bring voters to Trump, who is against it. Police brutality, on the other hand, indirectly helps Biden.

Courtesy: Zerohedge.com

For now, markets are still IN SHOCK that Trump’s approval ratings aren’t what they were pre-COVID-19. In January, no one predicted a close race, so I believe that if Biden’s chances are real, it could be AN INITIAL re-rating of equities downwards due to the high probability of higher corporate taxes.

So, when looking at this -12% correction in the NASDAQ, don’t assume it has anything to do with the presidency because it doesn’t.

Prices of equities are TOO HIGH and it’s dawning on institutional investors that they can invest in the recovery by going LONG the beaten-down industries, thus leaving the “bubble territory” to the retail public to MESS WITH.

Now, after the dynamite has exploded, we believe institutions will use stink bids and get back into tech.

We sure are exploring the matter using THIS new watch list.

After already being out of the woods, the SECOND-WAVE mentality that is taking over is depressing and I expect many controversies in the COMING MONTHS.

Lastly, we’re working on a BIG ALERT that you don’t want to miss, so stay focused on what’s coming.

The post NASDAQ NOSEDIVES: Can You Handle THE HEAT? first appeared on SHTF Plan – When It Hits The Fan, Don't Say We Didn't Warn You.

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BRUISED AND BATTERED: Will Stocks Fall ANOTHER -20%?

This article was contributed by Tom Beck of Portfolio Wealth Global.

It’s been a WILD RIDE since the March lows; economies have opened-up, newcomers have entered stocks, central banks have bought BILLIONS OF DOLLARS in assets every single hour since March and markets have SOARED BACK!

Literally, it’s been one heck of a move and we’ve participated in the fun, but we have to remember that it was A PARTY, not something that could last more than a short while.

I call it a party since it looks like investors came to HAVE A GOOD TIME, not to own businesses. They’ve been using options, which WORK WELL in raging bull markets but are bad ideas the rest of the time (88% of options expire worthless).

Courtesy: Zerohedge.com

When EVERYONE is this bullish and you’ve made short-term bets, you ought to consider booking gains. I’m not talking about long-term portfolio holdings, which you plan on owning for decades.

Central banks now own $25tn in assets; that’s a TREMENDOUS AMOUNT of equities and it puts a floor on prices, since they’re not quick to sell.

Markets have changed. Capitalism has changed and you MUST change with them.

I was watching the Formula 1 qualifying session yesterday and when these machines go 300KPH on the straight, then brake hard and go from eighth gear to second gear, inside the cockpit the G-FORCES applied on the body are 3-5 times one’s body weight. But as soon as the driver takes the corner, he IMMEDIATELY ACCELERATES again and goes on to the next piece of road.

That’s how the markets are behaving; it’s a bull market, but since it’s going SO FAST, when the brakes are applied, it SEEMS FURIOUS, but there’s acceleration on the other side of it.

Bonds are the real bubble, not stocks, generally speaking.

Courtesy: U.S. Global Investors

My point is that there are STILL many opportunities left in the market; so many companies are trading WELL BELOW their fair value, if their industries return to full activity, without Covid-19 restrictions.

From what we’re hearing about gold, MORE AND MORE wealthy individuals are realizing they just NEED SOME; it’s beginning to go mainstream and I love it.

Citigroup came out and raised their target to $2,500/ounce, so I think that we’re IN A GOOD SPOT!

There’s $6tn in CASH out there in Money Market Accounts and in private hands.

This is a world that is driven by EXCESSIVE LIQUIDITY and that isn’t changing. Consumer savings is still 17%, which is DOUBLE what it was in February, so there’s pent-up demand and both auto sales and real estate starts have been SUPRISINGLY-STRONG, so we see further recovery in the months to come.

Central banks have raised the risk, IRONICALLY SPEAKING, for both high inflation and deadly deflation. Because they REFUSE TO ALLOW any cycle to play out, they’ve created artificial conditions, which is the reason it’s so confusing to see some market veterans POUNDING THE TABLE that a bear market is coming, while others believes stocks are attractive.

These artificial conditions create wealth and income gaps, giant debt overhangs and social unrest.

Gold, TRIED AND TRUE, is the antidote.

The post BRUISED AND BATTERED: Will Stocks Fall ANOTHER -20%? first appeared on SHTF Plan – When It Hits The Fan, Don't Say We Didn't Warn You.

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DEATH WARRANT SIGNED: Economic Tragedy – SILVER $21.93!

This article was contributed by Lior Gantz of The Wealth Research Group. 

Several industries will be COMPLETELY TRANSFORMED by Covid-19 and its aftermath. We anticipate that on a global basis, 23% of restaurants WILL NEVER re-open. That’s a MAJOR TURN OF EVENTS.

On top of that, we expect tourism and air travel will take around 5-7 years to recover from this problem that they’re facing – tens of millions of jobs worldwide will be lost for good.

The notion that a vaccine is the CORRECT FORMULA to solve the issues in our healthcare system, as well as in our economy, is a PIPE DREAM.

If we ignore, for a second, the UTTER STUPIDITY of rushing the process of approving a vaccine – which is BORDERLINE INSANE, since you’re injecting a cocktail of ingredients into a healthy body, with the likelihood that our system will either reject it OR WORSE, be negatively impacted by it – the whole thing is 12-18 months away and that’s without understanding that the quantities will be SUPER-LIMITED anyway, at first.

As a family man, a businessman/entrepreneur or an employee, a saver or an investor, and, in general, as a citizen in the country you reside in, waiting for a vaccine is POLITICAL TALK, but it’s really not a TOP PRIORITY at all.

Society needs to immediately tackle head-on the TWO PROBLEMS we face: health and finances.

Quarantine was a solution that was EXCELLENT in January before the virus DOUBLED every couple of days. Governments enforced it 2-4 weeks too late; they stopped the hospital overwhelm emergency, but they failed to contain the spread when it was still possible.

China was CRIMINALLY NEGLIGENT in alerting the global community about this and TOO SLOW to act, domestically. Note that this whole thing happened in January, which is Chinese New Year, a holiday that sees 70M tourists leaving China for other countries and historically the PRIME MONTH for coronaviruses to spread.

The U.S. did close the border with China early on but kept the European borders open, which CHANGED THE FATE of America’s dealing with the disease.

When something DOUBLES every couple of days, when a virus spreads exponentially, you don’t want to FLATTEN THE CURVE as your main solution. If a curve is shaping-up, it’s because you’re already late; what you REALLY want is to CRUSH IT before a CURVE DEVELOPS, when there are only a few patients at loose.

That opportunity is gone forever.

Courtesy: Zerohedge.com

There’s NO NEED to point fingers, though. In my life, I’ve reasoned that finding blame is dealing with the past, while on the other hand, TAKING RESPONSIBILITY means choosing to react to the present and mold the future, not dwell on past mistakes.

The government can implement many plans, all of which (both good and bad) have one thing in common: they COST MONEY, lots and lots of it.

The reason President Trump wants negative rates is because it is ESSENTIALLY a tax cut.

If a government gets paid to borrow money, it doesn’t need to raise taxes to fund its programs.

The problem is that even with NEGATIVE RATES, all developed countries are running deficits that are going to become a part of public debate, once inflation heads higher in the next few months.

Courtesy: Zerohedge.com

Even after the millions that are TEMPORARILY out of work return to their jobs, there are millions more that will be part of ENTIRE SECTORS which the government could not and SHOULD NOT bailout since they’re dead businesses.

It’s not a popular topic to tackle, but many people will be part of The Great Reshuffling, which means they’ll have to be re-trained and join different positions within their industry or re-invent themselves.

The economy WILL CONTRACT – it could be a scenario that is handled properly and we bounce back quicker than you think, but it is also one that could be mismanaged and therefore VERY PAINFUL.

The Federal Reserve can cushion the blow by becoming a lender of last resort and a buyer of last resort, but that’s not where SOLUTIONS arise from.

That’s the airbag that opens and keeps you alive, but it’s not the ambulance or the doctors that rehabilitate you, metaphorically speaking.

In the reality we are entering, the need to work together in unison – sharing information, not making politically-focused decisions, and not TRAMPLING OVER people’s basic freedoms – is critical.

Since we see much room for ABUSE OF POWER, we are expecting a far weaker dollar, mostly because of the RESUMPTION of money velocity. In that environment, silver has a 25% upside short-term potential, which puts its price at $21.00/ounce, or somewhere thereabouts.

We have much more to say about the disease and its solution, and we’ll dedicate both Tuesday and Thursday to publish DETAILED INFORMATION, which everyone should know.

Information is power!

EXCLUSIVE REPORTS, Featured In This Article and in Others, Which Are Considered ESSENTIAL READING:
1. Gold Investing – DOWNLOAD HERE!
2. Trump’s War with Mainstream Media – DOWNLOAD HERE!
3. Covid-19 Round2 Sell-Off Playbook – DOWNLOAD HERE!
4. Why The Dollar Is Dead – DOWNLOAD HERE!
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RE: Prepology 101

pre·pare
[pr??per]

VERB

  1. make (something) ready for use or consideration.
    “prepare a brief summary of the article”
    synonyms: make ready · get ready · put together · draw up ·

In a recent discussion Commander Zero asked what people did for Paratus this year. Personally I just happened to buy 30 pistol mags, 10 rifle mags and a spare BCG for my AR on that day. Zero asked if I knew something he didn’t. All I knew was that I had money and there was a pretty good sale. I don’t need those magazines today. Heck I might never need them, but making purchases like that now, when they are readily available and I have spare cash is insurance against a day when they are rare. 
Our friend Commander Zero did an excellent post recently that bears discussion. We prepare in advance for when bad times come. Even before I was a survivalist the concept that you save (like most kids I worked more in the summer) during the summer to have money during the winter when redneck manual labor jobs are few and far between. The $50 I put away instead of wasting is a couple tanks of gas. 
In terms of preparation we have two big variables resources and time. 
Resources vary to some degree as our lives ebb and flow individually as well as riding the waves of the economy. We have to use resources that are abundant (at least relatively) during the fat times to prepare for the lean times. You can’t very well put a thousand bucks into savings if you are flat broke, 2 months behind on bills and digging through the couch cushions for gas money. That money has to be saved while things are good. 
Time is more problematic because you can’t surge and catch up. Now way to compress a year worth of eating right and PT (or combatives, dry fire, etc) into a month. 
I’m not saying to do anything crazy, just to keep working and making slow consistent progress.
What am I working on?
-Finances. Stashing cash and shiny metals. 
-Fitness. Getting back to where I should be.
-Rounding out gun (and gun related) stuff. Not so much new acquisitions but the little stuff. Some sights for this gun, zero that new scope, buy the expensive belt I really need, etc. 
-Keep organizing systems.
Those things don’t totally occupy my life but they are a slow consistent part. A little money every paycheck and some work when I have time available. Slow and steady. The tortoise beats the hair. 
Time is constant and always limited. The thing is we can’t cheat it. Some things like fitness are slow cooker concepts. Unlike resources (especially if you make a lot) which can be surged to get a lot of stuff done in a short period of time doesn’t work that way. There isn’t a way to cram a year or 5 of eating right, PT, combatives and IDPA into a month. 

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