Categories
Election 2020 Intelwars Pennsylvania ballots Pennsylvania election results Pennsylvania secretary of state

Horowitz: New analysis shows Biden winning nearly impossible margins on mail-in ballots in Pennsylvania

There has been a lot of focus on the number of mail-in ballots counted in Pennsylvania and the illegal state Supreme Court decisions that enabled them. But what is even more important to examine is the impossible margins Joe Biden would have achieved just among those mail-in ballots and just in Pennsylvania in order to obtain the unofficial lead he currently has.

Here are the facts. We know that 2.6 million mail-in ballots have been counted in the Pennsylvania election returns, in addition to nearly 4.2 million Election Day votes. We also know from the secretary of state that Trump won Election Day votes, 2.7 million to 1.4 million. But we are to believe that Biden won 76% of mail-in ballots.

Yes, mail-ins overwhelmingly skewed Democrat, like Election Day votes skewed Republican, but they were not all from Democrats. We know that 64.7% of those votes were from registered Democrats, 23.7% from Republicans, and 11.6% from nonpartisan or other party voters.

What does this mean in simple arithmetic? My friend (who goes by screen name Gummi Bear on Twitter) crunched the numbers and showed that had Biden won 95% of returned Democrat mail-in votes, 21% of returned Republican votes, and 80% of returned independent votes, he would still have come up short of his margin of victory reported in the unofficial tally.

We know those numbers alone are absurd. There is no way Biden won 21% of mail-in ballots from registered Republicans in this state. Exit polls showed Biden getting just 8% of the GOP vote overall. While the 95% number for Democrat mail-ins is more believable (exits showed him getting 92%), the notion that 80% of mail-ins from independents went to Biden is nearly impossible. Exit polls showed Biden winning 52% of the vote of independents overall. It would defy logic to think that there was such a qualitative gap between the type of independents who came out on Election Day and those who voted by mail.

Assuming the mail-ins broke down in accordance with the exit polls, Biden would be down by 213K votes, even if every one of the 2.6 million mail-ins were truly valid and had proper matching signatures.

And speaking of signature validation, this statistical anomaly should lend a lot of suspicion to the already questionably low rejection rate of mail-in ballots this year. According to the 2016 Election Administration and Voting Survey, the rejection rate last election was just a tad under 1% in the Keystone State, even though there were only 266K mail-in ballots, which are mainly those who have experience filling out absentee ballots. This year, with 2.6 million mail-ins, consisting primarily of first-timers, we are to believe that just 0.038% were invalid?

Some estimates show that mail-in ballots from first-timers are three times more likely to be rejected. Yet we are to believe the acceptance rate this year was 27 times higher than in 2016?

Can you imagine what we would find if there was an attempt to audit and match all 2.6 million ballots for valid signatures and other information? Even Barack Obama, during his March 2008 primary with Hillary Clinton, raised concerns about the need to verify signatures on mail-in ballots.


FLASHBACK: Obama Cast Doubt On Mail-In Ballots, Praised Signature Verification (As Dems Sue To Ban)

www.youtube.com

The sheer number of perfectly completed absentee ballots and the shockingly lopsided margins for Biden seem to lie beyond our willing suspension of disbelief on numerous fronts. For example, as state Sen. Mike Jones (R) explained at the hearing in Gettysburg last Wednesday, just an apples-to-apples comparison between Republican Election Day vs. Republican mail-in ballots and then Democrat Election Day vs. Democrat mail-in ballots reveals an extremely anomalous and contradictory trend in down-ballot races as compared to the presidential race.

While Trump supposedly lost at the top of the ticket, Republican Stacy Garrity beat incumbent Democrat Joseph Torsella in the race for state treasurer, even though she garnered 91,000 fewer votes than Trump. That in itself is not surprising, because many people don’t bother to complete the down-ballot votes, so it stands to reason that the total votes cast would be lower. What is interesting, however, is that while Trump got 170,000 more Election Day votes than Garrity, the obscure Republican running for the little-known state treasurer office got 41,000 more votes than Trump via mail-ins.

Source: Pennsylvania Secretary of State

So again, mail-in voters seem to really dislike Trump, even compared to other Republicans.

The same dynamic played out in the state auditor’s race, where the Republican ultimately won the election with fewer votes than Trump, but did better than Trump in mail-ins. Trump received 105,000 more votes that Republican Timothy Defoor on Election Day, but managed to receive 65,000 fewer votes among mail-ins.

Source: Pennsylvania Secretary of State

Now hold that thought for a moment.

We see that when comparing predominantly Republican voters to each other in both races, fewer people filled out the ballot for the obscure Republican treasurer and auditor candidates when voting in person. This makes sense, because more people would be in a rush after waiting in line for an hour and would be feeling pressured by the people and election officials around them, compared to those filling out ballots in the comfort of their homes. I’d certainly expect to find more “lazy ballots” among those voting on Election Day.

With this in mind, let’s move on to the race for attorney general. Incumbent Democrat Joshua Shapiro is certainly more well known than either candidate for state treasurer or auditor, and he won by the largest margin of any statewide election candidate that night. If the obscure Republican victor for treasurer outpaced Trump’s total for mail-in ballots (while garnering fewer votes than Trump overall), one would certainly expect Shapiro to outpace Biden among mostly Democrat voters in mail-in ballots.

Source: Pennsylvania Secretary of State

Well, as luck would have it, Shapiro got 52,000 more votes than Biden on Election Day, but 54,000 fewer votes than Biden among mail-ins. If people are lazy about filling out down-ballot races, wouldn’t you expect to see that more among Election Day votes, as we saw with Republican candidates?

These are not conclusions or closing arguments, but these observations definitely warrant further investigation for one simple reason: The entire premise of having an election with one-third of the ballots cast through mail was built upon an illegal political decision by the Pennsylvania Supreme Court, which unilaterally overrode state laws, violating the federal Constitution, which vests state legislatures with the power over election procedures. It also violated the state constitution.

The suggestion that we should somehow move on from this is a greater threat to democracy than anything in our history. Republicans who think they can just walk away from this without controversy will learn the hard way in the years to come about their inability to win against this novel form of electioneering. After all, we live in a time of “the new normal.”

Share
Categories
election Intelwars Judge blocks certification Pennsylvania ballots Pennsylvania election Pennsylvania judge

Judge orders Pennsylvania halt certification of election results as fight over mail-in ballots continues

A Pennsylvania judge has ordered state officials to stop any further action in the certification of election results in the Keystone State until her court is able to hold an evidentiary hearing scheduled on Friday.

Commonwealth Judge Patricia McCullough, issued the injunction order on Wednesday in response to an emergency request made by Republican lawmakers and candidates who claim that a state law allowing no-excuse absentee voting violated the state constitution.

“To the extent that there remains any further action to perfect the certification of the results of the 2020 General Election for the offices of President and Vice President of the United States of America, respondents are preliminarily enjoined from doing so, pending an evidentiary hearing to be held on Friday,” McCullough wrote in the injunction order. “Respondents are preliminarily enjoined from certifying the remaining results of the election, pending the evidentiary hearing.”

McCullough is the presiding judge over a lawsuit brought by Republican lawmakers and candidates against the state, its general assembly, Democratic Gov. Tom Wolf, and Secretary of State Kathy Boockvar.

The plaintiffs in the case allege that the statute in question, Act 77, “is the most expansive and fundamental change to the Pennsylvania voting code, implemented illegally, to date.” They argue that in order for absentee voting to be expanded, a constitutional amendment is required, not just the passage of legislation.

“As with prior historical attempts to illegally expand mail-in voting by statute, which have been struck down going as far back as the Military Absentee Ballot Act of 1839, Act 77 is another illegal attempt to override the limitations on absentee voting prescribed in the Pennsylvania Constitution, without first following the necessary procedure to amend the constitution to allow for the expansion,” the lawsuit reads.

The plaintiffs filed the emergency request after they say state officials announced the certification of presidential election results prematurely. The state certified election results on Tuesday. In 2016, Pennsylvania certified the presidential election on Dec. 12, the Epoch Times noted.

Democratic Pennsylvania Attorney General Josh Shapiro immediately responded to the news, vowing to appeal the order with the state Supreme Court.

News of the order broke as state lawmakers conducted a public hearing on “election issues and irregularities” in Gettysburg, Pennsylvania. Members of President Trump’s legal team were present at the hearing.

Share
Categories
2020 Election election Intelwars Joe Biden Kathy boockvar Pennsylvania Pennsylvania ballots Pennsylvania election Pennsylvania votes President Trump

Pennsylvania judge rules for Trump campaign, says secretary of state lacked authority to change ID deadline days before election

A Pennsylvania judge ruled in favor of the Trump campaign on Thursday, ordering that the state may not count ballots where voters did not provide proof of identification before Nov. 9.

Existing Pennsylvania law states that voters have up to six days after the election to cure issues with a ballot, such as a lack of identification. Election Day was Nov. 3 this year, meaning that voters had until Nov. 9 to correct their ballots.

In September, Pennsylvania’s Supreme Court ruled that mail-in ballots could be accepted three days after Election Day. The issue went to the U.S. Supreme Court, and following a 4-4 tie, Pennsylvania was permitted to accept ballots three days after Election Day.

Two days before Election Day, Pennsylvania Secretary of State Kathy Boockvar (D), who oversees elections in the state, issued a guidance that proof of ID could be provided up until Nov. 12 to cure ballots.

President Trump’s legal team argued that Boockvar had no power to change the date. The ballots received from Nov. 10 through Nov. 12 were segregated until there was a ruling to determine if they would be counted or not.

On Thursday, Pennsylvania Judge Mary Hannah Leavitt ruled that Boockvar “lacked statutory authority” to enable an extension period to cure ballots.

“[T]he Court concludes that Respondent Kathy Boockvar, in her official capacity as Secretary of the Commonwealth, lacked statutory authority to issue the November 1, 2020, guidance to Respondents County Boards of Elections insofar as that guidance purported to change the deadline … for certain electors to verify proof of identification,” Leavitt said in a court order.

“Accordingly, the court hereby orders the respondents County Board of Elections are enjoined from counting any ballots that have been segregated pursuant to Paragraph 1 of this court’s order dated November 5, 2020, granting a special injunction,” Leavitt wrote.

“None of the votes affected by the ruling had yet been included in the state’s official tally,” according to the Philadelphia Inquirer. No indication was given on how many ballots were affected by Judge Leavitt’s ruling.

Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden currently holds a 54,325-vote lead over President Trump in Pennsylvania.

Share
Categories
2020 Election 2020 presidential election Intelwars Pennsylvania Pennsylvania ballots usps

Chaos erupts after Dems claim that USPS whistleblower recanted his testimony, whistleblower denies recanting

The bizarre case of the Erie, Pennsylvania, U.S. Postal Service whistleblower who claims that he overheard his supervisors discussing backdating the postmarks on absentee ballots took another twist Tuesday when Democrats on the House Oversight Committee claimed that the whistleblower recanted, only to have the whistleblower release a video denying that he recanted.

The whistleblower, who has been identified as Richard Hopkins, claimed in an affidavit that he overheard his supervisor telling another postal employee that he had backdated a group of mail-in ballots that were collected on Nov. 4 to make it appear that they had in fact been mailed on Nov. 3. Under a ruling from the Pennsylvania Supreme Court, ballots that were mailed by Nov. 3 will still be counted (pending a legal challenge to this ruling) even if they were received after Election Day.

It is important to note that, even if the whistleblower’s allegations are true, none of the ballots received after Nov. 3 have yet been counted or added to either candidate’s total. Thus, the whistleblower’s allegations do not directly pertain to Biden’s current lead in the state. The state has revealed that about 10,000 votes total were received in the mail between Nov. 3 and Friday, but those ballots have remained sequestered and uncounted pending the Trump campaign’s legal challenge to their inclusion. Presumably, if the Trump campaign’s challenge fails, those ballots will only serve to increase Biden’s current lead in the Keystone State.

Nevertheless, the whistleblower’s affidavit has become a flash point of controversy as it represents one of the few concrete allegations of voter fraud that have been brought forth by the campaign. The affidavit appears to have been the reason for remarks by Senator Lindsey Graham (R-S.C.) over the weekend promising a Senate Judiciary Committee investigation into voting irregularities.

The controversy intensified Tuesday afternoon when Democrats on the House Oversight Committee released a statement claiming that the whistleblower had “recanted” his testimony, a claim that was magnified by many in the media.

Project Veritas, which publicized Hopkins’ story, did not waste time refuting this characterization, releasing a video of Hopkins saying that he did not recant his testimony.

In a subsequent tweet, O’Keefe claims that federal investigators “intimidated” Hopkins and complains that he was interviewed for four hours without legal counsel. He further promised a full release of the transcript of that interview.

Although Hopkins has denied “recanting,” it is not yet clear what he did say to federal agents during their interview or whether he may have revised some details that he claimed in his affidavit.

Hopkins was also praised by President Donald Trump on Twitter, who stated, “A brave patriot. More & more people are stepping forward to expose this Rigged Election!”

Share
Categories
2020 Election 2020 presidential election Alaska Arizona Arizona vote count Georgia Georgia ballots Intelwars Nevada North Carolina Pennsylvania Pennsylvania ballots

Saturday morning and still no victor declared in presidential race. Here’s where things stand now.

It’s Saturday, four days after the what has been called by many “the biggest election of our lifetimes.” As of right now, the race between President Donald Trump and former Vice President Joe Biden is still too close to call. Here’s where things stand at the moment in the six states yet to be called.

Pennsylvania — 20 electoral votes

? Biden leads by 29,000 votes.

? There are about 89,000 ballots left to count statewide according to the state’s voting website, votespa.com. Allegheny County in Pennsylvania has about 30,000 ballots remaining to be counted, and Philadelphia has about 20,000, the state’s site reported. Those results are expected to be posted by Saturday afternoon. County Executive Rich Fitzgerald told CNN that there are another 17,000 provisional ballots that will be counted by next week.

Supreme Court Justice on Friday evening issued an order that ballots received after 8 p.m. ET on Election Day be segregated, Fox News reported. The segregation was already supposed to be happening statewide per an agreement state officials had made previously. Alito’s order was to ensure that “all boards are complying” with the statewide guidance on vote segregation.

Georgia — 16 electoral votes

? Biden leads by 7,000 votes.

? As of Friday night, Georgia was reporting 8,400 outstanding military ballots that could be received by the end of the day to be counted, as long as the were postmarked by Nov. 4. This does not mean there are 8,400 military ballots to be counted — just that there could be up to that many if hey were all sent in by Friday night and had the correct postmark.

The state also said it had 14,200 provisional ballots outstanding as of Friday night.

With as close things are in the Peach State now, the Georgia secretary of state said Friday that there will be a statewide recount.

Nevada — 6 electoral votes

? Biden leads by 23,000 votes.

? State officials told CNN the the Silver State still had 124,500 outstanding ballots and that there are approximately 60,000 provisional ballots. According to officials, 90% of the ballots remaining to be counted are from Clark County, the home of Las Vegas where Democrats have performed well.

The state is expecting to release more vote counts Saturday afternoon.

Many observers are asking what’s taking so long in Nevada. But according to KABC-TV, “government officials say they are emphasizing accuracy over speed in a year when processing an unprecedented flood of mail-in ballots under extended deadlines is taking more time.”

Secretary of State spokeswoman Jennifer A. Russell said in an email to KABC, “We told everyone early on that results would take at least ten days.”

Arizona — 11 electoral votes

? Biden leads by 30,000 votes

? Trump ate into Biden’s lead when the state updated its totals Friday evening. There are still 173,000 ballots remaining to be counted, including 47,000 provisional ballots.

Officials expect to put out another batch of vote counts by 11 a.m. ET.

North Carolina — 15 electoral votes

? Trump leads by 76,000 votes.

? Though it seems unlikely that Biden can overtake Trump’s significant lead in North Carolina, the state remains too close to call because, according to WSOC-TV, the state is still receiving ballots. In fact, the state has said it will process and count votes delivered by mail through Nov. 12, as long as they were postmarked by Nov. 4.

Counties have until Nov. 13 to finish counting.

Alaska — 3 electoral votes

? Trump leads by 54,000

? Here’s another state where it seems unlikely Biden can make up the difference. But so far, only about 47% of the vote has been counted. The state’s system does not allow officials to begin counting absentee ballots or in-person early votes until Nov. 10, Forbes said. The makes Alaska the last state in the union to county absentee ballots.

According to Forbes, “Mail-in ballots in Alaska must be postmarked by Election Day, but must be received by Nov. 13 for voters within the U.S., or by Nov. 18 for voters outside the U.S., and the vote count must be completed by Nov. 18.”

Share
Categories
2020 Election 2020 presidential election Dead people voting Intelwars Pennsylvania Pennsylvania ballots Pennsylvania election voting fraud voting irregularities

Lawsuit: At least 21,000 dead people registered on Pennsylvania’s voter rolls

There are at least 21,000 dead people registered on the state of Pennsylvania’s voter rolls, according to a lawsuit filed by a legal group.

A lawsuit filed on Thursday by the Public Interest Legal Foundation claims that there are tens of thousands of deceased registrants on voter rolls in Pennsylvania. The amended lawsuit filed against the Pennsylvania Department of State alleges that Pennsylvania failed to “reasonably maintain voter registration records under federal and state law” during the 2020 presidential election cycle.

The lawsuit alleges that a vast majority are from over a year ago. According to the lawsuit, 92% of the 21,000 deceased people on Pennsylvania’s voter rolls died earlier than October 2019. Thousands of the alleged registered dead people reportedly died over five years ago.

“As of October 7, 2020, at least 9,212 registrants have been dead for at least five years, at least 1,990 registrants have been dead for at least ten years, and at least 197 registrants have been dead for at least twenty years … Pennsylvania still left the names of more than 21,000 dead individuals on the voter rolls less than a month before one of the most consequential general elections for federal officeholders in many years,” the filing states.

The legal group claims that in 2016 and 2018, there were 216 instances of dead people voting.

“This case is about ensuring that those deceased registrants are not receiving ballots,” PILF President and General Counsel J. Christian Adams said in a statement. “This case isn’t complicated. For nearly a year, we’ve been offering specific data on deceased registrants to Pennsylvania officials for proper handling ahead of what was expected to be a tight outcome on Election Day.

“When you push mail voting, your voter list maintenance mistakes made years ago will come back to haunt in the form of unnecessary recipients and nagging questions about unreturned or outstanding ballots,” Adams warned.

The lawsuit was filed in the United States District Court for the Middle District of Pennsylvania.

The Public Interest Legal Foundation is an Indiana-based 501(c)(3) public interest law firm founded in 2012 that claims it is “dedicated entirely to election integrity.”

“The Foundation exists to assist states and others to aid the cause of election integrity and fight against lawlessness in American elections,” the PILF website states. PILF has previously filed cases in Arizona, Florida, Illinois, Maine, Maryland, Michigan, Mississippi, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Texas, and Virginia.

On Thursday, the Trump campaign filed a federal lawsuit in Nevada in an attempt to stop the counting of “illegal votes.” The suit alleges that thousands of nonresidents and dead people have cast ballots in the state.

In Michigan, there were reports of extremely elderly voters, who would be so old that they would likely be deceased, mailing in absentee ballots. A viral social media post allegedly showed several people who were over 118 years old casting their ballots in the 2020 election. Michigan’s secretary of state’s office said the error is a glitch in the system.

Share
Categories
2020 Election 2020 presidential election Arizona Arizona vote count Donald Trump Georgia ballots Intelwars Nevada Pennsylvania Pennsylvania ballots Pennsylvania election

Trump campaign responds to outfit that called Pennsylvania — and the election — for Biden: Not so fast

Decision Desk HQ called the Pennsylvania race for former Vice President Joe Biden on Friday at 8:50 a.m. ET. And with that, they declared Biden the winner of the 2020 presidential election.

But the Trump campaign had a quick response: Not so fast; this thing’s not over yet.

What happened?

Decision Desk HQ tweeted Friday morning, “Decision Desk HQ projects that @JoeBiden has won Pennsylvania and its 20 electoral college votes for a total of 273.”

“Joe Biden has been elected the 46th President of the United States of America,” the outfit continued. “Race called at 11-06 08:50 AM EST”

So far, Decision Desk is the only outlet to call Pennsylvania one way or the other. Everyone from Fox News to CNN and the New York Times still considers the Keystone State to be too close to call.

Naturally, the Trump campaign shot back a response quickly, attempting to quash any claims that the race is over.

“This election is not over. The false projection of Joe Biden as the winner is based on results in four states that are far from final,” Trump 2020 campaign general counsel Matt Morgan said in a statement.

“Georgia is headed for a recount, where we are confident we will find ballots improperly harvested, and where President Trump will ultimately prevail,” he added.

Georgia’s secretary of state announced Friday morning that the state would be going to a recount and that there are nearly 9,000 outstanding military ballots.

Morgan went on to note that there have been multiple accusations of voting irregularities in Pennsylvania and that those issues should preclude any declarations of a victor there.

“There were many irregularities in Pennsylvania, including having election officials prevent our volunteer legal observers from having meaningful access to vote counting locations,” Morgan said. “We prevailed in court on our challenge, but were deprived of valuable time and denied the transparency we are entitled to under state law.”

Then there are the alleged problems in Nevada, Morgan continued, saying, “In Nevada, there appear to be thousands of individuals who improperly cast mail ballots.”

And the Trump team is still optimistic when it comes to Arizona. Their team believes the president can still pull out a win there.

“Finally, the President is on course to win Arizona outright, despite the irresponsible and erroneous ‘calling’ of the state for Biden by Fox News and the Associated Press,” Morgan said. “Biden is relying on these states for his phony claim on the White House, but once the election is final, President Trump will be re-elected.”

The latest batch of votes counted in Arizona did show Trump cutting into Biden’s lead. However, they might not be enough, considering that Trump needs 58% of remaining ballots to go his way. He garnered only 51% of the most recent batch.

Share
Categories
court order Donald Trump Election 2020 Intelwars Joe Biden Pennsylvania ballots Philadelphia watch

Trump campaign allegedly being prevented from watching vote count in Philadelphia despite court order allowing them to do so

Members of President Donald Trump’s campaign Thursday allegedly were not being permitted to observe ballot counting in the Philadelphia Convention Center despite a court order issued earlier in the day allowing them to do so.

What are the details?

A Philadelphia court ruled Thursday morning that poll watchers were allowed to be within six feet of ballot counting at the Pennsylvania Convention Center rather than the previous 20-foot perimeter, KYW-TV reported.

Pam Bondi and Corey Lewandowski of the Trump Campaign presented the order, which went into effect at 10:30 a.m., the station said, adding that the pair said it allows them access inside and up to six feet of the vote-counters. KYW reported that they then walked inside the convention center.

However, two videos posted to social media show Trump campaign representatives — including Lewandowski — declaring that they were being blocked from observing the count:

Lewandowski said in the above clip that Philadelphia officials “refuse to honor the judge’s order” giving them access and that it “flies in the face of democracy.” He added that “the attorney for the city said they are going to evaluate … the judge’s order.”

A woman who said she’s an attorney representing Philadelphia stated in the above clip that the city is “evaluating” the judge’s order and determining “what the order means” and “when they’re ready to talk to you about it, they will.” The woman also said the city isn’t violating the court order by its actions.

Ballot counting in Philadelphia was halted for about an hour Thursday morning due to legal challenges, KYW said in a separate story. It isn’t clear if above videos were recorded when counting was paused or not.

City commissioners tweeted later that the count was back on:

However, TheBlaze looked at the livestream referred to in the above tweet just before 4:30 p.m. Thursday, and it didn’t appear to show poll watchers standing within six feet of ballot counters.

Still, Republican Philadelphia City Commissioner Al Schmidt told KYW that representatives from both the Trump campaign and from Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden’s campaign were watching the vote count.

“They’re observing all of it,” Schmidt noted to the station.

None of the three Philadelphia commissioners on Thursday immediately responded to TheBlaze’s request for comment on the allegations that Trump officials were being prevented from observing the vote count despite the court order allowing them to do so.

Anything else?

The
Associated Press reported late Wednesday that Trump’s campaign sued to stop the Pennsylvania vote count over lack of “transparency” and was seeking to intervene in the Supreme Court case. Fox News said the lawsuit was meant to overturn a SCOTUS decision that allows Pennsylvania to continue counting mail-in ballots received after Tuesday until Friday, as long as they were postmarked by Nov. 3.

An NBC News reporter said Thursday she incorrectly tweeted that the Pennsylvania Supreme Court overruled the lower court’s decision favoring the Trump campaign and added that the state’s high court hasn’t “weighed in” on the case yet.

Pennsylvania officials on Thursday were still counting mail-in ballots for Trump and Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden. Winning the state’s 20 electoral votes would put Biden above the 270-vote threshold that determines the winner of the election.

Share
Categories
2020 presidential election Donald Trump electoral college Intelwars Joe Biden Pennsylvania ballots Vote counting

Pennsylvania vote-count status: Biden inching closer to Trump, several hundred thousand ballots reportedly left to tally

While President Donald Trump was still leading the vote count in Pennsylvania on Thursday morning, Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden has cut into that lead quite a bit as mail-in ballots — which Democratic voters favored in 2020 by huge margins — continue to be tallied.

As of about 9 a.m. Thursday, the Pennsylvania Department of State election returns site reported Trump with 3,207,795 votes and Biden with 3,031,627 votes — a difference of just over 176,000. Biden has closed the gap considerably, as late Wednesday morning he had just under 2.5 million votes, while Trump at the time had just over 3 million.

If Biden is declared the winner in Pennsylvania — which is allotted 20 electoral votes — that would put him over the 270 electoral votes needed to win the presidency. Biden’s electoral vote total as of Thursday morning remained at 253.

The number of ballots left to count in Pennsylvania appears to be a point of contention — and certainly will change as new batches are added to the total. But Julian Routh, the politics reporter for the Pittsburgh Post-Gazette, has been closely following the Pennsylvania returns and noted just after 1 a.m. Thursday that, by his estimates, there were about 488,000 mail-in ballots left to count.

The New York Times reported early Wednesday that Biden was winning absentee ballots by an overwhelming margin, according to data from the secretary of state, and that he’d take the Keystone State if the trend continued.

The other side of the aisle

The Trump camp on Wednesday afternoon saw things differently.

“We are declaring a victory in Pennsylvania,” Trump’s campaign manager Bill Stepien said during a media call, according to Time White House Correspondent Tessa Berenson. “This is not based on gut or feel. This is based on math.”

In addition, the Associated Press reported late Wednesday that Trump’s campaign is suing to stop the Pennsylvania vote count over lack of “transparency” and is seeking to intervene in the Supreme Court case. Fox News said the lawsuit is meant to overturn a SCOTUS decision that allows Pennsylvania to continue counting mail-in ballots received after Tuesday until Friday, as long as they were postmarked by Nov. 3.

More from Fox News:

The Supreme Court last month ruled 4-4 to keep a lower court decision in place that allows ballots postmarked by Election Day to be counted for another three days despite a Republican request for a stay on that decision. And last week the high court denied a Republican request to fast-track their appeal to block the extended deadline.

Trump campaign manager Justin Clark accused Democrats of “scheming” to “disenfranchise and dilute” Republican votes.

“Pennsylvania’s unhinged, radical left Secretary of State Kathy Boockvar has tried her hardest to bake in a backdoor to victory for Joe Biden with late, illegal ballots in collusion with the partisan state supreme court,” Clark said in a statement, according to Fox News.

“The United States Constitution is clear on this issue: the legislature sets the time, place, and manner of elections in America, not state courts or executive officials,” Clark added, according to the cable network.

Share
Categories
2020 presidential election Donald Trump Gov. tom wolf Intelwars Joe Biden Mail-in voting Pennsylvania ballots

As Pennsylvania counts over 2 million mail-in ballots that could sway state to Biden, GOP leaders call for PA secretary of state’s resignation

The results of Pennsylvania’s presidential vote — and the state’s prized 20 electoral votes — have taken center stage in the 2020 election.

The reason is more than 2.5 million mail-in ballots that still need to be counted, the Morning Call reported. At the moment, President Donald Trump holds a big advantage — as of late Wednesday morning, there were 3,025,470 votes for Trump and 2,491,390 votes for Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden.

But since Democratic voters vastly favor mail-in ballots more than Republicans, Biden’s camp is hopeful the mail-in tally will put him in the lead. Indeed, the New York Times reported early Wednesday that Biden so far has won absentee ballots counted by an overwhelming margin, according to data from the secretary of state — and if the trend holds, he’ll take Pennsylvania.

But amid the potentially lengthy mail-in vote count process — it could take days — is anger from state GOP officials.

What are the details?

While Secretary of State Kathy Boockvar — who heads Pennsylvania’s vote count — said Tuesday’s in-person election went well, the Morning Call said top Republicans in the state Senate late Tuesday called for Boockvar’s immediate resignation because she “fundamentally altered” election conduct by giving “constantly changing guidance” to counties.

But Boockvar denied the claims and declined to resign, the paper said, adding that Democratic Gov. Tom Wolf backed her up by saying GOP officials were engaging in “a partisan attack on Pennsylvania’s elections and our votes.”

More from the Morning Call:

Boockvar said that in their call for her to resign, state Sens. Joe Scarnati and Jake Corman ? respectively, the Senate President Pro Tempore and the Majority Leader ? mischaracterized her instructions to county officials on handling mail-in ballots that arrive after polls closed Tuesday.

The Republicans said Boockvar contradicted the Election Code and state and U.S. supreme courts in her instructions, but Boockvar said her instructions were to separate the ballots that arrived after 8 p.m. Tuesday.

Republicans have mounted a challenge to the state Supreme Court’s ruling that ballots received for up to three days after in-person voting ends may be counted. The U.S. Supreme Court declined to overturn that decision before the election and instructed state officials to ensure those ballots were kept separately from others.

In fact, Boockvar shot back by saying Scarnati and Corman should resign for preventing mail-in ballots from being counted sooner, the paper said.

“They don’t like the late counting of ballots because they don’t like anything that allows more eligible voters to be enfranchised,” Boockvar noted, according to the Morning Call.

More from the paper:

Mail-in ballots received by Tuesday morning included more than 1.6 million from Democrats, 586,336 from Republicans and 278,393 from independent voters and others.

That means about 81% of mail-in ballot requests generated actual returned ballots. That, Boockvar said, is a “very good percentage” and tops the 80% figure achieved in the June 2 primary election and the historical range of 70%-80%.

Boockvar said the overwhelming majority of the 2.5 million-plus mail ballots received by Tuesday morning will be counted within a few days.

Wolf urged patience and said votes would be counted “accurately” and “fully,” CBS News reported.

“The delay that we’re seeing is a sign that the system is working,” the governor added, according to the network.

Share
Categories
Biden Election 2020 Intelwars Mail-in voting Obama Pennsylvania ballots trump

Obama calls President Trump a ‘two-bit dictator’ over reports POTUS will pre-emptively claim victory on election night

Former President Barack Obama ramped up the rhetoric against President Donald Trump at a campaign rally for Democratic presidential candidate Joe Biden Monday night, calling the president a “two-bit dictator.”

Obama made his remarks at a event in Miami in response to a report that said Trump intends to declare victory on election night if he is ahead, even if there are outstanding mail-in ballots that haven’t been counted.

“He’s been coddling dictators for the last four years, and now apparently he says he might declare victory before all the votes are counted tomorrow,” Obama said.

“That’s not something that a leader of a democracy does; that’s something a two-bit dictator does.”

“If you believe in democracy, you want every vote counted,” he added.

On Sunday, Axios reported that Trump privately told confidants that he’ll declare victory Tuesday night if it looks like he’s “ahead,” according to three anonymous sources. The president on Sunday evening denied that he would declare victory, but did say, “I think it’s a terrible thing when ballots can be collected after an election. I think it’s a terrible thing when states are allowed to tabulate ballots for a long period of time after the election is over.”

Pennsylvania, a crucial battleground state in the 2020 election, is among several states that expect a large influx of mail-in ballots because of the coronavirus pandemic. The state has experienced some difficulty with the postal service, with elections officials in Butler County reporting an unknown number, potentially thousands, of requested ballots missing.

Mail-in ballots received by Pennsylvania elections officials up to three days after Election Day will be counted after a 4-4 tie at the Supreme Court let stand a lower court ruling permitting the ballot deadline to be extended. Pennsylvania Secretary of State Kathy Boockvar said Sunday that the “overwhelming majority” of ballots would not be counted until days after Election Day.

North Carolina, another essential state for the Trump campaign, will receive and count absentee ballots until Nov. 12.

Republicans in several states have filed lawsuits challenging deadlines for counting mailed ballots, arguing for stringent witness requirements, and litigating election changes meant to accommodate concerns about COVID-19. The Biden campaign is preparing to litigate against the Trump campaign to ensure that every vote is counted, even after the election. Biden’s team will push back hard against any declaration of victory from Trump.

“Just because Donald Trump says something on election night or suggests he might be winning, that is not going to be based in fact,” Biden campaign manager Jen O’Malley Dillon said at a campaign strategy briefing Monday. “Under no scenario will Donald Trump be declared the victor on election night.”

Share
Categories
Election 2020 Intelwars Kathy boockvar Pennsylvania Pennsylvania ballots Pennsylvania election

Pennsylvania secretary of state admits ‘overwhelming majority’ of ballots will take ‘days’ to count

Pennsylvania Secretary of State Kathy Boockvar said on Sunday that the “overwhelming majority” of the state’s ballots will be counted — but not until several days after Election Day.

The presumed delay makes it increasingly likely that Americans won’t know who has won the presidency until days after Tuesday, November 3, as election forecasters project the Keystone State to be the pivotal battleground on which the election will hinge.

What are the details?

Boockvar told NBC’s “Meet the Press” that she expects in total there will be 10 times as many mail-in ballots in the state this year as there were in 2016. And in several counties, against her wishes, officials have said they won’t start counting those ballots until Wednesday morning.

“So yes, it will take longer,” she acknowledged. “I expect the overwhelming majority of ballots in Pennsylvania, that’s mail-in absentee ballots as well as in-person ballots, will be counted within a matter of days.”

She added that counties plan to have people counting “24/7 until it’s done.”

Though Boockvar seems to have intended the statement to be reassuring by granting that it will take days rather than weeks until results from the state are announced, the news is sure to garner a negative response from those who suggest delays in counting votes will open the election to possible fraud or general chaos.

The Democratic secretary of state also tried to reassure viewers by saying the delay is not a big deal because “elections have never been called on election night.” She noted that service members overseas have until a week after election day to cast ballots in some states.

The problem is, as the New York Times notes, “Americans are accustomed to knowing who won on election night because news organizations project winners based on partial counts, not because the counting is actually completed that quickly.”

So in this case, unlike in the past, a much larger portion of the total vote will probably be uncounted on election night, and therefore a projection of who won the state will, in all likelihood, not be made.

Anything else?

The delay on counting absentee ballots already submitted is further exacerbated by the state’s decision — permitted by the Supreme Court — to extend the deadline for counting ballots received up to three days after November 3.

As of Monday, most polls show Democratic nominee Joe Biden ahead in Pennsylvania, but President Trump has been narrowing the gap in the lead-up to Election Day.

Share