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BIDEN WON’T GET HIS WAY!

This article was contributed by The Wealth Research Group. 

Democrats have the legislative path to push through the $1.9tn American Rescue & Recovery Plan through the back door if they really wanted to; it’s called budget reconciliation. This is the mechanism that allows Democrats to vote on the plan, which will ease their path and relieve them from having to gain the support of at least ten Republicans, in order to reach the 61 total “YES” votes needed.

Biden presented the plan in a way that aims to unite the country, by hoping that Republican Senators agree to it, but $1.9tn is a huge sum!

Republicans can’t just abandon all logic and agree to this proposed stimulus plan, in the name of uniting the country. The markets, seeing through Biden’s weakness, are not happy with the delays that are projected with this plan.

This anticipated friction between the two camps is the cause of the few red days we’ve been seeing this week, especially in the NASDAQ 100 and, obviously, with precious metals.

BIDEN’S FIRST 100 DAYS

Wall Street’s forecast is that the $1.9tn will be trimmed back all the way to $1.1tn, which is a colossal difference.

The United States’ annual GDP comes out to be around $22tn, so a $1.9tn plan would equal just over 8.5% of it; the impact of it would be enormous.

Just in December 2020, Congress passed the $950bn plan, which took months to get approved and thousands of man-hours to get done. Hence, the idea that the government would easily persuade the majority of representatives to sign off on an additional $1.9tn – double the size of the last one – is proving to be an issue.

The budget reconciliation process, which is the feasible way to just use the Democrats’ majority, is what Biden’s team would resort to if the bipartisan angle doesn’t fly. To them, success would show that there is bipartisan support for the plan, so they’re pursuing this path first; that way, they show the country that Republicans have deserted Trump.

In American politics, there is no precedent for parties coming together on legislation like this, just because the president-elect wants to create an image of unity.

Clearly, Democrats are trying to show the world and their own voters that they are more flexible and civil than their more aggressive counterparts, who bulldozed through Washington, but that’s all a façade. If you know politics like a pro, you know that while Trump might have been a straight shooter in showing his disgust with the swamp, the other side is just as vicious, only they choose to conceal that part of their personality from the public.

Most Republicans won’t be fooled by these theatrics.

If the Democrats want to get ten Republican Senators to vote their way, there’ll be heavy political prices to pay.

Don’t forget that there’s an impeachment trial coming up (Which Mitch McConnell is being devious about {more on that this Tuesday}), which will be a focal point for Congress and might take weeks.

The markets are pricing in these time-consuming issues and they’re not excited about them.

BURNING ISSUES: WATCH THESE CLOSELY

  1. Precious metals must catch a bid this week, or I’m afraid that they’ll consolidate for weeks, perhaps even for 2-3 months, save for a new catalyst that might be introduced that’s not expected at this point.
  2. On the flip side, there are monstrous efforts on the part of central banks around the globe to artificially curtail the slump in the dollar. Many countries’ central banks are buying dollars and making assurances that they’ll keep on purchasing in 2021, in order to put a floor on its rapid decline – they’re creating artificial demand.

In Israel, for example, where I am currently, the dollar is trading at 1996-levels!

  1. Re-Opening the economy would mean that many more businesses would compete for your dollars. While closing Main Street compelled consumers to transact with Wall Street names and do their shopping with publicly-traded companies, re-opening would bring back mom-and-pop shops to our lives, weakening corporate profits and markets would price it in.

I like having cash right now and I like keeping my options open because things could go either way. Therefore, my cash allocation is at 23%, higher than my average 16%.

Lastly, here’s the Total Wealth Report: 12 guiding principles for life – access it HERE!

The post BIDEN WON’T GET HIS WAY! first appeared on SHTF Plan – When It Hits The Fan, Don’t Say We Didn’t Warn You.

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CAN SILVER HIT $50/Ounce, SHOCKING EVERYONE?

This article was contributed by Future Money Trends. 

Silver’s price is tied with inflation much more than gold’s is. In the 1970s, as inflation raged in the United States, silver rose to $50/ounce, having started the decade at under $2. It was a sensational decade for the white metal.

However, in the 1980s and 1990s, as deflationary forces brought interest rates down rapidly, the metal’s price languished. Today, its price is HALF of what it was in 1980!

Obviously, investing in silver is NOT similar to investing in gold, which does enjoy a long-term appreciation under both deflationary and inflationary environments.

The question, then, is whether or not there’s a potentially interesting trade setting up in silver now that it has doubled from its March lows.

The answer depends on inflationary pressures and inflationary expectations.

  1. We are seeing that the dollar is dramatically weakening, which is the first sign that silver is likely to enjoy the momentum.

Here’s the dollar chart as it stands today:

Courtesy: Zerohedge.com

It doesn’t feel like the trend is swinging, either. This seems to be a long-term structural decline. Even the price of oil is back over $50/barrel.

  1. Silver’s price has already tested $30 this year and has shown that in the first stages of a recovery, however weak it may be, it can surge by triple-digits.

In 2009, for instance, it appreciated from $9 to $49 in two short years.

Again, this is a trade that could be capitalized upon, not a buy-and-hold idea.

  1. The price of silver has directly correlated with the price of oil over the years. With oil surging, this could be a critical bullish catalyst for silver.

In the end, silver is an ideal way of betting on inflation.

The Federal Reserve has done the heavy lifting for us. It arbitrarily mandated 2% inflation as some magical number. This means that the street will be bracing for inflation if the FED measures it as such.

Therefore, the smartest move is to watch that 2% gauge from Powell and his buddies.

Courtesy: Zerohedge.com

In our world, we’re reaching a point that we call the DEBT LIMIT, which is the moment when deflating the currency supply by simply adding more debt is not productive.

This moment will change how investors view inflation.

Be prepared for it and study the topic thoroughly in the meantime.

The post CAN SILVER HIT /Ounce, SHOCKING EVERYONE? first appeared on SHTF Plan – When It Hits The Fan, Don't Say We Didn't Warn You.

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PAIN COMETH!

This article was contributed by Portfolio Wealth Global.

No, we don’t think hyperinflation is coming!

How can inflation bazooka higher, when half of young adults live with their parents in 2020 and 38% of Americans are consumed with thoughts about how to make ends meet?

This doesn’t mean that gold and silver can’t or won’t rally in 2021 (inflation has been below 2% for over a decade), since gold responds to real yields, which are measured by 10-yr yield, subtracted by CPI. So even with CPI at current levels (disinflation), as long as rates go down, that negative real yield helps gold.

Silver is an even stranger cat since it responds best to dollar weakness and, boy, do we have plenty of that…

Why are we focusing on pain, though, if vaccines are approved and if the beginning of the end for this unique period is ahead of us? Well, the price that most small businesses paid to indirectly help, by supposedly slowing the spread of the virus to the people at risk of dying of Covid-19 has been huge.

One day you woke up and the government told you that your baby – your source of income, your pride and joy, the business you took time, effort, thought, sweat, and sacrifice to bring to the marketplace – had to remain closed.

Small businesses received minimal assistance and we’ll only learn just how horrible the situation is in 2021.

This is because the dust will settle, restrictions will ease and we’ll see who is left standing.

Courtesy: Zerohedge.com

Bond investors, as you can see, bet on technology advancements and on disinflation. No one buys a negative-yielding bond for the income, of course. The only way to profit from this – and there’s a large incentive to capture gains – is to sell the bond for more than you paid for it.

Appreciation occurs when yields fall. The price of the underlying asset (the bond) shoots up.

Obviously, QE does not create inflation, as was previously assumed, since we’ve had over a decade of it and the FED keeps missing its target. The FED has little control over inflation, but we, the people, do.

What are the implications of so many Americans in this poverty-stricken position?

  1. With 36% of voters believing in fraud and with roughly 80% of Republicans believing foul play, any hardship will serve as a catalyst for more division.
  2. Government will play an even bigger role in the lives of most Americans, who stand to become even more dependent upon it.

It’s time to address this issue, once and for all.

Courtesy: Zerohedge.com

We do not see how the unsustainable bullish stance in the stock market, coupled with the genuine distress of most Americans, continues to remain decoupled for another year.

The fundamental problems in the U.S. economy are bigger than what a central bank can address and, frankly, they’re not only more serious than what the government has to offer to “solve” them, but they’re being addressed with all of the wrong tools.

Nanny state capitalism is not a plan; Americans need to be inspired to get up and figure it out!

Pain cometh in 2021.

The post PAIN COMETH! first appeared on SHTF Plan – When It Hits The Fan, Don't Say We Didn't Warn You.

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CAN SILVER HIT $50/Ounce, SHOCKING EVERYONE?

This article was contributed by Future Money Trends. 

Silver’s price is tied with inflation much more than gold’s is. In the 1970s, as inflation raged in the United States, silver rose to $50/ounce, having started the decade at under $2. It was a sensational decade for the white metal.

However, in the 1980s and 1990s, as deflationary forces brought interest rates down rapidly, the metal’s price languished. Today, its price is HALF of what it was in 1980!

Obviously, investing in silver is NOT similar to investing in gold, which does enjoy a long-term appreciation under both deflationary and inflationary environments.

The question, then, is whether or not there’s a potentially interesting trade setting up in silver now that it has doubled from its March lows.

The answer depends on inflationary pressures and inflationary expectations.

  1. We are seeing that the dollar is dramatically weakening, which is the first sign that silver is likely to enjoy momentum.

Here’s the dollar chart as it stands today:

Courtesy: Zerohedge.com

It doesn’t feel like the trend is swinging, either. This seems to be a long-term structural decline. Even the price of oil is back over $50/barrel.

  1. Silver’s price has already tested $30 this year and has shown that in the first stages of a recovery, however weak it may be, it can surge by triple-digits.

In 2009, for instance, it appreciated from $9 to $49 in two short years.

Again, this is a trade that could be capitalized upon, not a buy-and-hold idea.

  1. The price of silver has directly correlated with the price of oil over the years. With oil surging, this could be a critical bullish catalyst for silver.

In the end, silver is an ideal way of betting on inflation.

The Federal Reserve has done the heavy lifting for us. It arbitrarily mandated 2% inflation as some magical number. This means that the street will be bracing for inflation if the FED measures it as such.

Therefore, the smartest move is to watch that 2% gauge from Powell and his buddies.

Courtesy: Zerohedge.com

In our world, we’re reaching a point that we call the DEBT LIMIT, which is the moment when deflating the currency supply by simply adding more debt is not productive.

This moment will change how investors view inflation.

Be prepared for it and study the topic thoroughly in the meantime.

The post CAN SILVER HIT /Ounce, SHOCKING EVERYONE? first appeared on SHTF Plan – When It Hits The Fan, Don't Say We Didn't Warn You.

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GOLD COMEBACK: HERE’S THE BLUEPRINT!

This article was contributed by Portfolio Wealth Global. 

Gold does not directly correlate with the dollar. This couple has ceased from trading inversely to each other for many years. It’s very common to see a strong dollar and a strong gold rally, as well as a weak dollar (like right now) along with a weakening gold price (like right now). So, if the dollar isn’t the leading indicator for future gold prices, then what is?

The answer isn’t government debt either; the federal deficit and the national debt pile are contributors to the macro case for owning and storing precious metals, but the debt rises by the second, so if that were the case, gold would always go up.

It’s not inflation either; there’s inflation in the system inherently. Our global economy keeps adding more currency to circulation with each passing year and gold has been rising at more than a 1.6% pace, which is what the Federal Reserve cites as its gauge for CPI (Consumer Price Index).

Inflation and gold correlate much more once inflation becomes a noticeable issue, which any person can see and recognize. The truth is that the average American not only does not know how to define the term monetary inflation, he also has no idea what the consumer price index is – which means that inflation isn’t a hot topic, mentioned daily by influential figures.

Courtesy: U.S. Global Investors

This, as you can see, is an inverse correlation at its best. Bond yields, especially real yields, are the best barometer for where gold is headed next. Real yields are the result of discounting CPI from the nominal 10-yr bond yield.

Right now, the 10-yr bond is 0.84%. Because inflation is higher than that in the United States, there are negative yields, when accounting for real life. If one lends the government $100,000 for a decade, receiving 0.84%/annum, while his purchasing power erodes by more than that, he’s actually banking a guaranteed loss.

In that type of world, one is incentivized to allocate a portion of his savings towards precious metals, since bonds don’t offer much of an alternative to cash.

But, if the sentiment on the street is that this trend is reversing – which means rates are headed higher, while inflation stays tame, causing negative rates to disappear – the reason to own gold, as a trade, goes away.

This is what’s happening right now: Wall Street is convinced that rates bottomed in March and after six months of recovering from the initial shock, lenders have more options to choose from, so they’ll demand higher rates from the U.S. government.

Courtesy: Zerohedge.com

We do not anticipate inflation remaining the same as today. In fact, with the latest reporting about oil prices in 2021, it seems that the street doesn’t either.

On top of that, as you can see above, the markets are euphoric, with valuations resembling Dot.Com era levels. Right after it burst, gold bottomed and then soared for eleven consecutive years.

That’s not what we’re envisioning, but if stocks peak soon and trade sideways for a number of months, gold could do well, as money rotates toward it.

The point is that this slump could be based on a totally false narrative.

So, what we’re doing is building our watchlist and waiting for the SWING, which will occur the moment the trend reverses.

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GOLD COMEBACK: HERE’S THE BLUEPRINT!

This article was contributed by Portfolio Wealth Global. 

Gold does not directly correlate with the dollar. This couple has ceased from trading inversely to each other for many years. It’s very common to see a strong dollar and a strong gold rally, as well as a weak dollar (like right now) along with a weakening gold price (like right now). So, if the dollar isn’t the leading indicator for future gold prices, then what is?

The answer isn’t government debt either; the federal deficit and the national debt pile are contributors to the macro case for owning and storing precious metals, but the debt rises by the second, so if that were the case, gold would always go up.

It’s not inflation either; there’s inflation in the system inherently. Our global economy keeps adding more currency to circulation with each passing year and gold has been rising at more than a 1.6% pace, which is what the Federal Reserve cites as its gauge for CPI (Consumer Price Index).

Inflation and gold correlate much more once inflation becomes a noticeable issue, which any person can see and recognize. The truth is that the average American not only does not know how to define the term monetary inflation, he also has no idea what the consumer price index is – which means that inflation isn’t a hot topic, mentioned daily by influential figures.

Courtesy: U.S. Global Investors

This, as you can see, is an inverse correlation at its best. Bond yields, especially real yields, are the best barometer for where gold is headed next. Real yields are the result of discounting CPI from the nominal 10-yr bond yield.

Right now, the 10-yr bond is 0.84%. Because inflation is higher than that in the United States, there are negative yields, when accounting for real life. If one lends the government $100,000 for a decade, receiving 0.84%/annum, while his purchasing power erodes by more than that, he’s actually banking a guaranteed loss.

In that type of world, one is incentivized to allocate a portion of his savings towards precious metals, since bonds don’t offer much of an alternative to cash.

But, if the sentiment on the street is that this trend is reversing – which means rates are headed higher, while inflation stays tame, causing negative rates to disappear – the reason to own gold, as a trade, goes away.

This is what’s happening right now: Wall Street is convinced that rates bottomed in March and after six months of recovering from the initial shock, lenders have more options to choose from, so they’ll demand higher rates from the U.S. government.

Courtesy: Zerohedge.com

We do not anticipate inflation remaining the same as today. In fact, with the latest reporting about oil prices in 2021, it seems that the street doesn’t either.

On top of that, as you can see above, the markets are euphoric, with valuations resembling Dot.Com era levels. Right after it burst, gold bottomed and then soared for eleven consecutive years.

That’s not what we’re envisioning, but if stocks peak soon and trade sideways for a number of months, gold could do well, as money rotates toward it.

The point is that this slump could be based on a totally false narrative.

So, what we’re doing is building our watchlist and waiting for the SWING, which will occur the moment the trend reverses.

The post GOLD COMEBACK: HERE’S THE BLUEPRINT! first appeared on SHTF Plan – When It Hits The Fan, Don't Say We Didn't Warn You.

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STALEMATE: 2ND STIMULUS – THIS CHANGES EVERYTHING!

This article was contributed by Future Money Trends. 

Nancy Pelosi wants a stimulus bill that is over $3 trillion. Mitch McConnell wants to pass something in the order of $500 billion. These leaders are clearly worlds apart. Nancy even rejected bills that were $1.5 trillion, saying that they were “nice but not nearly enough.” On the other hand, conservative Republicans are saying that the free market ought to be taking the lead while the government has done enough and that the debt is already gigantic.

The problem is that neither party wants to concede, giving even an inch to the other side since they’ll appear weak in front of their voters. Both parties desperately want to win the Senate race in Georgia. It’s going to get very political, with hundreds of millions raised for the cause, and January 5th is the vote – even Trump and Biden might campaign. The problem is that January 1st comes before that and if nothing is done, millions of people, many of which are parents with children, face evictions since they’re not capable of paying rent, while millions of others will cease receiving enhanced unemployment benefits.

Therefore, a bipartisan group of senators is working on a bridge-stimulus plan as we speak.

Future Money Trends believes that there’s a strong chance that, when it comes to rent, an extension of the moratorium will be introduced. If it doesn’t, Q1 2021 could be one of the best times to purchase homes since prices will dip because of the excess inventory.

Courtesy: Zerohedge.com

November has been the best-ever month for stocks on a global basis. It’s absolutely mind-boggling how much euphoria is out there. When you think about mortgage forbearance, which has allowed households to “save” $1,000 to $2,000 every single month since the bill was introduced, you can understand how much leverage is being put into the stock market that will need to be taken out later. Households have been using the extra cash to invest, but they’ll need to pull it out, at some point.

It’s happening all over the place and the temptation to trade has never been bigger.

As you can see above, indices of entire nations have gone up in one month as much as stocks return in 4 or 5 years.

The technical Relative Strength Indicators (RSI) are just green everywhere, save for precious metals most likely.

Courtesy: Zerohedge.com

On the 15th of December, the FED will convene to discuss interest rates and asset purchases, going forward. If there’s no bipartisan bill by then, we believe they’ll increase QE again.

There are now talks about forgiving student loan debts from $10,000 to upwards of $50,000. There are 45 million Americans who have student loans, and these are individuals who struggle to originate mortgages, raise their credit scores, and save anything.

On the flip side, forgiving these loans will fuel even more socialistic programs, and will cause tuition in this country to be jacked up further, argue the fiscally-conservative. It’s also unfair to reward debtors while punishing those that chose not to assume massive obligations.

In our assessment, when the next president asks his economic advisors for the best ROI for another fiscal program, they’ll point towards state and local government aid, where for every $1,000,000 spent, nearly 90% of it goes immediately back to the economy.

This is much higher than in the case of student loans, so while Elizabeth Warren and Bernie Sanders introduce far-left initiatives, it doesn’t seem like that’s the way the country is headed.

We currently put the odds of stimulus checks hitting the mailboxes of Americans as being very low in the next 40 days. We give it more of a chance after January 20th, but if the bipartisan proposal somehow passes, markets will celebrate this surprise.

As for us, we are not aggressively participating in this party. There’s not enough alcohol in the world to convince us to play with fire.

 

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DAGGER TO THE HEART: R.I.P. GOLD!

This article was contributed by Portfolio Wealth Global.

Today’s letter is divided into two sections: the first is the update on the bloody mess that precious metals are undergoing and the second is a summary of the hearing that Rudy Giuliani and the list of witnesses reported that gave verbal accounts of their testimony about Pennsylvania’s voter irregularities.

GOLD: IS THE BULL MARKET DEAD?

In short, the answer is NO. There are several instances since December 2015 where we’ve seen similar moments to this. These are instances in which the volatility index plummets, many events conspire to bring hope, and there’s the assumption that central banks might tighten and that there’s no catalyst for precious metals. These instances come and go since you can’t get rid of the underlying issue: more currency is created by the second.

As you can see, gold fights these moments off and rallies:

Courtesy: Zerohedge.com

If this one follows in the footsteps of the ones we saw in June 2019 and March 2020, watch out, bears!

As you can see, in August, the price of gold distanced from its 200-DMA so much that this sell-off was due to arrive. Taking profits in August was very smart.

Right now, our thesis is that the best course of action is a slow accumulation. The value proposition is certainly the best it’s been since March, and in terms of the mining industry itself, the validity of the sector is well intact. The trend is clear — gold is heading down.

The median all-in sustaining cost is still $975/ounce, so mining companies are still able to report strong earnings, which is the key to understanding the reason we’re about to pull the trigger on the most compelling buy-the-dip setups, in our opinion.

This is gold’s worst month in four years!

Courtesy: U.S. Global Investors

Like we wrote two weeks ago, when gold’s price was much higher, we could see gold falling all the way to $1,750. These shakeouts are the best buying opportunities in hindsight. Traders surrender and it feels bad; there’s a sense of desperation about the future’s price action. We think we’re going to see that frustration fairly soon.

TRUMP’S LAWSUITS – PENNSYLVANIA

Pennsylvania had multiple alleged “irregularities” in the state’s vote count:

* At least 21,000 dead people on Pennsylvania’s voter rolls

* Duplicate ballots were mailed out to thousands of registered voters (Pittsburgh officials have admitted that this happened)

* A lawsuit filed against the state of Pennsylvania for having more than 800,000 inactive voters on its voter rolls

* Pennsylvania’s attorney general told Ted Cruz to “stay the hell out of” the state’s disputed tabulation of presidential election votes

* Dominion Voting Systems’ corrupt election software system was reportedly used in Pennsylvania

Along with that, Giuliani cited another set of numbers that don’t add up. Pennsylvania received approximately 1.4 million absentee or mail-in ballots. However, in the count for president, they counted 2,589,242 absentee or mail-in ballots. How will they account for the discrepancy?

“I know crooks really well. You give them an inch, and they take a mile. And you give them a mile, and they take your whole country.” These were Giuliani’s ending remarks for his opening speech.

Could all of these witnesses possibly be lying in a public hearing, making up the very specific details of what they saw and heard? The mountain of firsthand evidence can only lead informed citizens to one conclusion.

Here’s what President Trump is saying about all of this:

“The whole world is watching us. The whole world is watching the United States of America, and we can’t let them get away with it… This election was rigged, and we can’t let that happen. We can’t let it happen for our country.” – Donald J. Trump.

The zero hour cometh; we shall see if these hold up in the Supreme Court or if Biden will be inaugurated on January 21st, 2021.

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GOLD OBLITERATED!

Markets have priced in the vaccine news, so rates are rising, stocks are fully-priced (with hedge funds and retail investor piled-in) and with no stimulus, we are just not convinced that the markets understand that many states are about to hit the reset-button on lockdowns and business shutdowns.

Gold simply has no catalyst in the immediate-term, on top of the fact that investors generated large profits on it in 2020 and now want to cash in their chips.

What does this mean?

For one, it means that the initial reflation trade is over. Now, we will take a breather, before the delayed inflation begins to hit.

* Right now, both case counts (since the tests are truly sensitive) and fatalities, unfortunately, aren’t stopping and we’re entering winter.

* No one knows how large or comprehensive the stimulus package will be.

There are pretty good estimates that it will be between $1.4tn and $2.0tn.

Courtesy: Zerohedge.com

As you can see, if we just wait, the market will give us confirmation of either a breakout or a correction.

What we respect and appreciate is peace of mind, when investing. There are so many unknowns right now, especially as we don’t even know who will be president, or how Americans will react once one is confirmed.

What conclusions can be drawn?

* Covid-19 has shown to everyone that central banks and governments have no idea what creating currency and debt can lead to. They’re not concerned with any of the impact that’s attributed to it.

* Society bails out the rich and the asset owners first.

* People who are working in lower-income jobs must immediately form a side-hustle. The economy has changed and there are innumerable opportunities if one is able to work hard and not wait for government.

* We have no control over the fate of the dollar, but we can prepare by owning alternative currencies. Portfolio Wealth Global has been writing about Bitcoin, for example, for years.

Courtesy: U.S. Global Investors

This is the inheritance of today’s generation to our children and grandchildren. They will have to deal with the debt ordeal – but that’s a myth, in our opinion.

We do not believe that deficits don’t matter; in fact, we believe that now, more than ever, the world sees that printing currency, without a plan on how to pay it back, is a recipe for disaster and a destabilizer for society.

Expect an important update on our favorite side hustles in the coming days!

 

 

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TODAY IS THE DAY: JB vs. DT – MY PREDICTION!

This article was contributed by Future Money Trends. 

The United States and many parts of the Western World, as well as developing nations, are watching their screens today, anticipating how the elections will turn out.

Most voters don’t pick their president based on results, but on how they make them feel. 70% of voters have no idea what the platform of Donald Trump or Joe Biden is; they are familiar with buzzwords and general terms but can’t or won’t devote the time it takes to arrive at a factual, wise, and wholehearted decision.

This election day is determined by peer pressure, media propaganda, and largely by the way the candidate makes you feel about whether or not you’d want to be his friend.

A political leader with the responsibilities of the president doesn’t have to fit into that slot of “a nice guy to have coffee with,” although it doesn’t hurt.

This job of occupying the White House between now and 2024 is about one thing: the ABILITY to perform the work required.

FutureMoneyTrends.com believes that Donald Trump is in trouble in Arizona, a state that could tilt the balance towards the Democrats. We also believe that Trump crusaders woke up at 5 AM today and are doing anything they can possibly do to help their candidate.

Therefore, our prediction is that Donald Trump is likely to win, by securing PA, MI, and NC, as well as FL and GA, giving him 308 Electoral College votes, but we shall see.

What I’d like to do now is analyze the precious metal sector for each of the two scenarios, a Biden victory and a Trump one:

Courtesy: Zerohedge.com

Between now and December 8th, when the electoral college vote is materially finalized, there might be legal debates that arise due to the probability of mail-in fraud, late voting, or other manipulative actions.

What markets want more than the certainty of knowing who will be the next President of The United States is MORE STIMULUS.

Starting in March, after they poured everything they had into this economy, the Federal Reserve has become second fiddle to Congress.

QE programs and low, zero, or negative interest rates are the norm. Markets have already priced in the fact that they’ll stay there for years. Households can only function and originate mortgages thanks to this. Businesses can only recycle loans, refinance debt, and borrow funds because of it. Governments can only keep their giant deficits in motion due to this reality, and it won’t change anytime soon.

Joe Biden and the Democrats – The most important policy change that will be enacted if Biden ends up winning is his attitude towards China.

Biden is likely to ease up big time.

This is important because this kid-gloves approach is likely to cause the world to be less fearful of animosity between these two countries, the world’s strongest empires. As you know, in the past four years, President Trump has not started any new war; his attitude towards foreign policy included far less back-channeling and much more of a public approach, putting pressure on China, Europe, and the Middle East, out in the open. Our opinion is that Biden’s way could lead to a Chinese confidence boost and new war fronts could emerge, just like when Russia felt brave enough to attack Ukraine.

The bottom line is that a Biden victory is likely detrimental to the U.S. dollar and we believe that under his administration, commodities and stocks will trade in tandem, OPPOSITE TO HOW they did in the past twelve years.

Since silver is 55% below its all-time high, our rating of it as a likely winner is even bigger than gold’s. We would not be surprised to see strong silver performance in 2021 and beyond, testing its legendary $50/ounce high.

The post TODAY IS THE DAY: JB vs. DT – MY PREDICTION! first appeared on SHTF Plan – When It Hits The Fan, Don't Say We Didn't Warn You.

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Lior Gantz: “It’s Unsustainable! America’s Debt Problem Is Out Of Hand”

Source: YouTube screenshot

Lior Gantz of Wealth Research Group recently sat down with Jake Ducey of the YouTube channel, I Love Prosperity to discuss the state of the economy and how to protect yourself from the coming debt-bubble price explosion.  The world is going to soon realize that America’s debt problem is out of hand, and simply not sustainable.

Gantz’s advice is to invest in gold and silver as a way to protect yourself from the coming debt bubble explosion and economic crash. In the coming years, people all over the world will begin to see the dollar as weak and notice that it isn’t the same fiat currency as it was before.

Ducey then asks Gantz about where we are going economically as far as inflation is concerned. Gantz says that we shouldn’t expect the Weimar Republic, but we should be prepared for negative rates by hoarding gold or silver.

The discussion of inflation is in-depth, but instead of fearing inflation, we should be more concerned about other elements all rolling together in this economy.

Gantz continues to suggest you have one year’s worth of savings, but you should also try to focus on growing a business for income increasing. You could also consider owning some mining stocks and other investments in gold and silver, for profit potential. Physical gold and silver will be a great investment too. Another great way is to ain some kind of marketable expert skill that could be utilized as income generation all the time. Because at some point, this whole debt-based system will crumble as it was designed to.

Be aware of what is going on in this insane economy. It probably won’t matter much who is elected. This destruction of the dollar is planned and orchestrated and it will be done to usher in the digital dollar of complete centralization and control.

Think It’s Bad Now? “It Doesn’t Matter Who Wins, The Dollar Is Going To Be DESTROYED!”

 

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EVERYONE AND THEIR MAMA BETTING AGAINST SILVER!

This article was contributed by Lior Gantz with Wealth Research Group.

Are there any SILVER BULLS left out there? It looks like the rally is over, the EXCITEMENT IS DONE, and that no one outside of the SILVER BUG COMMUNITY has any positive sentiment towards the QUASI-INDUSTRIAL/PRECIOUS metal.

The market believes that BIDEN’S GOT THIS, so much more money is exiting silver than entering it!

The market is betting that the massive CASH PILES, which investors have collectively shelved on the sidelines (most investors are SHAKING IN THEIR BOOTS, because of Trump’s ACTION-PACKED term in office) will exit the money-market accounts and find their way into real estate, equities, and commodities.

Investors believe Biden would have a SOOTHING EFFECT on the economy; they’ve got A TON riding on higher interest rates — the market is SUPER-BEARISH on bonds!

No one believes that they can go ANY LOWER and reach even more negativity, in real terms.

Courtesy: Zerohedge.com

Are you SEEING THIS? Have you ever seen something MORE OBVIOUS?

Man, this is going to cause so MUCH PAIN for these speculators; I can’t wait to see STOCKS SOAR, METALS RAGE, and the dollar pull a U-TURN on everyone!

Don’t let your GUARD DOWN now, because that’s what happened to MILLIONS AND MILLIONS of investors in March and April; Wall Street PULLED THE RUG from under them, convincing them to stay in cash, while they were buying stocks with STEEP DISCOUNTS!

We gave you options, though, with our watchlists and we’ve been RIGHT. The chart above shows the world is betting on higher rates — what do you think WE’RE DOING?

With the World Health Organization now openly DEMANDING quarantines and lockdowns stop, with governments putting MORE STRATEGIC and far more sophisticated solutions in their place, the markets expect MORE STIMULUS, as do we.

Courtesy: Zerohedge.com

Here’s what every DOOM AND GLOOM investor feels in his heart of hearts, and he ends up MISSING OUT on the now +14 stocks that we outlined in 2020 ALONE that are up over +35%:

  1. The markets are rigged.
  2. Governments are drowning in debt.
  3. It’s a fake economy, a house of cards that can TOPPLE OVER at any moment.
  4. Stocks are historically-expensive; it’s a super bubble.
  5. “If I buy into this lie, I’ll end up losing a fortune.”

I’ve heard this LAST ONE (No.5) since 2009!

If the forecasters of -80% price drops, the preachers of SHORT TSLA and the instigators of not owning FAANG stocks would reveal their track records, you’d see that the EMPEROR HAS NO CLOTHES.

I still hear SUPER-POPULAR guests on shows predicting that gold is going to $800 and that we’ll see “1999 levels” in the stock market.

What a disservice these well-meaning frightened commentators do to their audience, who are enthusiastically convinced that the world is COMING TO AN END.

For years, people actually asked me how they get their hands on the actual stock certificates since they thought the brokerage firm was GOING UNDER.

2008 scarred the mentality of millions of people; they can’t trust anything or anyone anymore and that actually has a NEGATIVE PRICE attached to it.

I think silver is going to ALL-TIME HIGHS, due to the cyclical bear market that the dollar has begun. The world isn’t going to end; it is going to GET RICHER — the only question is will JEFF BEZOS grow his wealth to $300bn before you grow yours to 7-figures?

This is your moment; now, more than ever, you have a REAL CHANCE to say:

ENOUGH IS ENOUGH!

It’s your turn; put your CAPE ON and be a superman.

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BRING DOWN THE ROOF: Market Predicts BIDEN!

This article was contributed by James Davis with Future Money Trends. 

This week, we saw markets start to factor in something that many TRUMP SUPPORTERS are refusing to believe, which is that Joe Biden is DEFINITELY LEADING in most polls.

What the Trump supporters cling onto is that in 2016, all of these SO-CALLED GENIUS POLLSTERS were dead-wrong, not accounting for what are referred to as “Shy Trumpsters,” which are supporters who will only admit the fact to themselves and sometimes their close family.

Failure to understand this IMPORTANT DYNAMIC caused the shock around CLINTON’S LOSS in 2016, and they believe history will repeat itself on November 3rd, which is less than a month away.

There is SOME MERIT to this, as the company that predicted Trump’s victory back then is forecasting him to win in a TIGHT RACE!

Courtesy: Zerohedge.com

Despite this being issued by the only polling firm that CORRECTLY CALLED the 2016 election, the wisdom of the crowds favors Biden right now.

For one, China’s yuan just had an incredible week. The dollar dumped to THREE-WEEK lows, even though real rates actually climbed. What’s behind these BIG MOVES? Well, if Biden wins, tensions with China are supposed to ease, which is another way of saying that HARDBALL NEGOTIATIONS will be canceled and the policy that wiped out the American middle class –  which is to allow the Chinese to compete with the West without respecting the rules of the game – WILL RETURN.

In the case of a Biden win, FAR LESS unpredictability is almost guaranteed. One thing about the past four years that was very noticeable is how aggressive Trump’s governance style is. If he has a MISSION AT HEART, it will get done, even at the cost of short-term mayhem.

His supporters love this about him; his haters think it is borderline insanity to run a country in this manner.

Less unknown things and fewer LAST-MINUTE BOMBSHELLS reduce the need to be as LIQUID, therefore resulting in a weaker dollar.

Courtesy: Zerohedge.com

So, a Biden victory is actually BETTER FOR METALS than a Trump one.

Trump has caused the dollar to strengthen significantly in his term compared with other fiat currencies. In 2018, the dollar actually had its BEST YEAR since 1969. This made the gold/silver ratio reach an all-time high of 123:1, so if you’re LONG SILVER, Biden’s policies will actually make you richer.

Regardless of who wins, Future Money Trends believes that the stock market will GO UP.

Our watch lists have brought TREMENDOUS WINS in March, June, over the summer, and just recently, in the SEPTEMBER CORRECTION.

With the INITIAL ONE, there are companies that are up over +70% now!

With the SECOND ONE, there are companies that are up over +50% now in less than FIVE MONTHS.

With the THIRD ONE, released over the summer, we believe that Ciena (CIEN), which we’re personally big shareholders of with an entry price of $44.05, will see a massive long-term opportunity. Put differently, we think that in 2030, when you look at this holding compared with the indices, you’ll potentially see a BIG GAP to its advantage.

In late August, anticipating a TERRIBLE SEPTEMBER, we issued a tech-centered watch list, OUR FOURTH ONE. One company is already up 15.3% for us. Ironically, the other companies are up MUCH MORE, +20% and even +30% and +40%, if one didn’t wait for the price to drop to the proposed LIMIT ORDERS.

Being able to invest DESPITE the innumerable reasons NOT TO, which the gloom and doom crowd always finds, is probably what investors in the 1940s and EARLY 1980s had to DEAL WITH as WW2 ended and the 1970s inflationary nightmare ended.

The eternal mandate is to be a contrarian or SUFFER.

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Gantz: People Are Rebelling More Over Economic Effects, Than The Loss of Freedom

Recently, Lior Gantz sat down with Shawn at SGT Report to be interviewed about the state of the economy, and so much more. Gantz says what is most concerning is that people are rebelling more from the economic effects than they are over the loss of so much of their freedom and rights.

Gantz, the owner of WealthReserchroup.com, says his biggest fear over all of this, is “people are rebelling more because of the economics of [lockdowns, mask tyranny] and not because of the societal part of it, the freedom part of it.” The people who have suffered “economic strain are angrier than the people that are just quarantined or have sort of a measure that restricts them.”  That’s a mind-bending reality and hopefully, one which changes. People should cherish their freedom over their wealth.

Gantz goes on to say that the one thin this non-lethal virus has exposed is how ineffective governments around the world have become.  All people really want is more stimulus, more money, and they are willing to exchange their freedom and basic human rights for another stimulus package. He notes that everything in our society has become politicized, even this virus.

As a person who watches what does on from the outside, Gantz says the mainstream media in the United States is “almost like a joke. The scripts are offensive to the intelligence of the average person..it’s more than just lies…it’s the little things to tilt your mindset to what you’re watching.”

Coronavirus Panic & Fear: The Greatest Mainstream Media Hoax In History

Gantz then discusses how much better gold and silver will be than cash, as it already is. He says gold will continue to go up, and when it hits the $2,000 range again will be psychological. There is a real existential crisis with the dollar and the national debt, and Gantz says silver can possibly go above $50.

Gantz then discusses Bitcoin and recognizes its potential.  “The world is not going to paying with gold, it is going to paying with Bitcoin,” he says.

For more information on precious metals, investing, and cryptocurrencies, please visit Gantz’s website at WealthReserchGroup.com. 

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NEXT F***ING LEVEL: Silver $35 – FULL UPDATE!

This article was contributed by Lior Gantz of The Wealth Research Group. 

In the past two weeks, we believe we’ve seen both GOLD AND SILVER bottoming.

If indeed, September 28th was the bottom, this would mark a 54-day correction, from the top on August 5th, with a PRICE DROP of 11%, which isn’t A LOT for this kind of move, considering the run-up, leading up to it. Frequently, after all-time highs, gold can RETRACT BY 15% and even by 20%, so there’s a chance this is a FAKE BREAKOUT. But we tend to believe that the anticipation of YET ANOTHER stimulus package is what’s causing the markets to be FORWARD-LOOKING.

Silver’s correction STARTED ON August 6th, as the metal nearly touched $30/ounce, peaking at $29.37, and bottoming (as of today) at $22.68 on September 23rd.

That’s a MASSIVE DROP. All told, it’s a -22.8% move in just 50 days!

Courtesy: Zerohedge.com

Even Goldman Sachs, which predicts gold reaching $2,500/ounce by June 2021, is also forecasting silver hitting $30, but that’s BULLSHIT, in my opinion!

If gold goes to $2,500, silver will trade over $40; you can take that TO THE BANK, as we see it.

The $2,000 milestone is truly psychological. When gold hit $1,000 for the FIRST TIME, it soared by 90% in just months, afterwards.

You either believe this is an INSANE BULL MARKET in precious metals, or you don’t.

It’s the same with GENERAL EQUITIES; we get asked all the time how we keep being bullish on stocks, even when seeing charts like these:

Courtesy: Zerohedge.com

They ask if WealthResearchGroup.com doesn’t see the CRAZY DEBT LEVELS, the lousy jobs market, the wealth gap, the rise of populism around the globe, and the FAKE ECONOMY – fueled by the Federal Reserve and other major central banks – BUT WE DO!

In fact, when I say that I’ve personally saved the equivalent of 24 months’ worth of FAMILY-UNIT SPENDING and converted it to precious metals, the reaction I usually get is that most people can’t save 90 days’ worth of spending, let alone TWO YEARS. It’s as if saving that much antagonizes people, who haven’t, while my purpose is to share this and inspire others to do the same.

The message is that since the savings bucket is filled nicely, I can also have a healthy exposure to equities and to real estate. Look at the AMOUNT OF PURCHASING POWER that is outlined here, when accounting for all of the monthly cash burn pace, including rent, food, automobiles, outings… (the whole nine yards, basically). That’s A LOT of precious metals!

Theoretically, if the family unit spends $4,000/month, it’s translated into $96,000, converted into precious metals. If every person on the planet did that, or even HALF OF THAT, they wouldn’t be walking around all day with the fear that the NATIONAL DEBT is going to wipe them out!

They also wouldn’t be TOO TIMID to invest in general equities. We published THIS in March, for example, but the companies here are all up more than +30%, with the BEST-PERFORMER close to hitting a DOUBLE, so one had to HAVE COURAGE to buy at the depths of panic. Our inbox was flooded in March with people predicting the Dow Jones hitting 10,000 points and the S&P 500 going to 2,000 points, but waiting for that IMAGINARY BOTTOM (arbitrary) just because some gloom and doomer was bold enough to forecast it DOESN’T MAKE IT A REALITY!

Daily, I still hear voices online, who are HIGHLY POPULAR and get a wild amount of views and shares, calling for -80% crashes and all kinds of end-of-world scenarios – even though, if they traded what they preach, they WOULD BE HOMELESS and broke TODAY.

After the MARCH PANIC was done and the MAD RALLY commenced, we were convinced there was MORE TO COME and, in late May, we published THIS.

Again, SERIOUS DOUBTERS didn’t let go of their cash and disregarded this report, yet it’s FILLED WITH GOODIES, including a +52% gain in a little-known industry dominator.

The prices of these stocks are FAR HIGHER than in the reports and we don’t believe we’ll see these securities trade that cheap for years.

In July, we came up with our THIRD ONE and in late August, we publicized our TECH ONE. We even called them the last great buying opportunities and, SURE ENOUGH, a month after they were published, indices were at all-time highs!

When you own 24 months’ worth of spending in precious metals, you’ll have a different perspective of risk!

That’s the BOTTOM LINE and you’ll be able to participate in the wave of innovation that’s sweeping the planet.

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GRAND LARCENY: TRUMP’S PLAYING WITH FIRE!

This article was contributed by James Davis with Future Money Trends. 

Donald Trump authored a book called The Art of the Deal. In it, he lays out his philosophy on business and, MORE SPECIFICALLY, on negotiations.

I want to analyze a number of KEY QUOTES from the book since they serve as a benchmark for what we’re about TO SEE NEXT:

  1. “Good publicity is preferable to bad, but from a bottom-line perspective, bad publicity is sometimes better than no publicity at all. Controversy, in short, sells.”

In this quote, President Trump is emphasizing the benefits of BEING CONTROVERSIAL over being boring. He chooses the latter and we believe that he definitely took this business approach into the presidency.

Virtually anything he does has a twist to it that inspires news commentators and headlines.

Here’s what happened JUST TWO DAYS ago:

This Twitter blast SPOOKED MARKETS in a way that was nearly instant. Trump is deploying another strategy that he shared in the book, which is that WHEN NEGOTIATING, you must be willing to say “NO” and to stand your ground.

It’s probably second nature to him, so investors who do not know HIS PLAYBOOK believed this was the end of it, but these are more like OPENING REMARKS.

The whole world has seen COVID-19 shock small businesses, large corporations, and anything in between.

People have been talking about the reset for decades. To us, this was A HUGE RESET — this was it.

There has been an UNPRECEDENTED EFFORT by all governments to weather through this crisis, and the GLOBAL RECOVERY could usher in a period of prosperity NOT SEEN since the end of WW2.

Don’t think in terms of doom and gloom – THINK REALITY.

I own a large amount of physical precious metals. In my opinion, their price will continue to rise over time, so I’m actually COMPOUNDING MY SAVINGS, but what the gold bugs MISS OUT ON is that all they do is HOPELESSLY WAIT for equities to suffer an 80% crash that may or may not occur once every 50-100 years. In the meantime, they aren’t IN THE GAME of equities and real estate, which is a shame, since asset prices are ON A TEAR.

Politicians around the world are operating under IMMENSE PRESSURE to ease, monetize, and stimulate their economies. They are on the brink of SOCIETAL MAYHEM if they don’t!

Everything is RIGGED IN YOUR FAVOR; the market is signaling to you that a massive growth period is ahead of us. We’d SHUT DOWN the global economy, and it doesn’t get MORE DIFFICULT than that, so the contrarian bet is to be engaged, not await some DREADED SECOND WAVE that may never come.

The U.S. will support and stimulate, China will do the same, and Europe will follow suit.

  1. “MY STYLE of deal-making is quite simple and straightforward. I aim very high, and then I just keep pushing and pushing and pushing to get what I’m after.”

It takes a UNIQUE INDIVIDUAL to actually walk the talk of this great quote. This is literally the essence of being a shark in business, but in order to GET IT DONE, the other side must really like you (since they’re conceding), be distressed (in a weak spot), or be intimidated (Trump applies massive leverage).

It’s easier said than done, but we shall see how Trump makes this quote a reality and IF he is able to get the deal pushed through because Americans are OVERWHELMINGLY SUPPORTIVE of more fiscal stimulus.

  1. “Leverage: don’t make deals without it. Enhance.”

Trump is going for it and you’re either going to HATE HIS GUTS or be a raving fan; very few are in between.

We believe that in the next ten years, the business opportunities that this “new normal” will present are going to create wealthier people than Jeff Bezos.

Get in the game NOW!

The post GRAND LARCENY: TRUMP’S PLAYING WITH FIRE! first appeared on SHTF Plan – When It Hits The Fan, Don't Say We Didn't Warn You.

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“This is An Environment That Gold, Silver, & Precious Metals THRIVE On!”

During this systematically planned dollar collapse that the Federal Reserve wants to blame on a virus, precious metals are thriving. And these metals are the only way to really protect your wealth in the coming months as the crash intensifies.

On a My Future Business Show, entrepreneur, philanthropist, and the founder of Blue Lagoon Resources, Rana Vig talks about gold and other precious metals, and how they can help protect your wealth during this market crash. With more than 30 years’ experience, Rana has a proven track record in taking private companies public in the Canadian public markets. 

Vig begins by saying “people are recognizing that their dollar, their currency, is becoming worthless!” Precious metals can help you preserve your buying power especially gold, says Vig. But copper is going to be a “big play” too he added. Copper is going to be the next big story because of the technoloical advancements in things such as electric cars.

For more information on Vig and Blue Lagoon Resources, read the following:

During his 30-year career, Vig has helped to launch five business ventures in the private industry. He has been involved in several publicly traded companies since 2010, serving first as an executive at an industry-leading algorithmic securities trading systems company and then of an award-winning automated referral marketing solutions company that powered loyalty and referral marketing programs across 39 countries for brands including AT&T, Sprint, Telus, Envision Financial and others.

From 2011 to 2016 Rana served as President of Musgrove Minerals, an Idaho focused gold and copper mining exploration company, and from 2013 to 2016, he was the Chairman and CEO of Continental Precious Minerals Inc., a TSX senior board exploration company with a focus on advancing one of the largest uranium projects in the world, located in Sweden. Rana is a former chair of BC Open Learning Agency and serves on several public company boards and committees. He is active in many charitable and community organizations acting as director or advisor. In November 2017, Rana was invited to the Canadian Senate to receive the Senate 150th Anniversary Medal – which were awarded to top Canadians actively involved in their communities who, through generosity, dedication, and hard work, make their hometowns and communities, a better place to live. During this content-rich call, Rana provides insights into gold and other precious metal investment options, and he shares the story of how a meeting with Hollywood actor Will Smith, reminded him of the importance of giving back to society. To learn more about Blue Lagoon Resources, or to contact Rana directly, click the link below. https://myfuturebusiness.com/rana-vig. YouTube, My Future Business Interview Description

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SUCKER’S SELL-OFF: Silver Can Double By MARCH 2021!

This article was contributed by Tom Beck with Portfolio Wealth Global. 

Silver is getting BEATEN DOWN in the past two weeks and there are tons of sellers; it’s a COLOSSAL ERROR to be selling right now, since, in our opinion, this is a FINAL SHAKEOUT before silver climbs over $30/ounce by the end of 2020!

This cash scare into dollars again is foolish and has NO MERIT.

Courtesy: U.S. Global Investors

As you can see, both gold and silver are OVERSOLD, yet the GOLDEN CROSS remains intact.

We believe that traders who opted out have signed their DEATH WARRANT.

They’re literally JUMPING SHIP, just as it is leaving the dock and sailing to the BAY OF PLENTY.

Courtesy: U.S. Global Investors

This correction in precious metals is SO NORMAL that it actually confirms the trend is in place.

Now I want to show you just how unique the BIG PICTURE OUTLOOK is for precious metals if the U.S. government continues to monetize the debt without some restrictive measures.

In the coming years, the ratio between gold and the S&P 500 is set to close and shrink, because of the DISTINCT CORRELATION between deficits and the speed at which it is growing and gold’s relative value.

Take a look at the following:

Courtesy: Zerohedge.com, Crescat Capital LLC

Do you realize the amount of funny money that central banks have used to fight off the MARCH PANIC? It’s stunning!

The way to play this trend is to understand just how UNPRECEDENTED MEASURES could manifest themselves in a few months, once the fear of Covid-19 is totally vanquished since what we’ll HAVE LEFT is all of this currency and debt.

Courtesy: Zerohedge.com

After the most aggressive sell-off in tech in the PAST TWO YEARS, we believe that this is a time to be ENTERING EQUITIES, precious metals, and real estate; we do believe in the recovery and we feel strongly that TREMENDOUS GAINS are to come!

Certainly, not everyone believes this, as you can see by September’s rout; the fact remains that populism is on the rise EVERYWHERE and that forces governments to react.

In 2-3 years, when silver is priced over $50/ounce, many will shake their heads at how obvious this was – I don’t plan to be one of them. I’m invested and believe that this SHAKEOUT was the last one before silver goes to $30/ounce.

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SILVER ON DEATH BED: Chopped And SLAUGHTERED!

This article was contributed by Lior Gantz with Wealth Research Group. 

September has been HARD to STOMACH; the NASDAQ 100, S&P 500, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average have all been THROUGH THE WRINGER. A proper correction is in place, just like we’ve been WARNING ABOUT since the end of August.

There are COUNTLESS money managers, who RETAIN THE VIEW that there’s so much more selling in the coming months that it is becoming apparent that we’re actually in a BUYING OPPORTUNITY.

I want to show you why I’ve been BUYING THIS DIP:

Courtesy: Zerohedge.com, @BearTrapsReport

As you can see, the NASDAQ 100 has seen its FAIR SHARE of big down days, but the trend is VISIBLY BULLISH; I don’t see a reason to believe that this index has entered a rough patch – the companies that comprise it are GROWING and this is normal action for the past two years.

This sustained bull market won’t go on WITHOUT VOLATILITY, though, since now there are hundreds of thousands, IF NOT MILLIONS, of new traders. That means QUICKER sentiment changes and people flipping ON A DIME.

I am staying focused on the big-picture FUNDAMENTALS, which are driving the BULL MARKET:

  1. Interest rates pegged to zero until 2023, if not longer.
  2. Massive hoard of cash on the institutional sidelines.
  3. An entire generation of investors is entering peak earning years, forming families, leaving their parents’ homes and buying homes of their own (millennials).
  4. Newly-found awareness towards gold, influenced by Bitcoin’s adoption.

Courtesy: Zerohedge.com

A RECORD AMOUNT of money has exited stocks in the past week, so if you’re STILL IN CASH, waiting for further discounts, know that you’re PLAYING WITH FIRE, since you may not get a chance to enter at a better price.

In Europe, where quarantines are being attempted again, the general population is LASHING OUT, letting politicians know that it’s time to learn to live WITH COVID-19, not to close everything down like in March and April.

The consensus towards accepting the fact that this pandemic will continue costing lives, but that there’s a NEED FOR BALANCE as well, is coming to the forefront.

You can save the people who are at risk by isolating only them, taking care of their health and well-being by various means, while the economy stays open.

The GDP shrinkage has been DEVASTATING for small businesses; I’m stunned at how households that have LOST EVERYTHING are behaving in a very civil manner, but I don’t expect this politeness to last much longer.

There are REAL VICTIMS here, financially speaking, who have lost their whole livelihood.

Courtesy: Zerohedge.com

The dollar index, which is going back up to JULY LEVELS (two-month highs), before gold’s and silver’s INCREDIBLE MOVES, is indicating that the euphoric mania of the summer has come to a close.

That doesn’t mean a new one isn’t starting, though.

In other words, buying certain stocks, after they’ve fallen by 20%-30% in ONE MONTH, isn’t a bad idea (maybe half a position).

Silver is the MOST SUSCEPTIBLE to the strength of the dollar; you can look at its chart and tell that a new POWERFUL RALLY could spark shortly:

Courtesy: Zerohedge.com

In March, after a similar-sized clobbering, it proceeded to DOUBLE in five months!

I’m not sure that’s in store right now, but I do know we were probably handed an opportunity that will not REPEAT ITSELF too often.

The trend hasn’t changed: negative rates, no sign of higher bond yields, and perhaps even INFLATIONARY PRESSURES. Gold and silver have a long racetrack in front of them.

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COLD SWEAT: Millennials Eating S**t – STOCKS SMASHED!

This article was contributed by Lior Gantz of The Wealth Research Group. 

I’m currently in Tel Aviv, where the government has just approved a SECOND LOCKDOWN, more flexible than the one in March/April but still EXTREMELY PAINFUL for businesses (which are forced to shut down again), families (which are now tasked with parenting their children 24/7), the NATIONAL DEBT, which is reaching new highs not seen in decades, and for morale and spirit of individuals, who have seen the COVID-19 virus impact A TINY NUMBER of people compared with the comprehensive response the government is imposing — this is the REAL ISSUE here — the tradeoff between not overwhelming hospitals (which are short of staff and on beds) and halting the lives of the millions, who will not impact statistics, since they’re not at risk.

September is not March or April when the initial shock JUSTIFIED or WAS MORE IN LINE with the quarantines that were enacted around the globe in the eyes of many.

Today, we know MUCH MORE about this disease: it is highly contagious, but not nearly as lethal as previous coronaviruses, such as MERS, Ebola, and SARS.

Because of this, herd immunity is TOTALLY DOABLE while the weakened populations (elderly, diabetic, and obese, for example) remain under PROTECTIVE MEASURES if they elect to.

The fact that CORRUPT POLITICS is paving the way to solutions in many countries is problematic and UNCALLED FOR.

This amazing chart shows SO VIVIDLY the magnitude of the MARCH PANIC.

The world utterly froze and central banks did what no other institution on the planet can do, and that is to use their MAGIC WAND to create endless liquidity and restore needed confidence.

It worked; the global economic machine realized the END of the WORLD isn’t coming.

No one can TAKE AWAY what they accomplished in March, but their actions have second- and third-level consequences that are UNINTENDED but end up being even more meaningful than the response itself.

For example, their liquidity buffer created the Robinhood app bubble phenomenon.

Look at the chart ABOVE again and you’ll see the amount of cash that is returning to equities is still FAR SMALLER than what exited in March.

We believe this SEPTEMBER CORRECTION we’re going through is really good because it points long-term investors to the support levels for stocks, now that millennials understand that there are TWO SIDES to the market coin.

Courtesy: Zerohedge.com

The dollar is clearly weakening, but it has found support at these levels. It could even strengthen a bit, but we believe there’s still a 5%-10% DOWNWARD SPIRAL coming in the 3-6 months ahead of us.

Gold could really jump above $2,000/ounce by the end of the year, along with silver hitting $30.

Right now, though, one has a chance of BUYING TECH at a discount compared with the last two months.

We’ve worked LONG AND HARD on the new TECH WATCH LIST, which you can access HERE.

Many investors have HATED TECH for years, thinking it was a bubble, but that’s not the case.

The world’s fastest-growing businesses are in the fields that include high-tech.

Courtesy: Zerohedge.com

Because real interest rates are STILL NEGATIVE, stocks and precious metals, along with real estate, have a real catalyst to keep GOING UP.

The NASDAQ is down -12% in September.

We’re not in the habit of STAYING INDIFFERENT to discounts.

Think TECH, think gold, think negative rates, and election madness!

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Fw: Is the GREATEST CRASH Ever COMING?

This article was contributed by James Davis with Future Money Trends. 

In 2008, when the markets plunged by 47%, central banks and the government HAD A CHOICE: allow debts and companies to run the normal course of bankruptcy or INFLATE AWAY by intervening in the process. The decision to bail out the financial system’s most powerful corporations, which were the banks, PAVED THE WAY for the unprecedented COVID-19 response and the way interest rates operate globally in 2020.

The Federal Reserve is an institution that COLLECTS DATA from innumerable sources and makes analytical decisions based on its lawful mandate and risk tolerance.

Failure to act in the Great Depression of 1929 has played a major role in the thought processes of FED chairmen over the decades.

A lack of adequate response in 1929 is what historians blame the central bank for. When there’s a monetary system that pegs gold ounces to the supply of government currency, public trust is measured by their ability to convert notes to precious metals. When there’s a STRICTLY CREDIT system in place, as we have right now, gold is marginalized in the eyes of the public.

Only 0.5% of global wealth is held in gold; most don’t care to learn about it and some EVEN SCORN it as a thing of the past, yet it is trading near all-time highs and has been a TOP-TIER performer in the 21st century.

In our opinion, gold is becoming LESS VOLATILE and more of a MUST-OWN asset since the ETFs have made it a thing of comfort to have exposure to.

In my networking group, which I highly respect, we had the following question raised in light of the comparisons made by the CHART BELOW between 2020 and 1929:

Courtesy: Zerohedge.com

 

The question: Is the GREATEST CRASH on record coming?

We’ve gathered answers from billionaires and money managers who are MARKET VETERANS, along with large hedge fund managers. The result? NO MARKET CRASH is predicted!

I want to go over the reasons behind this since many feel like THE EARTH IS SHAKING beneath them and they’ve been living under that premise for years!

The Internet is FILLED WITH forecasts of doom, -80% wealth destructions and the worst economic conditions in modern history, all based on the chart below of the UNSUSTAINABLE NATIONAL DEBT.

Courtesy: Zerohedge.com

Many people can’t sleep at night, worrying about the DEBT LOAD of the federal government, so I’d like to DECONSTRUCT this threat and bring it down to the level of the individual.

The United States’ GDP isn’t growing as fast as its debts are, so the ratio between productivity and debt issuance is GETTING SMALLER, which is to say that it is unsustainable.

Is there a connection between this and the markets? NOT REALLY…

As you can see, total debt is ALWAYS GROWING (since 1971, that is), and even the feared DEBT/GDP ratio is growing along with it, yet because of zero interest rates, it’s actually VERY EASY to pay the interest on the debt, which is what the government does. On top of that, many of the LARGEST EXPENSES are social entitlements, so it can be argued that cutting back on those will MATERIALLY EASE the debt burden, though I can’t say that there’s political will to entice the baby boomers just yet.

The bottom line is that (1) companies are innovating LEFT AND RIGHT, which is what is moving the world forward, and (2) interest rates are so low that owning equities is ONE’S ONLY CHOICE!

Instead of thinking of a market crash, think about the RECORD-HIGH wealth gap!

This is really what the world has to fear because it drives social unrest and PERPETUATES POVERTY. The fact that there is NO CRASH is what makes poverty linger; the people at the bottom of the food chain don’t get to capitalize on the wealthy’s mistakes.

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WARNING: COULD GET NASTY FOR SILVER!

This article was contributed by Lior Gantz of the Wealth Research Group. 

I know many want to hear that silver is ON ITS WAY to hitting $50/ounce at the SNAP OF A FINGER, but it might take a while for that to occur.

In March, $30tn worth of stocks and bonds WAS SOLD, creating enormous demand for dollars. This squeeze caused the paper price of silver to drop to $12/ounce, EVEN WHILE the physical metal was selling for double that amount.

The spread was big as it ever was. The return of liquidity to markets, ORCHESTRATED by the Federal Reserve, reassured businesses and individuals the world over that this isn’t a credit contraction. Instead, they can safely resume MARKET ACTIVITY and they did, with bullish fury.

Millennials and, in general, retail investors, who have either been staying at home, laid-off or put on paid/non-paid leave, have been looking for ways to replace their NORMAL WAGES. They have turned to the stock market, a phenomenon that has pushed valuations for certain stocks to LA-LA-LAND.

This recent correction in the NASDAQ has brought down some of the greed factor, but it’s still here and won’t be COMPLETELY DIMINISHING for the foreseeable future.

Courtesy: Zerohedge.com

Market forecasters thought that once the professionals STARTED SELLING, these retail traders would be shaken out and run back to their caves, but as you can see, hedge funds have begun buying, NOT SELLING.

What’s really interesting is that the wealthy and the institutional money have been either SELLING or MARGINALLY BUYING throughout this period, certain of themselves that cash is better than owning stocks.

While central banks have been SHOWERING LIQUIDITY, the wealthy have been sitting in the stands LIKE SPECTATORS, viewing the match from the sidelines.

This has been A HUGE MISTAKE!

Contrary to their tactic, we’ve not been fighting with the FED and, INSTEAD, have been buying LEFT AND RIGHT, which has resulted in MASSIVE GAINS.

Courtesy: U.S. Global Investors

Is it time to RECONSIDER BULLISHNESS? The true answer is that it’s an ETERNAL QUESTION that an investor ought to ask himself on a daily basis.

We believe that the STRONG BOUNCE is largely over, in both silver and tech stocks. The justification for higher prices will come after the UNKNOWNS become known:

  1. Who will win the elections? American historian Allan Lichtman, who has correctly predicted all election results since 1981, save for Al Gore’s loss (cheated by voter fraud and voter count suppression in Florida, though), has predicted A BIDEN VICTORY- we shall see…

If that happens, corporate taxes and probably CAPITAL GAINS taxes are going higher, thus companies will be worth less.

Consider that possibility for a second, because it’s one reason that Ray Dalio is diversifying OUT OF U.S. EQUITIES and into other regions.

Courtesy: Zerohedge.com

Could anyone have predicted how much FANGMAN (Facebook, Amazon, Netflix, Google, Microsoft, Apple, and Nvidia) would be COLLECTIVELY WORTH, driving the indices into all-time highs, even while the other 490 companies are relatively flat? NO! This is the value of owning AN INDEX FUND!

Now, though, with the index at all-time highs and with this HUGE BOUNCE back, the best investors are looking at the DICHOTOMY, which is to say that they’re investing in the distressed industries, which are cheap, not solely in the ones that enjoyed a STRONG TAILWIND from stay-at-home orders.

With regards to silver, you can see that investors are taking profits, AT THE MOMENT (the red lines are monthly NET OUTFLOWS):

Courtesy: Zerohedge.com

This is GOOD if you understand that it means that there’s NO BUBBLE in silver, but it’s BAD if you leveraged and are overweight on silver at present.

Silver is up more than 100% since March.

Trade with AGGRESSIVE PATIENCE; in other words, let opportunities come to you!

 

The post WARNING: COULD GET NASTY FOR SILVER! first appeared on SHTF Plan – When It Hits The Fan, Don't Say We Didn't Warn You.

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YOU’RE PLAYING WITH FIRE!

This article was contributed by Tom Beck of Portfolio Wealth Global. 

Today’s letter is all about UNPACKING and processing together the tremendous rally we’ve seen. Let’s go through the evidence and DISCOVER just how insane this has been.

Looking both at historical data and short-term technical analysis, IT LOOKS GRIM so I want to ROLL OUT the graphs.

Courtesy: Zerohedge.com

Many of you look at this data and CHOOSE TO brush it off, but I wouldn’t, because what it means is that the RETAIL PUBLIC, which has an average holding period for stocks that is measured in hours and days (since they have NO IDEA what they’re doing), is SUPER-ACTIVE.

They’re out there trading options, a game with an 88% probability of losing one’s capital.

WHERE DID THIS CONFIDENCE ORIGINATE FROM?

  1. The S&P 500 set a 52-week high for a week straight.
  2. This has never happened before, but the VOLUME OF OPTIONS is more than the volume of stocks that traded in the month of July!

In other words, there is NOTHING SUSTAINABLE about what we’re seeing!

It’s also VERY CONFUSING for stock pickers, since out of over 3,000 NYSE companies, only about 40 are at 52-week highs, while the indices themselves are CELEBRATING RECORDS.

  1. The Volatility index (VIX) has not breathed a sigh of relief throughout this rally, so I’m telling you – there’s SOMETHING REALLY WRONG about this rally in stocks.

It’s NOT NORMAL for stocks to trade higher into new highs, with the VIX rising in tandem. It only occurs before MAJOR SELL-OFFS.

Courtesy: Zerohedge.com, Crescat Capital LLC (good graphs)

As you can see, we’re actually back to TURN-OF-THE-CENTURY undervaluation!

The case is clear as day and the potential is quite astonishing.

Bottom line is that in the traditional markets, there are VERY FEW companies that are still attractive. You’ll notice that Buffett is now buying JAPANESE COMPANIES!

Say what you want, but I find it astonishing that the man who believed in America for 90 years can’t find a single good investment to make, apart from Barrick Gold and Japanese businesses!

Gold is where IT’S AT.

Wait for it to go past $2,000/ounce again and wait for those earnings from the mining giants; I think we have a GREAT FUTURE ahead of us!

The post YOU’RE PLAYING WITH FIRE! first appeared on SHTF Plan – When It Hits The Fan, Don't Say We Didn't Warn You.

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I’VE HAD ENOUGH OF THIS BULLSHIT!

This article was contributed by James Davis of Future Money Trends. 

On Sunday, I wrote the first of two WARNING ALERTS about the stock market. Today, I am publishing the second one. My message boils down to this: as of right now, the S&P 500, the NASDAQ 100, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average are EXPENSIVE.

The chief reason for this is the LACK OF VIABLE ALTERNATIVES for generating returns in a ZERO-RATE world.

This is factored in, but some people still SHAKE THEIR HEADS in disbelief regarding how much the markets have extended themselves, so here’s some perspective as to how much more expensive GOVERNMENT BONDS are than stocks:

  1. A 10-year U.S. Government Treasury bond is GUARANTEED to lose income since it yields 0.65%. As a whole, the G-10 governments offer less than 2%. On the flip-side, the S&P 500 has a P/E ratio of 27, which implies an earnings yield of 3.7% (100/27). Add the dividend yield of 1.7% and the “lack of judgment” on the part of investors becomes clear: STOCKS are better than BONDS. It’s not even a question. Given the choice, I’d buy an index fund over a bond any day of the week.

 

  1. The RISK FACTOR with bonds and stocks has changed. Bonds used to be looked at as ULTIMATE SAFE HAVENS, but fewer and fewer people ASCRIBE A PREMIUM to a government than to the world’s best businesses.

Can anyone really say that they are more concerned about the future prospect of a company like Google or Starbucks than with Washington? To me, the safety that some companies have in their brand’s loyalty is bulletproof.

Some businesses are bigger, better, and more resilient than most of the world’s treasury departments.

Courtesy: Zerohedge.com

But, as much as I think that a basket of high-quality stocks are more attractive than bonds, I also have to say that GOLD STOCKS beat the traditional equities right now!

No matter how I spin it around, I love the resource sector’s health, strength, corporate behavior, and I MOST LOVE the fact that the product it sells is in HIGH DEMAND and its price is in a bull market.

Since June 2019, this newsletter has profiled more than TEN OPPORTUNITIES that have doubled in price or more. One company is up close to 400% and another is close to 300%, yet I feel that it isn’t the end of this.

In September, some of this EUPHORIA MODE with retail investors will die off.

No one knows how SEVERE IT will be, but any LOSS OF MOMENTUM would immediately shine a light on gold again.

Courtesy: Zerohedge.com

As you know, Warren Buffett is buying stocks, so he clearly knows that he can’t KEEP WAITING for lower valuations like in the last few decades because we live in a DIFFERENT REALITY.

The point is that stocks do look more attractive than bonds, but the resource sector is the MOST UNDERVALUED within the major industrial sectors.

Any weakness exhibited by the S&P 500 will serve as a MIRROR OF CONTRAST to how good gold companies have managed their BALANCE SHEETS.

Don’t struggle with why stocks are so richly valued as an index:

  1. Either act as a STOCK PICKER, focusing solely on those that offer good value, OR
  2. Step outside of the general equities and look at the value in the resource sector!

When gold SURGES ABOVE $2,000/ounce again, this sector will ERUPT!

The post I’VE HAD ENOUGH OF THIS BULLSHIT! first appeared on SHTF Plan – When It Hits The Fan, Don't Say We Didn't Warn You.

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