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BITCOIN, GOLD, STOCKS AND TECH: 2021 SYNOPSIS!

This article was contributed by Portfolio Wealth Global. 

In 2020, prices of virtually all asset classes that we follow have gone up. We published five Watch Lists (1, 2, 3, tech, and 5), were bullish on gold, silver, and Bitcoin – which just hit a new all-time high of $27,000 – and bearish on the U.S. dollar, which is suffering from its worst year in a long time.

Due to money printing and lackluster global trade, the demand for dollars is weak. If global trade is slowing down, there’s not much need to buy dollars and, of course, if tourism is restricted, that is also a major headwind for dollar demand.

Courtesy: Zerohedge.com

In the meantime, if you’re a millennial or a Gen Z and are tying the knot or looking to own your home – since the government is willing to finance something in the order of 90% of it for 30 years at the lowest interest rate in history – you’re looking for any way imaginable to qualify and apply for a mortgage.

There’s literally no better deal in the history of deals than getting a mortgage for a home right now, which is the reason Portfolio Wealth Global believes that real estate prices, housing construction and the entire industry (as a whole) will continue to prosper, boom and employ Americans for years to come.

This year, the 30yr fixed mortgage hit sixteen weekly new lows, an annual record for the number of times it has done so in a single calendar year!

Next up Bitcoin; personally, I’d be cautious with Bitcoin. Portfolio Wealth Global first covered Bitcoin at well below $700, and over the years there have been opportunities to own it below $1,000 and $5,000, but its recent run is a testament to how fast sentiment changes with it.

We’re definitely cautious.

What about stocks? Are they in a bubble? Our answer may surprise you, but we’re bullish.

We’re actually about to release our sixth Watch List and do not believe there are many reasons to see a flat year in 2021.

Valuations are rich in some sectors and with certain names, but the world is dramatically changing and investors are betting heavily on the future. In other words, if you were waiting all of these years for the reset, you’re living through it.

It may not be just what you imagined, but these are pretty much the early stages of it.

Courtesy: Zerohedge.com

What about gold? Real rates bottomed right around the election and the vaccine announcement, and are headed in the direction of -1% and lower, which will send gold, in all likelihood, above $2,000/ounce in short order.

There are also clear signs of inflation, both with agricultural commodities, as well as with oil.

This is what the markets view as real-world inflation and our analysis is that 2021 will be better for silver than it will for gold. Both will do well (we forecast new all-time highs for gold), but with the right backdrop, silver could hit even $35 and $40!

Courtesy: Zerohedge.com

Clearly, the agricultural commodities have FINALLY bottomed after more than a decade and are on the rise.

If this trend is real, it will be impactful. Food and energy (oil is on the rise as well) are both items that people immediately sense in their pockets and connect with inflation.

Our conclusion is simple: it’s a recovery year, and people who are feeling the beginning of the end will rejoice and make decisions that will generate money velocity.

The post BITCOIN, GOLD, STOCKS AND TECH: 2021 SYNOPSIS! first appeared on SHTF Plan – When It Hits The Fan, Don’t Say We Didn’t Warn You.

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CAN SILVER HIT $50/Ounce, SHOCKING EVERYONE?

This article was contributed by Future Money Trends. 

Silver’s price is tied with inflation much more than gold’s is. In the 1970s, as inflation raged in the United States, silver rose to $50/ounce, having started the decade at under $2. It was a sensational decade for the white metal.

However, in the 1980s and 1990s, as deflationary forces brought interest rates down rapidly, the metal’s price languished. Today, its price is HALF of what it was in 1980!

Obviously, investing in silver is NOT similar to investing in gold, which does enjoy a long-term appreciation under both deflationary and inflationary environments.

The question, then, is whether or not there’s a potentially interesting trade setting up in silver now that it has doubled from its March lows.

The answer depends on inflationary pressures and inflationary expectations.

  1. We are seeing that the dollar is dramatically weakening, which is the first sign that silver is likely to enjoy the momentum.

Here’s the dollar chart as it stands today:

Courtesy: Zerohedge.com

It doesn’t feel like the trend is swinging, either. This seems to be a long-term structural decline. Even the price of oil is back over $50/barrel.

  1. Silver’s price has already tested $30 this year and has shown that in the first stages of a recovery, however weak it may be, it can surge by triple-digits.

In 2009, for instance, it appreciated from $9 to $49 in two short years.

Again, this is a trade that could be capitalized upon, not a buy-and-hold idea.

  1. The price of silver has directly correlated with the price of oil over the years. With oil surging, this could be a critical bullish catalyst for silver.

In the end, silver is an ideal way of betting on inflation.

The Federal Reserve has done the heavy lifting for us. It arbitrarily mandated 2% inflation as some magical number. This means that the street will be bracing for inflation if the FED measures it as such.

Therefore, the smartest move is to watch that 2% gauge from Powell and his buddies.

Courtesy: Zerohedge.com

In our world, we’re reaching a point that we call the DEBT LIMIT, which is the moment when deflating the currency supply by simply adding more debt is not productive.

This moment will change how investors view inflation.

Be prepared for it and study the topic thoroughly in the meantime.

The post CAN SILVER HIT /Ounce, SHOCKING EVERYONE? first appeared on SHTF Plan – When It Hits The Fan, Don't Say We Didn't Warn You.

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PAIN COMETH!

This article was contributed by Portfolio Wealth Global.

No, we don’t think hyperinflation is coming!

How can inflation bazooka higher, when half of young adults live with their parents in 2020 and 38% of Americans are consumed with thoughts about how to make ends meet?

This doesn’t mean that gold and silver can’t or won’t rally in 2021 (inflation has been below 2% for over a decade), since gold responds to real yields, which are measured by 10-yr yield, subtracted by CPI. So even with CPI at current levels (disinflation), as long as rates go down, that negative real yield helps gold.

Silver is an even stranger cat since it responds best to dollar weakness and, boy, do we have plenty of that…

Why are we focusing on pain, though, if vaccines are approved and if the beginning of the end for this unique period is ahead of us? Well, the price that most small businesses paid to indirectly help, by supposedly slowing the spread of the virus to the people at risk of dying of Covid-19 has been huge.

One day you woke up and the government told you that your baby – your source of income, your pride and joy, the business you took time, effort, thought, sweat, and sacrifice to bring to the marketplace – had to remain closed.

Small businesses received minimal assistance and we’ll only learn just how horrible the situation is in 2021.

This is because the dust will settle, restrictions will ease and we’ll see who is left standing.

Courtesy: Zerohedge.com

Bond investors, as you can see, bet on technology advancements and on disinflation. No one buys a negative-yielding bond for the income, of course. The only way to profit from this – and there’s a large incentive to capture gains – is to sell the bond for more than you paid for it.

Appreciation occurs when yields fall. The price of the underlying asset (the bond) shoots up.

Obviously, QE does not create inflation, as was previously assumed, since we’ve had over a decade of it and the FED keeps missing its target. The FED has little control over inflation, but we, the people, do.

What are the implications of so many Americans in this poverty-stricken position?

  1. With 36% of voters believing in fraud and with roughly 80% of Republicans believing foul play, any hardship will serve as a catalyst for more division.
  2. Government will play an even bigger role in the lives of most Americans, who stand to become even more dependent upon it.

It’s time to address this issue, once and for all.

Courtesy: Zerohedge.com

We do not see how the unsustainable bullish stance in the stock market, coupled with the genuine distress of most Americans, continues to remain decoupled for another year.

The fundamental problems in the U.S. economy are bigger than what a central bank can address and, frankly, they’re not only more serious than what the government has to offer to “solve” them, but they’re being addressed with all of the wrong tools.

Nanny state capitalism is not a plan; Americans need to be inspired to get up and figure it out!

Pain cometh in 2021.

The post PAIN COMETH! first appeared on SHTF Plan – When It Hits The Fan, Don't Say We Didn't Warn You.

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CAN SILVER HIT $50/Ounce, SHOCKING EVERYONE?

This article was contributed by Future Money Trends. 

Silver’s price is tied with inflation much more than gold’s is. In the 1970s, as inflation raged in the United States, silver rose to $50/ounce, having started the decade at under $2. It was a sensational decade for the white metal.

However, in the 1980s and 1990s, as deflationary forces brought interest rates down rapidly, the metal’s price languished. Today, its price is HALF of what it was in 1980!

Obviously, investing in silver is NOT similar to investing in gold, which does enjoy a long-term appreciation under both deflationary and inflationary environments.

The question, then, is whether or not there’s a potentially interesting trade setting up in silver now that it has doubled from its March lows.

The answer depends on inflationary pressures and inflationary expectations.

  1. We are seeing that the dollar is dramatically weakening, which is the first sign that silver is likely to enjoy momentum.

Here’s the dollar chart as it stands today:

Courtesy: Zerohedge.com

It doesn’t feel like the trend is swinging, either. This seems to be a long-term structural decline. Even the price of oil is back over $50/barrel.

  1. Silver’s price has already tested $30 this year and has shown that in the first stages of a recovery, however weak it may be, it can surge by triple-digits.

In 2009, for instance, it appreciated from $9 to $49 in two short years.

Again, this is a trade that could be capitalized upon, not a buy-and-hold idea.

  1. The price of silver has directly correlated with the price of oil over the years. With oil surging, this could be a critical bullish catalyst for silver.

In the end, silver is an ideal way of betting on inflation.

The Federal Reserve has done the heavy lifting for us. It arbitrarily mandated 2% inflation as some magical number. This means that the street will be bracing for inflation if the FED measures it as such.

Therefore, the smartest move is to watch that 2% gauge from Powell and his buddies.

Courtesy: Zerohedge.com

In our world, we’re reaching a point that we call the DEBT LIMIT, which is the moment when deflating the currency supply by simply adding more debt is not productive.

This moment will change how investors view inflation.

Be prepared for it and study the topic thoroughly in the meantime.

The post CAN SILVER HIT /Ounce, SHOCKING EVERYONE? first appeared on SHTF Plan – When It Hits The Fan, Don't Say We Didn't Warn You.

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MAN THE LIFEBOATS: DOLLAR DISASTER IMMINENT!

This article was contributed by Wealth Research Group. 

Today, we’re sharing an important update from WealthResearchGroup.com, which is paramount for understanding what comes next:

Since the November 3rd elections, the dollar has been pushed to a corner that is actually a double-edged sword for gold. Because of the anticipation that a super-weak dollar will cause bond yields to rise, gold has become weak, right alongside the dollar. This correlation has been recently cut off.

From November 6th, when Pfizer’s announcement altered the way investors priced in Covid-19 risk of bankruptcy for pandemic victim sectors – reasoning that with a vaccine far fewer companies will go under – the dollar has sold off hard, gold has crashed to below its 200-DMA, and rates have been rising, in turn.

A few days ago, Mitch McConnell basically called (and caused) the bottom for gold, when he said that Washington must pass the stimulus bill, in order to avoid a complete Main Street meltdown in January. Gold prices began to price a fiscal aid program, a monetary QE support policy, and an inflationary recovery in 2021.

When I wrote that I personally bought gold-backed ETF shares, it was literally two days before the bottom. We nailed it!

Courtesy: Zerohedge.com

Our five watchlists, published in April, June, August, September, and a pre-election one in October, have delivered the research necessary to conduct due diligence on over fifty companies; the appreciation of said companies has been remarkable when compared with their respective index benchmarks.

In April, we published THIS. Within it, AXP (which I’m a shareholder of) has appreciated by 60%. VFC (which I’m a shareholder of) has appreciated by 73%! SWK (which I’m a shareholder of) has appreciated by over 80% and trades even above its Pre-Covid-19 price. I don’t believe the company will ever trade for $100/share, which was the limit order noted in the report. It was a stunning entry point, in my opinion. The S&P 500 has appreciated by 31% in the same timeframe, so these companies have delivered a significant Alpha. Spirit Aerosystems (SPR), which I stressed recently as a company that one must look at when it was trading for around $20/share in the beginning of November, has doubled in one month, thanks to the anticipated recovery in the airline industry.

This was only the first watchlist. It contained 27 companies, in total. Then, in June, we published the 2nd watchlist HERE! It featured an additional 10 new companies. Sysco (SYY), which I’m a shareholder of, has appreciated by 53%! Axis Capital (AXS) has appreciated by 36%, Trane Technologies has appreciated by 68% and Booz Allen Hamilton (which I’m a shareholder of) has appreciated by 22%.

In August and in September, we published watchlists 3, 4, and TECH. Within these, we profiled 20 additional companies, with only CHKP (which I’m a shareholder of) trading below its limit order; the rest have been on fire.

Now, though, I’m warning that euphoria is unsustainable. I feel much like I did when my friend’s maid/cleaner asked him how to buy Bitcoin, when it traded for $12,000/coin in 2017, on its way to $20,000. In other words, I’m not calling the top, but I’m cautioning that it’s near, unavoidable, and would usher in a period of sideways and downward selling.

We are about to publish a 6th watchlist, so stay tuned!

The dollar weakness has caused this record inflow into emerging markets and the vaccine risk-on trade has caused gold to brutally crater, but the stimulus surprise, which was uncalled for, has reversed the trend in commodities.

Courtesy: Zerohedge.com

The commodity index is the CHEAPEST it has been since 1990 and some measures show it is the cheapest since 1942; the recovery in global trade and manufacturing in 2021, as the economy opens up, will potentially serve as an inflation catalyst and we are positioning not only in commodities but with a number of the most compelling companies I’ve come across in my career, which started when my folks signed a waiver to let me trade as a minor (16 years of age) in June 2000. I’m excited!

The post MAN THE LIFEBOATS: DOLLAR DISASTER IMMINENT! first appeared on SHTF Plan – When It Hits The Fan, Don't Say We Didn't Warn You.

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GOLD COMEBACK: HERE’S THE BLUEPRINT!

This article was contributed by Portfolio Wealth Global. 

Gold does not directly correlate with the dollar. This couple has ceased from trading inversely to each other for many years. It’s very common to see a strong dollar and a strong gold rally, as well as a weak dollar (like right now) along with a weakening gold price (like right now). So, if the dollar isn’t the leading indicator for future gold prices, then what is?

The answer isn’t government debt either; the federal deficit and the national debt pile are contributors to the macro case for owning and storing precious metals, but the debt rises by the second, so if that were the case, gold would always go up.

It’s not inflation either; there’s inflation in the system inherently. Our global economy keeps adding more currency to circulation with each passing year and gold has been rising at more than a 1.6% pace, which is what the Federal Reserve cites as its gauge for CPI (Consumer Price Index).

Inflation and gold correlate much more once inflation becomes a noticeable issue, which any person can see and recognize. The truth is that the average American not only does not know how to define the term monetary inflation, he also has no idea what the consumer price index is – which means that inflation isn’t a hot topic, mentioned daily by influential figures.

Courtesy: U.S. Global Investors

This, as you can see, is an inverse correlation at its best. Bond yields, especially real yields, are the best barometer for where gold is headed next. Real yields are the result of discounting CPI from the nominal 10-yr bond yield.

Right now, the 10-yr bond is 0.84%. Because inflation is higher than that in the United States, there are negative yields, when accounting for real life. If one lends the government $100,000 for a decade, receiving 0.84%/annum, while his purchasing power erodes by more than that, he’s actually banking a guaranteed loss.

In that type of world, one is incentivized to allocate a portion of his savings towards precious metals, since bonds don’t offer much of an alternative to cash.

But, if the sentiment on the street is that this trend is reversing – which means rates are headed higher, while inflation stays tame, causing negative rates to disappear – the reason to own gold, as a trade, goes away.

This is what’s happening right now: Wall Street is convinced that rates bottomed in March and after six months of recovering from the initial shock, lenders have more options to choose from, so they’ll demand higher rates from the U.S. government.

Courtesy: Zerohedge.com

We do not anticipate inflation remaining the same as today. In fact, with the latest reporting about oil prices in 2021, it seems that the street doesn’t either.

On top of that, as you can see above, the markets are euphoric, with valuations resembling Dot.Com era levels. Right after it burst, gold bottomed and then soared for eleven consecutive years.

That’s not what we’re envisioning, but if stocks peak soon and trade sideways for a number of months, gold could do well, as money rotates toward it.

The point is that this slump could be based on a totally false narrative.

So, what we’re doing is building our watchlist and waiting for the SWING, which will occur the moment the trend reverses.

The post GOLD COMEBACK: HERE’S THE BLUEPRINT! first appeared on SHTF Plan – When It Hits The Fan, Don't Say We Didn't Warn You.

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GOLD COMEBACK: HERE’S THE BLUEPRINT!

This article was contributed by Portfolio Wealth Global. 

Gold does not directly correlate with the dollar. This couple has ceased from trading inversely to each other for many years. It’s very common to see a strong dollar and a strong gold rally, as well as a weak dollar (like right now) along with a weakening gold price (like right now). So, if the dollar isn’t the leading indicator for future gold prices, then what is?

The answer isn’t government debt either; the federal deficit and the national debt pile are contributors to the macro case for owning and storing precious metals, but the debt rises by the second, so if that were the case, gold would always go up.

It’s not inflation either; there’s inflation in the system inherently. Our global economy keeps adding more currency to circulation with each passing year and gold has been rising at more than a 1.6% pace, which is what the Federal Reserve cites as its gauge for CPI (Consumer Price Index).

Inflation and gold correlate much more once inflation becomes a noticeable issue, which any person can see and recognize. The truth is that the average American not only does not know how to define the term monetary inflation, he also has no idea what the consumer price index is – which means that inflation isn’t a hot topic, mentioned daily by influential figures.

Courtesy: U.S. Global Investors

This, as you can see, is an inverse correlation at its best. Bond yields, especially real yields, are the best barometer for where gold is headed next. Real yields are the result of discounting CPI from the nominal 10-yr bond yield.

Right now, the 10-yr bond is 0.84%. Because inflation is higher than that in the United States, there are negative yields, when accounting for real life. If one lends the government $100,000 for a decade, receiving 0.84%/annum, while his purchasing power erodes by more than that, he’s actually banking a guaranteed loss.

In that type of world, one is incentivized to allocate a portion of his savings towards precious metals, since bonds don’t offer much of an alternative to cash.

But, if the sentiment on the street is that this trend is reversing – which means rates are headed higher, while inflation stays tame, causing negative rates to disappear – the reason to own gold, as a trade, goes away.

This is what’s happening right now: Wall Street is convinced that rates bottomed in March and after six months of recovering from the initial shock, lenders have more options to choose from, so they’ll demand higher rates from the U.S. government.

Courtesy: Zerohedge.com

We do not anticipate inflation remaining the same as today. In fact, with the latest reporting about oil prices in 2021, it seems that the street doesn’t either.

On top of that, as you can see above, the markets are euphoric, with valuations resembling Dot.Com era levels. Right after it burst, gold bottomed and then soared for eleven consecutive years.

That’s not what we’re envisioning, but if stocks peak soon and trade sideways for a number of months, gold could do well, as money rotates toward it.

The point is that this slump could be based on a totally false narrative.

So, what we’re doing is building our watchlist and waiting for the SWING, which will occur the moment the trend reverses.

The post GOLD COMEBACK: HERE’S THE BLUEPRINT! first appeared on SHTF Plan – When It Hits The Fan, Don't Say We Didn't Warn You.

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STALEMATE: 2ND STIMULUS – THIS CHANGES EVERYTHING!

This article was contributed by Future Money Trends. 

Nancy Pelosi wants a stimulus bill that is over $3 trillion. Mitch McConnell wants to pass something in the order of $500 billion. These leaders are clearly worlds apart. Nancy even rejected bills that were $1.5 trillion, saying that they were “nice but not nearly enough.” On the other hand, conservative Republicans are saying that the free market ought to be taking the lead while the government has done enough and that the debt is already gigantic.

The problem is that neither party wants to concede, giving even an inch to the other side since they’ll appear weak in front of their voters. Both parties desperately want to win the Senate race in Georgia. It’s going to get very political, with hundreds of millions raised for the cause, and January 5th is the vote – even Trump and Biden might campaign. The problem is that January 1st comes before that and if nothing is done, millions of people, many of which are parents with children, face evictions since they’re not capable of paying rent, while millions of others will cease receiving enhanced unemployment benefits.

Therefore, a bipartisan group of senators is working on a bridge-stimulus plan as we speak.

Future Money Trends believes that there’s a strong chance that, when it comes to rent, an extension of the moratorium will be introduced. If it doesn’t, Q1 2021 could be one of the best times to purchase homes since prices will dip because of the excess inventory.

Courtesy: Zerohedge.com

November has been the best-ever month for stocks on a global basis. It’s absolutely mind-boggling how much euphoria is out there. When you think about mortgage forbearance, which has allowed households to “save” $1,000 to $2,000 every single month since the bill was introduced, you can understand how much leverage is being put into the stock market that will need to be taken out later. Households have been using the extra cash to invest, but they’ll need to pull it out, at some point.

It’s happening all over the place and the temptation to trade has never been bigger.

As you can see above, indices of entire nations have gone up in one month as much as stocks return in 4 or 5 years.

The technical Relative Strength Indicators (RSI) are just green everywhere, save for precious metals most likely.

Courtesy: Zerohedge.com

On the 15th of December, the FED will convene to discuss interest rates and asset purchases, going forward. If there’s no bipartisan bill by then, we believe they’ll increase QE again.

There are now talks about forgiving student loan debts from $10,000 to upwards of $50,000. There are 45 million Americans who have student loans, and these are individuals who struggle to originate mortgages, raise their credit scores, and save anything.

On the flip side, forgiving these loans will fuel even more socialistic programs, and will cause tuition in this country to be jacked up further, argue the fiscally-conservative. It’s also unfair to reward debtors while punishing those that chose not to assume massive obligations.

In our assessment, when the next president asks his economic advisors for the best ROI for another fiscal program, they’ll point towards state and local government aid, where for every $1,000,000 spent, nearly 90% of it goes immediately back to the economy.

This is much higher than in the case of student loans, so while Elizabeth Warren and Bernie Sanders introduce far-left initiatives, it doesn’t seem like that’s the way the country is headed.

We currently put the odds of stimulus checks hitting the mailboxes of Americans as being very low in the next 40 days. We give it more of a chance after January 20th, but if the bipartisan proposal somehow passes, markets will celebrate this surprise.

As for us, we are not aggressively participating in this party. There’s not enough alcohol in the world to convince us to play with fire.

 

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DAGGER TO THE HEART: R.I.P. GOLD!

This article was contributed by Portfolio Wealth Global.

Today’s letter is divided into two sections: the first is the update on the bloody mess that precious metals are undergoing and the second is a summary of the hearing that Rudy Giuliani and the list of witnesses reported that gave verbal accounts of their testimony about Pennsylvania’s voter irregularities.

GOLD: IS THE BULL MARKET DEAD?

In short, the answer is NO. There are several instances since December 2015 where we’ve seen similar moments to this. These are instances in which the volatility index plummets, many events conspire to bring hope, and there’s the assumption that central banks might tighten and that there’s no catalyst for precious metals. These instances come and go since you can’t get rid of the underlying issue: more currency is created by the second.

As you can see, gold fights these moments off and rallies:

Courtesy: Zerohedge.com

If this one follows in the footsteps of the ones we saw in June 2019 and March 2020, watch out, bears!

As you can see, in August, the price of gold distanced from its 200-DMA so much that this sell-off was due to arrive. Taking profits in August was very smart.

Right now, our thesis is that the best course of action is a slow accumulation. The value proposition is certainly the best it’s been since March, and in terms of the mining industry itself, the validity of the sector is well intact. The trend is clear — gold is heading down.

The median all-in sustaining cost is still $975/ounce, so mining companies are still able to report strong earnings, which is the key to understanding the reason we’re about to pull the trigger on the most compelling buy-the-dip setups, in our opinion.

This is gold’s worst month in four years!

Courtesy: U.S. Global Investors

Like we wrote two weeks ago, when gold’s price was much higher, we could see gold falling all the way to $1,750. These shakeouts are the best buying opportunities in hindsight. Traders surrender and it feels bad; there’s a sense of desperation about the future’s price action. We think we’re going to see that frustration fairly soon.

TRUMP’S LAWSUITS – PENNSYLVANIA

Pennsylvania had multiple alleged “irregularities” in the state’s vote count:

* At least 21,000 dead people on Pennsylvania’s voter rolls

* Duplicate ballots were mailed out to thousands of registered voters (Pittsburgh officials have admitted that this happened)

* A lawsuit filed against the state of Pennsylvania for having more than 800,000 inactive voters on its voter rolls

* Pennsylvania’s attorney general told Ted Cruz to “stay the hell out of” the state’s disputed tabulation of presidential election votes

* Dominion Voting Systems’ corrupt election software system was reportedly used in Pennsylvania

Along with that, Giuliani cited another set of numbers that don’t add up. Pennsylvania received approximately 1.4 million absentee or mail-in ballots. However, in the count for president, they counted 2,589,242 absentee or mail-in ballots. How will they account for the discrepancy?

“I know crooks really well. You give them an inch, and they take a mile. And you give them a mile, and they take your whole country.” These were Giuliani’s ending remarks for his opening speech.

Could all of these witnesses possibly be lying in a public hearing, making up the very specific details of what they saw and heard? The mountain of firsthand evidence can only lead informed citizens to one conclusion.

Here’s what President Trump is saying about all of this:

“The whole world is watching us. The whole world is watching the United States of America, and we can’t let them get away with it… This election was rigged, and we can’t let that happen. We can’t let it happen for our country.” – Donald J. Trump.

The zero hour cometh; we shall see if these hold up in the Supreme Court or if Biden will be inaugurated on January 21st, 2021.

The post DAGGER TO THE HEART: R.I.P. GOLD! first appeared on SHTF Plan – When It Hits The Fan, Don't Say We Didn't Warn You.

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DAGGER TO THE HEART: R.I.P. GOLD!

This article was contributed by The Wealth Research Group. 

Today’s letter is divided into two sections: the first is the update on the bloody mess that precious metals are undergoing and the second is a summary of the hearing that Rudy Giuliani and the list of witnesses reported that gave verbal accounts of their testimony about Pennsylvania’s voter irregularities.

GOLD: IS THE BULL MARKET DEAD?

In short, the answer is NO. There are several instances since December 2015 where we’ve seen similar moments to this. These are instances in which the volatility index plummets, many events conspire to bring hope, and there’s the assumption that central banks might tighten and that there’s no catalyst for precious metals. These instances come and go since you can’t get rid of the underlying issue: more currency is created by the second.

As you can see, gold fights these moments off and rallies:

Courtesy: Zerohedge

If this one follows in the footsteps of the ones we saw in June 2019 and March 2020, watch out, bears!

As you can see, in August, the price of gold distanced from its 200-DMA so much that this sell-off was due to arrive. Taking profits in August was very smart.

Right now, our thesis is that the best course of action is a slow accumulation. The value proposition is certainly the best it’s been since March, and in terms of the mining industry itself, the validity of the sector is well intact. The trend is clear — gold is heading down.

The median all-in sustaining cost is still $975/ounce, so mining companies are still able to report strong earnings, which is the key to understanding the reason we’re about to pull the trigger on the most compelling buy-the-dip setups, in our opinion.

This is gold’s worst month in four years!

Courtesy: U.S. Global Investors

Like we wrote two weeks ago, when gold’s price was much higher, we could see gold falling all the way to $1,750. These shakeouts are the best buying opportunities in hindsight. Traders surrender and it feels bad; there’s a sense of desperation about the future’s price action. We think we’re going to see that frustration fairly soon.

TRUMP’S LAWSUITS – PENNSYLVANIA

Pennsylvania had multiple alleged “irregularities” in the state’s vote count:

* At least 21,000 dead people on Pennsylvania’s voter rolls

* Duplicate ballots were mailed out to thousands of registered voters (Pittsburgh officials have admitted that this happened)

* A lawsuit filed against the state of Pennsylvania for having more than 800,000 inactive voters on its voter rolls

* Pennsylvania’s attorney general told Ted Cruz to “stay the hell out of” the state’s disputed tabulation of presidential election votes

* Dominion Voting Systems’ corrupt election software system was reportedly used in Pennsylvania

Along with that, Giuliani cited another set of numbers that don’t add up. Pennsylvania received approximately 1.4 million absentee or mail-in ballots. However, in the count for president, they counted 2,589,242 absentee or mail-in ballots. How will they account for the discrepancy?

“I know crooks really well. You give them an inch, and they take a mile. And you give them a smile, and they take your whole country.” These were Giuliani’s ending remarks for his opening speech.

Could all of these witnesses possibly be lying in a public hearing, making up the very specific details of what they saw and heard? The mountain of firsthand evidence can only lead informed citizens to one conclusion.

Here’s what President Trump is saying about all of this:

“The whole world is watching us. The whole world is watching the United States of America, and we can’t let them get away with it… This election was rigged, and we can’t let that happen. We can’t let it happen for our country.” – Donald J. Trump.

The zero hour cometh; we shall see if these hold up in the Supreme Court or if Biden will be inaugurated on January 21st, 2021.

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GOLD OBLITERATED!

Markets have priced in the vaccine news, so rates are rising, stocks are fully-priced (with hedge funds and retail investor piled-in) and with no stimulus, we are just not convinced that the markets understand that many states are about to hit the reset-button on lockdowns and business shutdowns.

Gold simply has no catalyst in the immediate-term, on top of the fact that investors generated large profits on it in 2020 and now want to cash in their chips.

What does this mean?

For one, it means that the initial reflation trade is over. Now, we will take a breather, before the delayed inflation begins to hit.

* Right now, both case counts (since the tests are truly sensitive) and fatalities, unfortunately, aren’t stopping and we’re entering winter.

* No one knows how large or comprehensive the stimulus package will be.

There are pretty good estimates that it will be between $1.4tn and $2.0tn.

Courtesy: Zerohedge.com

As you can see, if we just wait, the market will give us confirmation of either a breakout or a correction.

What we respect and appreciate is peace of mind, when investing. There are so many unknowns right now, especially as we don’t even know who will be president, or how Americans will react once one is confirmed.

What conclusions can be drawn?

* Covid-19 has shown to everyone that central banks and governments have no idea what creating currency and debt can lead to. They’re not concerned with any of the impact that’s attributed to it.

* Society bails out the rich and the asset owners first.

* People who are working in lower-income jobs must immediately form a side-hustle. The economy has changed and there are innumerable opportunities if one is able to work hard and not wait for government.

* We have no control over the fate of the dollar, but we can prepare by owning alternative currencies. Portfolio Wealth Global has been writing about Bitcoin, for example, for years.

Courtesy: U.S. Global Investors

This is the inheritance of today’s generation to our children and grandchildren. They will have to deal with the debt ordeal – but that’s a myth, in our opinion.

We do not believe that deficits don’t matter; in fact, we believe that now, more than ever, the world sees that printing currency, without a plan on how to pay it back, is a recipe for disaster and a destabilizer for society.

Expect an important update on our favorite side hustles in the coming days!

 

 

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GOLD WIPEOUT: Be Patient – GENERATIONAL BOTTOM!

Treasury Secretary Steve Mnuchin is being bombarded in the mainstream media by all of the MMT advocates for crippling the Federal Reserve’s programs, which seems to be tightening monetary policy. Jerome Powell was complaining that the Treasury is shutting down some of the lending facilities, but our analysis actually points towards this being a welcomed approach!

For one, these programs were failing. The most ridiculous one was the Small Business Lending Facility, which was a total flop. Think of the fact that for a bank to originate one such loan, it has to incur a $50,000 legal and administrative cost!

In other words, if I run a small business and need $30,000 to $40,000 to survive the coming few months, no bank will work with me. Instead, when calling banks, we’ve learned that these loans are designed to be about $5,000,000 at a minimum. Not only that, but the banks want to see that the business is growing and has healthy financials. I ask you this: which small business that’s on the brink of going under needs a $5,000,000 loan and has good economics?

This program is yet another example of how all bailouts – all government-led and central-bank-orchestrated programs – are always going to disproportionately help asset owners. If you have a mortgage, forbearance is allowed, but if you rent, you’ll pay (at some point) or get evicted. Investors who have fat 401(K)’s are hitting all-time highs in terms of million-dollar accounts. People, left and right, are getting free money, basically, courtesy of the next generation, which will be on the hook for all of it.

America is designed to help its equity owners first.

That’s the primary reason why this newsletter is focused on building wealth, being flexible, and zig-zagging as conditions change and fluctuate.

The goal is to understand the prevailing circumstances so that one can adapt to it, not with a gloom-and-doom mentality, but also not with the notion that “stocks only go up,” as the new mantra goes.

Courtesy: Zerohedge.com

As you can see, no one is shorting the S&P 500 anymore. It’s become dangerous to short the index because there’s an institutional bias by the central bank of the United States and by the administration to make sure the markets are green.

Steve Mnuchin wasn’t wrong to tell Jerome Powell to stop with these programs since they will add $454 billion to the Treasury Department, which is going to help mediate the incredible difference of opinion between the Democrat-led Heroes Act, which is a spending relief bill north of $2.2 trillion that the Republicans will never pass, and the Skinny Bill and the Heals Act, which the Republicans want but the Democrats object to.

ShtfPlan.com believes that if any bill is to be passed in the month of December, it will be something that is a re-branding of the Problem-Solver Caucus, which is in the neighborhood of $1.4 trillion.

Remember, there are many programs that expire at the end of December, including rental relief. If no stimulus bill is put into law, on January 2nd, the sheriff’s department in many states will be busy evicting. People on the street are not a good outcome for families that have been victimized by lockdowns and shutdowns, especially women and minorities.

If the Republicans win the Senate race in Georgia on January 5, 2021, the Democrats lose even more leverage over the size of the stimulus bill, so it’s in their best interest to haul ass and pass at least $1.4 trillion now!

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LAST CHANCE: INFLATION COMES NEXT!

This article was contributed by The Wealth Research Group.

Imagine having a rally car, like a smaller-category Ford Fiesta, on the starting line. Right next to it, imagine a semi-trailer truck, with more wheels, a much bigger engine, and more horsepower. Now, imagine that the little Ford Fiesta gets installed with the same engine as the semi-trailer, so they’re both racing with the same amount of horsepower. If they both press the pedal to the metal at the same moment, the Fiesta will fly out of the gate much more aggressively than the semi-trailer truck will.

Being more nimble and much lighter, it can race ahead much faster than its heavy opponent. Economic recessions make the velocity of currency stall. It makes it so that the semi-trailer and the tiny Fiesta hit a wall (semi-truck being a large business and Ford Fiesta representing a small business). Once the impact is felt, the survival rate of the truck driver is higher and the damage done to him is far less harmful than the fatal wounds inflicted upon the driver of the little Fiesta. If both survive, though, and are bailed out of the mess by fixing all of their issues, the first few seconds of the race will clearly be won by the Ford Fiesta since it’s built to shoot with speed from the starting line.

If the engineers feel that the damage to it was severe, they may over-repair it, installing an engine that doesn’t fit a small car, but a truck. They may have good intentions, but their error in judgment will lead to many issues down the road.

The pandemic was that wall. Both large businesses (semi-trailer trucks) and small businesses (Ford Fiesta rally cars) hit it simultaneously. Some trucks not only did not hit the wall but blasted through it, showing how strong they were (Amazon, Walmart, and other “shutdown winners”). Some smaller cars used that hole in the brick wall and passed through it, after the semi-trailers paved the way (Zoom, DocuSign, and the like). These not only did not get hurt by the recessionary wall; they got much stronger, since their competition totaled their cars, so to speak. Walls are not fair, nor are recessions. Some are able to go above them, under them, around them, or right through them, while others get wrecked. The pandemic wasn’t “fair” towards many businesses and it changed our world; no need denying that.

Because engineers, firefighters, mechanics, and rescue (governments and central banks) rushed to the scene immediately, the atmosphere of panic and disaster soon changed into hope and faith. Drivers imagined their cars going back on the road, better than ever (stock markets bounced fast in late March, rallied, and even entered euphoric valuations), all as cars were mostly still getting fixed, replaced, or totally renovated.

This metaphor is analogous to what has transpired thus far. The Republicans didn’t believe the wall was necessary, while the Democrats thought that this was one of the best ideas since the wall was put there, in order to stop the cars from potentially going over a cliff.

In the end, a few of the mechanics invented a seemingly great solution, a sensor that is aimed at clearing all future walls of this sort (vaccine), but many don’t trust the sensor and don’t want their vehicle to be wired with it. It’s important to remember that governments put the wall where it is. The wall represents the lockdowns and the shutdown.

To sum up our current situation, most cars (both large and small businesses) are in the final stages of getting their oil changed and their tires pumped with air; they’re almost ready to hit the road again.

From the point of standing still, the smaller cars obviously are better suited to get a better start. These “cars” are metaphorical to cyclical businesses, such as commodities, banks, and other industries, which were most hit and now have fresh legs, like hospitality, tourism, and retail stores.

These drivers haven’t been on the road in so long that they may push the gas pedal too much (an analogy for inflation).

2021 is not the reflation year; it is the inflation year and the starting gun will be the 2nd stimulus plan, which we expect to be announced in December, but more likely in January.

Right now, speculators can conjure up any scenario they want, but anyone who has ever seen what happens when the police stop traffic and then start it up again knows that they race out of there.

I expect inflation. I expect the next few weeks to feel like a double-dip recession, but come March, I expect gold to go north, north, north.

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$1,750 Gold: BLOODY RATED-R SCENARIO!

This article was contributed by Future Money Trends.

Bitcoin is on a tear right now because major institutional investors are entering the sector. It’s not a bubble, but its price is nowhere near being considered a bargain. We remember when our newsletter discussed both Bitcoin and Ethereum. It was early in 2017 and Bitcoin was $400 to $500 and ETH was $12!

Back then, it was an opportunity of a lifetime, as it was after the 85% implosion that came. Right now, it could go much higher because the sentiment is mind-blowingly bullish.

While Bitcoin is experiencing record inflows, gold has been suffering from record outflows!

Investors believe much higher rates are coming, which will end the environment of negative nominal rates. This is detrimental for gold and silver, but this script, in which the economy is about to greatly recover in 2021 without further stimulus or additional monetization of the national debt, is unrealistic.

In the near-term, the trend is clear: gold is hated!

Courtesy: Zerohedge.com

Money has exited gold at warp speed. Notice, though, that the catalyst for this sell-off is vaccination news, which is not the main driver for buying or selling gold. In other words, what just occurred revealed to the market what price discovery is projecting if we factor out COVID-19’s vaccination catalyst. Even if gold falls further, hitting $1,750 as technical analysis suggests, it’s still an incredibly profitable industry, with a global AISC (all-in sustaining cost) of $975/ounce and no major discoveries in years.

In other words, this shakeout actually highlights the profitability of mining companies and the scarcity of gold. If spot gold does fall below $1,800, we’d get interested in purchasing.

An important point to keep in mind is that most analysts and investors use either $1,450 or $1,500 as their value for gold when they judge any gold or silver mining stock for their portfolio.

Even before this sell-off, the market is convinced that $2,000 gold is not a long-term target, which is more evidence that gold is not in a bubble at all.

Courtesy: Zerohedge.com

Gold’s severe sell-off comes because the notion is that interest rates are headed much higher, towards where they were before COVID-19, which is an interesting proposition since we believe that Washington will soon be forced into creating a massive stimulus package that investors are adamant about not pricing in.

We believe that the consensus of the market is mistaken. We not only assess that the USD is in a bear market, but that central banks are impatient about the gridlock in Washington and will be charging forward aggressively in order to “buy time” for politicians.

Courtesy: U.S. Global Investors

The use of debt is so alarming that it makes us wonder how anyone could save any significant sum in a fiat currency when it’s clearly a vehicle for wealth destruction.

In 2009, when gold peaked on November 2nd at $1,196, the markets also disregarded the metal, explaining that the worst was behind us. It retreated to $1,081 and stayed below its all-time high of $1,196 back then until April 2010, only truly breaking out again in July 2010. Said differently, it traded downwards and sideways for eight months. If we plot the same pattern now, its peak was on August 5th, which means that we should expect it to hit $2,000 again around the end of January but only truly break out towards March 2021.

Between now and then, we will present a number of companies to study and research because unlike with general equities, now trading at their highest-ever valuations, there are sensible multiples and speculative ideas in the mining sector.

Furthermore, we are also going to feature a number of compelling securities we ascribe a 5x to 10x potential to that are already GENERATING both REVENUES and PROFITS.

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ANY MINUTE NOW: Has Biden Won – VIOLENCE NEXT?

This article was contributed by Portfolio Wealth Global.

Lucy, you’ve got some ‘splainin’ to do! If these instances mentioned below even closely resemble reality, Biden’s victory lap is premature:

  1. A state stops counting and upon resumption, Biden’s tally surges.
  2. A USPS worker was arrested while bringing three absentee ballots from Canada into the U.S. – claims he took a wrong turn.
  3. Software glitches across the board. By the way, some of these software systems can be hacked online.
  4. Backdated envelopes.

For the sake of democracy and the American way, we hope these prove to be false or over-exaggerated, but we can’t deny that there are many Trump supporters who now doubt the official count.

When Trump tweeted “I WON THIS ELECTION, BY A LOT,” it took him four minutes to reach 40K likes. When he tweeted “Joe Biden should not wrongfully claim the office of president. I could make that claim also. Legal proceedings are now beginning!” he received over 600K likes. These represent probably 10% of the people who genuinely believe this election was not conducted fairly, so, in reality, we believe millions of Americans are now convinced these results to be real.

This may become a legal battle and I’m pretty sure that markets won’t like that in the least.

Courtesy: Zerohedge.com

As you can see above, the media, in our opinion, will begin to report that a massive third wave of hospitalization and death cases has begun. With the elections currently tilting towards Democrats, all fingers will be pointed towards Trump (perhaps globally).

Biden’s security has been greatly enhanced, with a wide no-fly-zone over his home.

Germany has openly condemned President Trump’s behavior as dangerous and within his own party, he is under pressure to concede and to hand over the baton.

I am going to keep you posted on developments, perhaps even on a daily basis, since circumstances are changing so quickly.

For now, let’s recap what we got:

  1. Precious metals enjoyed an historic week of gains.

  1. Bitcoin, a cryptocurrency that we mentioned and highlighted right here in this newsletter when its price was less than $600/coin is now worth $16,000. This represents a 26.6x appreciation!
  2. Societe Generale, a very famous French bank, has calculated that QE programs have suppressed interest rates in the United States by a dramatic number.

This, of course, has served to widen the wealth gap, bring about societal unrest and lead to a debt bubble.

Courtesy: Zerohedge.com

If bonds were not purchased by the Federal Reserve, they argue, the S&P 500 would be 1,800 points and the NASDAQ 100 would be worth around 5,000 points.

The proof is in the pudding.

  1. Lastly, because of the gain in the price of gold, which appears to have bottomed around $1,860 and silver, which appears to have bottomed just below $23.00, the sector has been recovering and mining shares are up noticeably.

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ANY MINUTE NOW: Has Biden Won – VIOLENCE NEXT?

This article was contributed by Portfolio Wealth Global.

Lucy, you’ve got some ‘splainin’ to do! If these instances mentioned below even closely resemble reality, Biden’s victory lap is premature:

  1. A state stops counting and upon resumption, Biden’s tally surges.
  2. A USPS worker was arrested while bringing three absentee ballots from Canada into the U.S. – claims he took a wrong turn.
  3. Software glitches across the board. By the way, some of these software systems can be hacked online.
  4. Backdated envelopes.

For the sake of democracy and the American way, we hope these prove to be false or over-exaggerated, but we can’t deny that there are many Trump supporters who now doubt the official count.

When Trump tweeted “I WON THIS ELECTION, BY A LOT,” it took him four minutes to reach 40K likes. When he tweeted “Joe Biden should not wrongfully claim the office of president. I could make that claim also. Legal proceedings are now beginning!” he received over 600K likes. These represent probably 10% of the people who genuinely believe this election was not conducted fairly, so, in reality, we believe millions of Americans are now convinced these results to be real.

This may become a legal battle and I’m pretty sure that markets won’t like that in the least.

Courtesy: Zerohedge.com

As you can see above, the media, in our opinion, will begin to report that a massive third wave of hospitalization and death cases has begun. With the elections currently tilting towards Democrats, all fingers will be pointed towards Trump (perhaps globally).

Biden’s security has been greatly enhanced, with a wide no-fly-zone over his home.

Germany has openly condemned President Trump’s behavior as dangerous and within his own party, he is under pressure to concede and to hand over the baton.

I am going to keep you posted on developments, perhaps even on a daily basis, since circumstances are changing so quickly.

For now, let’s recap what we got:

  1. Precious metals enjoyed an historic week of gains.

  1. Bitcoin, a cryptocurrency that we mentioned and highlighted right here in this newsletter when its price was less than $600/coin is now worth $16,000. This represents a 26.6x appreciation!
  2. Societe Generale, a very famous French bank, has calculated that QE programs have suppressed interest rates in the United States by a dramatic number.

This, of course, has served to widen the wealth gap, bring about societal unrest and lead to a debt bubble.

Courtesy: Zerohedge.com

If bonds were not purchased by the Federal Reserve, they argue, the S&P 500 would be 1,800 points and the NASDAQ 100 would be worth around 5,000 points.

The proof is in the pudding.

  1. Lastly, because of the gain in the price of gold, which appears to have bottomed around $1,860 and silver, which appears to have bottomed just below $23.00, the sector has been recovering and mining shares are up noticeably.

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PHONY RESULTS: JOE BIDEN, LADIES AND GENTLEMEN!

This article was contributed by Wealth Research Group. 

After Barack Obama’s long era in office, America was desperate for change. It wanted a newcomer, a person that wasn’t part of the “swamp,” but who could enact real reform in many of America’s key political agendas.

At first, no one gave Donald Trump a chance, but not only did he win, he proved to actually be a capable politician. We believe that he has lost this election, though, even if the court system will decide that voting irregularities did occur. Our assessment of the current state of affairs is that Biden has won, despite the allegations of software tampering that do allow for altering votes. We base it on the fact that, as of this time, every single Trump lawsuit has been tossed by the courts.

It’s not the result that 70,803,881 Americans, who voted for Donald Trump, want to see, but in a democratic system, within a constitutional republic – assuming that any cases of alleged vote counting irregularities don’t rattle the cage and expose a grand conspiracy – the Trump supporters will have to put Donald behind and focus on living in the present, planning for the future. Donald may never concede, but he understands that if he can’t convincingly change the narrative, he’s fighting gravity.

As I write this, the vitally-important swing states are all blue, apart from North Carolina:

  1. Georgia: The blue lead is razor thin. It boils down to 9,000 votes, which is 0.2%. In case of a recount, which looks to be in the works, it will be interesting to see what the results truly are.
  2. Nevada: 92% of the votes have been counted and Biden has a commanding lead.
  3. North Carolina: Trump has essentially won it by 0.4%.
  4. Pennsylvania: This crucial state has seen a reversal, with Biden now leading by 0.6%. This also happens to be the most contested electorate, as they have shown favoritism towards Biden throughout.
  5. Arizona: Biden has probably won.
  6. Michigan: Biden has probably won.

Trump claims that it isn’t over, but I would be shocked if there’s anything that could be done, at this point. Joe Biden gave a victory speech, so I’m pretty convinced that we can stick a fork in it; the mainstream media is shaping the reality for America and the world, before the court system actually get their say, which is distorting the real stance of this presidential race. For now, Biden is president-elect, but put a little question mark, right next to that statement.

For sure, I’ve learned much about the American voter this year: 70.8M Americans is not some marginal number to be discarded. With the mainstream media propaganda and the social media censorship, which many receive for their Trump-oriented opinions, it’s pretty remarkable to see how much “Trumpism” is real and will continue to be part of society.

It will be interesting to see if some common ground can be found; to me, that fertile soil has always been wealth, health and peace of mind — if politicians on both sides of the aisle can concentrate on that, instead of “being right,” the country would be much better off.

Courtesy: Zerohedge.com

Gold has certainly been a huge beneficiary of this election, thus far. As you can see, under the fiat monetary system (1971-2020), gold has never seen such a surge during an election week. What it shows is just how much the dollar was held by both domestic and foreign institutions, who now feel that USD strength is behind us.

I’m not sure that competing fiat currencies are superior to the dollar and that Europe’s currency or Japan’s offer a better alternative, but I do sense a general theme of acceptance of the fact that interest rates are not going to rise at all or to meaningfully change under Biden, which investors did bet on (record number of bond short position indicated a bet on higher rates), in case of the dreaded Blue Sweep.

Here are the biggest risks, then, in the period that is in front of us, between now and January 20th 2021:

  1. Contested elections, which do end up showing voter suppression of a sort.
  2. Potential violent eruptions in unstable pockets of society
  3. No stimulus plans announced, especially not ones that are focused on rents.

WealthResearchGroup.com estimates, by using various data sources that, as a country, the United States is around $20bn behind on making rent payments. The country might make good on its rental promises; it’s a basic function of an economy; paying for shelter, provided by landlords.

  1. A complete change in the pandemic strategy, following blue pressure, which may include lockdowns.

Courtesy: Zerohedge.com

We already knew, judging by David Einhorn’s research, that smart money has been exiting the markets since September 2nd, but this chart really puts it into perspective. Now, we shall see if they plan to return, as I believe they are.

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TODAY IS THE DAY: JB vs. DT – MY PREDICTION!

This article was contributed by Future Money Trends. 

The United States and many parts of the Western World, as well as developing nations, are watching their screens today, anticipating how the elections will turn out.

Most voters don’t pick their president based on results, but on how they make them feel. 70% of voters have no idea what the platform of Donald Trump or Joe Biden is; they are familiar with buzzwords and general terms but can’t or won’t devote the time it takes to arrive at a factual, wise, and wholehearted decision.

This election day is determined by peer pressure, media propaganda, and largely by the way the candidate makes you feel about whether or not you’d want to be his friend.

A political leader with the responsibilities of the president doesn’t have to fit into that slot of “a nice guy to have coffee with,” although it doesn’t hurt.

This job of occupying the White House between now and 2024 is about one thing: the ABILITY to perform the work required.

FutureMoneyTrends.com believes that Donald Trump is in trouble in Arizona, a state that could tilt the balance towards the Democrats. We also believe that Trump crusaders woke up at 5 AM today and are doing anything they can possibly do to help their candidate.

Therefore, our prediction is that Donald Trump is likely to win, by securing PA, MI, and NC, as well as FL and GA, giving him 308 Electoral College votes, but we shall see.

What I’d like to do now is analyze the precious metal sector for each of the two scenarios, a Biden victory and a Trump one:

Courtesy: Zerohedge.com

Between now and December 8th, when the electoral college vote is materially finalized, there might be legal debates that arise due to the probability of mail-in fraud, late voting, or other manipulative actions.

What markets want more than the certainty of knowing who will be the next President of The United States is MORE STIMULUS.

Starting in March, after they poured everything they had into this economy, the Federal Reserve has become second fiddle to Congress.

QE programs and low, zero, or negative interest rates are the norm. Markets have already priced in the fact that they’ll stay there for years. Households can only function and originate mortgages thanks to this. Businesses can only recycle loans, refinance debt, and borrow funds because of it. Governments can only keep their giant deficits in motion due to this reality, and it won’t change anytime soon.

Joe Biden and the Democrats – The most important policy change that will be enacted if Biden ends up winning is his attitude towards China.

Biden is likely to ease up big time.

This is important because this kid-gloves approach is likely to cause the world to be less fearful of animosity between these two countries, the world’s strongest empires. As you know, in the past four years, President Trump has not started any new war; his attitude towards foreign policy included far less back-channeling and much more of a public approach, putting pressure on China, Europe, and the Middle East, out in the open. Our opinion is that Biden’s way could lead to a Chinese confidence boost and new war fronts could emerge, just like when Russia felt brave enough to attack Ukraine.

The bottom line is that a Biden victory is likely detrimental to the U.S. dollar and we believe that under his administration, commodities and stocks will trade in tandem, OPPOSITE TO HOW they did in the past twelve years.

Since silver is 55% below its all-time high, our rating of it as a likely winner is even bigger than gold’s. We would not be surprised to see strong silver performance in 2021 and beyond, testing its legendary $50/ounce high.

The post TODAY IS THE DAY: JB vs. DT – MY PREDICTION! first appeared on SHTF Plan – When It Hits The Fan, Don't Say We Didn't Warn You.

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Lior Gantz: “It’s Unsustainable! America’s Debt Problem Is Out Of Hand”

Source: YouTube screenshot

Lior Gantz of Wealth Research Group recently sat down with Jake Ducey of the YouTube channel, I Love Prosperity to discuss the state of the economy and how to protect yourself from the coming debt-bubble price explosion.  The world is going to soon realize that America’s debt problem is out of hand, and simply not sustainable.

Gantz’s advice is to invest in gold and silver as a way to protect yourself from the coming debt bubble explosion and economic crash. In the coming years, people all over the world will begin to see the dollar as weak and notice that it isn’t the same fiat currency as it was before.

Ducey then asks Gantz about where we are going economically as far as inflation is concerned. Gantz says that we shouldn’t expect the Weimar Republic, but we should be prepared for negative rates by hoarding gold or silver.

The discussion of inflation is in-depth, but instead of fearing inflation, we should be more concerned about other elements all rolling together in this economy.

Gantz continues to suggest you have one year’s worth of savings, but you should also try to focus on growing a business for income increasing. You could also consider owning some mining stocks and other investments in gold and silver, for profit potential. Physical gold and silver will be a great investment too. Another great way is to ain some kind of marketable expert skill that could be utilized as income generation all the time. Because at some point, this whole debt-based system will crumble as it was designed to.

Be aware of what is going on in this insane economy. It probably won’t matter much who is elected. This destruction of the dollar is planned and orchestrated and it will be done to usher in the digital dollar of complete centralization and control.

Think It’s Bad Now? “It Doesn’t Matter Who Wins, The Dollar Is Going To Be DESTROYED!”

 

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Lynette Zhang – Q & A: When & Where To Liquidate, Gold & Silver (Video)

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$1,820 is Next: GOLD SHAKEOUT!

This article was contributed by Future Money Trends. 

I love skiing. Since 2010, I’ve visited the European Alps and have enjoyed the slopes of Austria, Italy, France, and Switzerland. I’ve also tasted the powder of Whistler (Canada), Colorado, and Utah (U.S.A.) and have recently been looking at options for this upcoming January 2021, if restrictions allow travel.

In Switzerland, one famous little skiing village is called Davos. It’s the Monaco of the Alps since the parking lots are filled with Bentleys, Porsches, Range Rovers, and Ferraris. Every year, the World Economic Forum meets there. Do you know what the theme is for the meeting that’s just a few months away?

Take a look:

Courtesy: WEforum.org

I’m not sure whether you got the memo or not but the elites of this world apparently want a reset, and that includes you.

The world has changed and the most dangerous thing one can think is that it hasn’t or that the changes don’t apply to them. FutureMoneyTrends.com is built on studying just that: trends, so what is true today could be totally wrong tomorrow; the key is to adapt.

2020 has shown that being stubborn, full of self-pride, and unable to exhibit flexibility can cost one a fortune in the markets, bring them to their knees (emotionally), and could cause them to not be themselves and act like a nervous wreck in the presence of others, and this year isn’t over yet…

In fact, we’re nine days away from seeing a very dividing moment for Americans, one that could distance Republicans and Democrats even further – the elections.

Because of the way both candidates are portrayed in the media, neither of them get any respect from their detractors.

It’s a difficult task governing 330 million citizens where half of them think you’re incompetent while the other half, believe you’re a genius.

Courtesy: Seeking Alpha (Florian Grummes)

Why have traders been exiting gold, then? If so much uncertainty is right ahead of us, what’s the logic?

Markets believe that the stimulus checks aren’t coming; not yet, at least. It seems that the $1.8tn package the Republicans want and the $2.2tn one the Democrats are pushing for won’t be able to be bridged in time (before November 3rd).

No free money equals less of a reason to bet on gold for now…

Therefore, gold has downside potential and we believe that the gold bulls haven’t been spooked enough to head for the exits yet, but $100 skimmed off the top would probably do it, sending the metal to $1,820/ounce.

Courtesy: Seeking Alpha (Peter Krauth)

Zooming out, though, you get the birds-eye view of the big picture, and it tells us that while traders like to trade in and out of this sector on a monthly basis, the most reliable trend in finance, which is the DOW/GOLD RATIO, is clearly showing that in September 2018, gold started a new bull market.

If you look at the 20-year bear market of the 1980s and 1990s, you’ll notice that within it, there were several mini bull markets as well. It could be that we’re in a time like this now and that this bull market isn’t going to last for a full decade, but rather that it has only a couple of years in it.

Conclusion:

This isn’t a time to bet big. It’s actually much better to wait for the price to hit $2,000 again – even surpassing its August all-time high of $2,089 – before firing the bazookas.

A new all-time high will confirm the strength of this bull market, in our opinion.

Courtesy: Seeking Alpha (ESI Analytics Limited)

I leave you with this chart, which might tell you how I’m personally feeling about the sustainability of the valuations of the stocks that Robinhood “investors” are betting on.

What’s amazing is that thousands of companies are still down -20% to -80% from where they were in February, yet instead of seeing mean reversion of those, the retail crowd is going for the companies whose present valuations would require 20 years of non-stop growth to justify themselves.

Get real, people!

No company is worth 100-times earnings or 200-times sales…

The post ,820 is Next: GOLD SHAKEOUT! first appeared on SHTF Plan – When It Hits The Fan, Don't Say We Didn't Warn You.

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TOOTH AND NAIL: ARE YOU BETTING ON GOLD $3,000?

This article was contributed by Tom Beck with Portfolio Wealth Global.

Covid-19 is a GIANT MESS, which happened when the world’s economic machine was DOING AMAZING!

Many people WILL SCOFF at this, saying that their own personal situation wasn’t great and that there’s poverty and misery all around them. True, there are and probably WILL CONTINUE TO BE disharmonious circumstances in every city, in every neighborhood, and in each and every country, but those have LITTLE TO DO with the economic machine.

There’s a MAD RACE in place; you’re IN IT, whether you’re aware of it or not — it’s called CAPITALISM and though we keep hearing that “capitalism is broken,” please don’t KID YOURSELF!

If somebody else in your area is getting richer, wiser, more sophisticated, more loved, healthier or JUST BETTER and you are not, he is CAPITALIZING ON REALITY, while you’re not.

Do you want everything to be TRULY FAIR, before you begin to play the game? DON’T BE NAÏVE!

Nothing is fair and especially with governments; their single role is to do the ABSOLUTE MINIMUM to keep the masses in line.

Don’t rely on anything EXTERNAL; all riches start with ACTION on the part of the individual.

Did anyone tell young Warren Buffett to hit the books at age 13? He read hundreds of business and finance books by the time he graduated high school. Did anyone tell Elon Musk to develop PayPal or Tesla?

Do you think Steve Jobs’ mother pushed him to come up with the iPhone?

These people didn’t care who was the man in the WHITE HOUSE, what interest rates were, what their competition looked like or how IMPOSSIBLE AND UNLIKELY it was to become a self-made billionaire — they RE-WROTE HISTORY!

PortfolioWealthGlobal.com believes we’re in a HUGE BULL MARKET for precious metals, but unless one positions himself to make a fortune from it, the WHOLE THING means nothing to him, apart from some bragging rights.

Execute now; it takes DRAMATIC ACTION and relentless commitment to making it happen; don’t be fooled by the media. Success is always the result of a combination of the following:

  1. HIGH CONVICTION GOAL with no excuses – NONE WHATSOEVER about why it won’t get done.
  2. A support group; either FULL PARTNERS on the journey or closely-intimate associates and mentors.
  3. Charming personality; don’t think you can REALLY SUCCEED without an attractive character.
  4. BELIEF!

Put it in SIXTH GEAR and get it done; NO EXCUSES!

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OVER MY DEAD BODY: Gold $4,000 – BIDEN SWORN IN!

This article was contributed by Tom Beck with Portfolio Wealth Global.

If you conducted your own DUE DILIGENCE and followed our Watchlists (1, 2, 3, and Tech), as well as our TOP IDEAS for holding precious metals and mining stocks, your portfolio is PERFORMING BETTER than the world’s TOP HEDGE FUNDS and quant computers; you’re in the top 0.01% of ASSET RETURNS.

And, I have even better news for you: This is just THE KICK-OFF!

All across the globe, there’s a massive STIMULUS PLAN going on, as well as a GENERATIONALLY-STRONG surge of innovation and entrepreneurship.

Hardship and struggle are BIRTHING DISCIPLINE, a sense of carefulness in corporate behavior, and better conditions for the future.

Even MORE IMPRESSIVELY, we feel that gold is still a DOUBLE from here.

Courtesy: Zerohedge.com

Ray Dalio’s hedge fund has been UNDERPERFORMING FOR YEARS, but the two things he did get right are gold and China.

We believe most Americans are thinking of China with a 30-YEAR DELAY. They do not yet realize just how technologically advanced it is, and they certainly don’t appreciate its IMMINENT WEALTH BOOM.

China’s boom is actually one of the biggest reasons for my REVISED TARGET for gold by 2023 of $4,000/ounce, up from $3,300.

The stock market is going MUCH HIGHER, regardless of who’s going to win this election. The chart is clear:

Courtesy: Zerohedge.com

The S&P 500 index is headed to 5,000 points within 2-3 years. Stocks are expensive (we know), but the REAL BUBBLE, perhaps the only one, is in GOVERNMENT BONDS.

Why on earth is $17tn parked in negative-yielding assets?

PortfolioWealthGlobal.com truly believes that about 5% to 10% of that money will flow into gold, driving its price up 105%.

When gold hits our FINAL TARGET of $4,000 for this cycle, we forecast a 40:1 or 45:1 gold-to-silver ratio, implying silver’s target is around $90 to $100.

No one has yet understood just how much demand for silver COULD GROW if the U.S. dollar starts to lose purchasing power in a noticeable fashion.

Most Americans have no idea what constitutional money is or how silver protects their purchasing power. They’re hypnotized.

Courtesy: Zerohedge.com

We believe they’re about to receive a GIANT WAKE-UP CALL!

The Federal Reserve can’t really control much anymore, by way of interest rate hikes. If inflation does increase, it will turn into an everyday mainstream problem.

Just as fast as Americans buy guns when times seem uncertain or gobble-up toilet paper in the Covid-19 quarantine like programmed robots, so will they purchase a few ounces of silver, when inflation is broadcasted on the news.

As you know, the ABOVE-GROUND supply is only 2.5bn ounces, which IS NOTHING in the grand scheme of things.

Are you ready to TAKE WHAT’S YOURS?

If Biden wins this election, the dollar could plummet by 20% in his first term. His programs are giant PRINTING OPERATIONS to Americans. His stance on China is more relaxed and we believe that in the big picture, silver will thrive!

Gold $4,000; silver $100 — ride ‘til you CAN’T NO MORE!

 

The post OVER MY DEAD BODY: Gold ,000 – BIDEN SWORN IN! first appeared on SHTF Plan – When It Hits The Fan, Don't Say We Didn't Warn You.

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Gantz: People Are Rebelling More Over Economic Effects, Than The Loss of Freedom

Recently, Lior Gantz sat down with Shawn at SGT Report to be interviewed about the state of the economy, and so much more. Gantz says what is most concerning is that people are rebelling more from the economic effects than they are over the loss of so much of their freedom and rights.

Gantz, the owner of WealthReserchroup.com, says his biggest fear over all of this, is “people are rebelling more because of the economics of [lockdowns, mask tyranny] and not because of the societal part of it, the freedom part of it.” The people who have suffered “economic strain are angrier than the people that are just quarantined or have sort of a measure that restricts them.”  That’s a mind-bending reality and hopefully, one which changes. People should cherish their freedom over their wealth.

Gantz goes on to say that the one thin this non-lethal virus has exposed is how ineffective governments around the world have become.  All people really want is more stimulus, more money, and they are willing to exchange their freedom and basic human rights for another stimulus package. He notes that everything in our society has become politicized, even this virus.

As a person who watches what does on from the outside, Gantz says the mainstream media in the United States is “almost like a joke. The scripts are offensive to the intelligence of the average person..it’s more than just lies…it’s the little things to tilt your mindset to what you’re watching.”

Coronavirus Panic & Fear: The Greatest Mainstream Media Hoax In History

Gantz then discusses how much better gold and silver will be than cash, as it already is. He says gold will continue to go up, and when it hits the $2,000 range again will be psychological. There is a real existential crisis with the dollar and the national debt, and Gantz says silver can possibly go above $50.

Gantz then discusses Bitcoin and recognizes its potential.  “The world is not going to paying with gold, it is going to paying with Bitcoin,” he says.

For more information on precious metals, investing, and cryptocurrencies, please visit Gantz’s website at WealthReserchGroup.com. 

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