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Our COVID Police State Wants To Take Thanksgiving And Christmas Away From You Too

This article was originally published by Michael Snyder at The Economic Collapse Blog. 

Haven’t they taken enough away from us already?  The deeply oppressive lockdowns that were instituted earlier this year plunged us into the worst economic downturn since the Great Depression of the 1930s, caused the cancellation of thousands upon thousands of important events, and sent the suicide rate absolutely skyrocketing.

Once those lockdowns were lifted the American people were greatly relieved, but now our COVID police state is back for more.  As I have been documenting over the last several days, new lockdowns are being instituted all over the country right now, and even our most cherished holidays are being targeted.

Let me start by discussing an interview that CNN’s Jake Tapper just conducted with Anthony Fauci.  Most Americans had assumed that once a vaccine was widely distributed that we wouldn’t need masks or social distancing anymore.

Well, according to Fauci that is not the case at all

Jake Tapper said, “Once somebody has been immunized … Once the process is complete, does that mean they can take off their mask, don’t have to social distance, and go about their lives as before?”

Fauci said, “I would recommend that is not the case. I would recommend you have an added area of protection. Obviously, with 90 plus percent effective vaccine, you could feel much more confident, but I would recommend to people to not abandon all public health measures just because you’ve been vaccinated.”

As I have repeatedly warned my readers, they intend to change the way that we live permanently.

During that same interview, they were discussing a timeline for vaccine distribution, and Tapper blurted this out: “Christmas is probably not gonna be possible.”

In other words, Americans should not plan to have a normal Christmas this year because we are going to be expected to stay home, wear masks, and keep members of our extended family away.

Of course, Thanksgiving is a lot closer than Christmas, and our COVID overlords are telling us that we can’t have a normal Thanksgiving either.  For example, this is what the head of the CDC is saying

U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention Director Robert Redfield held a call with the nation’s governors on Tuesday. CNN obtained audio of the chat, in which Redfield said: “What we’re seeing as the increasing threat right now is actually acquisition of infection through small household gatherings… Particularly with Thanksgiving coming up, we think it’s really important to stress the vigilance of these continued mitigation steps in the household setting.”

Needless to say, many of our top politicians are going to fall right in line with the directives that our “health authorities” have issued.  For example, Chicago Mayor Lori Lightfoot has issued new restrictions for the city of Chicago which begin on Monday

The order, which begins Monday, extends through Thanksgiving festivities. Residents are “strongly advised” to not have guests in their homes outside of essential workers — even family and close friends.

“Chicago has reached a critical point in the second surge of COVID-19, demanding that we undertake this multi-faceted and comprehensive effort to stop the virus in its tracks,” said Mayor Lori Lightfoot in the release.

At least Lightfoot’s order is not as draconian as the mandate that California Governor Gavin Newsom has ordered all Californians to follow this Thanksgiving.

If you can believe it, Newsom has decided to limit Thanksgiving to a two hour “outdoor event”

Celebrities have taken to social media to slam California Governor Gavin Newsom’s ‘ridiculously unenforceable’ Thanksgiving crackdown that bans singing and shouting and limits the holiday to a two-hour outdoor event.

‘If my Aunt comes over, can I throw her a slice of turkey from the window?’ mocked actor Rob Schneider as he blasted the ‘Emperor Newsom’.

The good news is that the American people are sick and tired of having their rights taken away and are starting to push back against absurd restrictions such as these.

The bad news is that the new lockdowns that are being instituted all over the U.S. will inevitably crash our economy again.

If they last long enough, some industries may be almost entirely destroyed.  For example, even before these new lockdowns we were being told that it would be a miracle if half of the hotels in New York City survive this pandemic

According to Vijay Dandapani, chief executive of the Hotel Association of New York City, if half the city’s 640 hotels survive it will be a “great” outcome. While occupancy rates have recovered from their worst point in April where occupancy was down more than 60% year on year, they remain 20% lower than for the same month in 2019, a level which means much of the debt backing the properties will be impaired (i.e., default). Should New York impose a new round of draconian lockdowns, it will only get worse.

But of course there are some businesses that are booming during this time.

For instance, psychologists and therapists are extremely busy treating those that are “feeling lonely and depressed”

Business is booming for Maria Mir. Under normal circumstances, she takes little time off in November and December; the holidays are her busy season. But this is 2020. Nothing is normal. And everyone seems to need her at once.

Mir is a licensed marriage and family therapist. She’s used to patients feeling lonely and depressed as Thanksgiving and Christmas near. But “this particular time is different,” she says. “Even people who haven’t felt lonely in the past are now feeling that isolation.”

This is yet another example that shows that elections really matter.

For years, the American people have been voting for psychotic control freaks all over the nation, and so now we shouldn’t be surprised that they are actually acting like psychotic control freaks during a major crisis.

We are being told that this is going to be a very “dark winter”, and just like we witnessed earlier this year many Americans are feverishly stocking up on food and other basic goods…

Concerns that rising cases will encourage people to buy in bulk and stock up on basic goods has prompted major grocery chains to take pre-emptive action and limit purchases.

Kroger, the largest grocery chain in the U.S., has imposed purchase limits on essential goods like bath tissue, paper towels, disinfecting wipes and hand soap, according to Fox Business.

If you have not done so already, I would very much encourage you to get stocked up as well.

These are such uncertain times, and I have a feeling that things are going to get even crazier in the weeks ahead.

If the case numbers keep rising, the restrictions placed upon us are just going to become even more cumbersome, and it definitely appears that we are in for a very rough start in 2021.

***Michael’s new book entitled “Lost Prophecies Of The Future Of America” is now available in paperback and for the Kindle on Amazon.***

About the Author: My name is Michael Snyder and my brand new book entitled “Lost Prophecies Of The Future Of America” is now available on Amazon.com.  In addition to my new book, I have written four others that are available on Amazon.com including The Beginning Of The EndGet Prepared Now, and Living A Life That Really Matters. (#CommissionsEarned)  By purchasing the books you help to support the work that my wife and I are doing, and by giving it to others you help to multiply the impact that we are having on people all over the globe.  I have published thousands of articles on The Economic Collapse BlogEnd Of The American Dream, and The Most Important News, and the articles that I publish on those sites are republished on dozens of other prominent websites all over the globe.  I always freely and happily allow others to republish my articles on their own websites, but I also ask that they include this “About the Author” section with each article.  The material contained in this article is for general information purposes only, and readers should consult licensed professionals before making any legal, business, financial, or health decisions.  I encourage you to follow me on social media on FacebookTwitter, and Parler, and anyway that you can share these articles with others is a great help.  During these very challenging times, people will need hope more than ever before, and it is our goal to share the gospel of Jesus Christ with as many people as we possibly can.

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Trump’s Lawyer Rudy Giuliani Says Roughly 650,000 Unlawful Ballots Were Cast In PA

Rudy Giuliani, one of President Donald Trump’s personal lawyers, alleged on November 11 that roughly 650,000 unlawful ballots were cast in Philadelphia and Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. Giuliani told Fox News’ Maria Bartiromo on Sunday that the lawsuits being filed by Trump’s reelection campaign might show that as many as 900,000 invalid ballots were cast in the battleground state.

Speaking with Fox Business’ Lou Dobbs, Giuliani claimed that “almost none” of the hundreds of thousands of ballots were observed by Republican poll watchers. State election law requires the presence of poll watchers from all parties, according to a report by ZeroHedge.

“What’s being said in the mass media, that we have no evidence, is a complete, absolute lie, just like they’ve been lying for years,” Guiliani said. 

On Monday, Governor Tom Wolf’s office said in a statement that ballot watchers from all parties have had observers throughout the process and that “any insinuation otherwise is a lie.” A few days earlier, Giuliani said that the Trump campaign may have sufficient evidence to change the election results in the state of Pennsylvania.

According to an unofficial vote count from the Pennsylvania Department of State, Biden has received 3.35 million votes to Trump’s 3.31 million votes. Percentage-wise, Biden has 49.7 percent, compared to Trump’s 49.1 percent.

Pennsylvania is going to fight every single attempt to disenfranchise voters,” the governor’s office added. “We will protect this election and the democratic process. Pennsylvania will count every vote, and we will protect the count of every vote.”

Giuliani said during a Fox News interview on Sunday that the lawsuits being filed by the Trump campaign might reveal up to 900,000 invalid ballots cast across the entire state of Pennsylvania. He didn’t make clear on Wednesday whether that statewide figure would be affected by the count he mentioned for Philadelphia and Pittsburgh by themselves.

The Associated Press (mainstream media) declared former Vice President Joe Biden the victor of the presidential election on Saturday. The Trump campaign insists that the call has been premature. –Washington Examiner

Real Clear Politics: “The Media Should NOT Have Called This Election!”

 

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Powerful Presidents Are Incompatible with Liberty

This article was originally published by Ron Paul at The Ron Paul Institute for Peace and Prosperity. 

The mainstream media has declared former Vice President Joe Biden the winner of the 2020 presidential election. However, this does not mean the 2020 Presidential campaign has come to an end. President Donald Trump is continuing his legal challenges to the vote counts in some key states.

The emotional investment of many Americans into the race between Trump and Biden would have shocked the drafters of the Constitution. The Constitution’s authors intended the presidency to be an office of strictly limited powers that would not impact most Americans. The Constitution authorizes the president to administer laws passed by Congress, not create laws via executive orders. The president serves as Commander-in-Chief of the military following a Congressional declaration of war, with no authority to unilaterally send troops into foreign conflict.

The Founders did not intend for the president to set the “national agenda, “ and they would be horrified to see modern presidents assume the authority to order American citizens indefinitely detained and even killed without due process.

The idea that the president should exercise almost unlimited powers is a legacy of the progressive movement. Progressives, who are responsible for the rise of the American welfare-warfare state, have an affinity for a strong Presidency that is not surprising. A government that aspires to run our lives, run the economy, and run the world requires a strong executive branch unfettered by the Constitution’s chains. The Cold War also provided a boost to presidential power, as it justified presidents assuming more unchecked authority in the name of “national security.”

The concentration of power in the executive branch does not mean presidents are all-powerful. For example, even though presidents are judged by the state of the economy, the unelected, unaccountable Federal Reserve Board typically has greater influence over the economy then the president. Presidents often must tailor their economic policies to deal with the consequences of the Fed’s actions. This is why presidents spend so much time and energy trying to influence the “non-political” Fed. Fed Chairs usually, but not always, reciprocate by attempting to tailor polices to be “useful” to the incumbent president.

It has become cliché to say that “politics stops at the water’s edge.” This means no one—not even Members of Congress, should ever oppose or second-guess a president’s foreign policy decisions. However, this rule does not apply to those comprising what has become popularly known as the “deep state”: the military-industrial complex, the national security bureaucracy—including the CIA— congressional staffers, and members of the media. This deep state serves a permanent government and has an agenda it pursues regardless of the wishes of the president or the American people.

The deep state has derailed President Trump’s (modest) efforts to fulfill his campaign promise to pursue a less interventionist foreign policy and end the wars in Afghanistan and Iraq. Members of the deep state were instrumental in the Russiagate hoax and the impeachment of President Trump. Many supported impeachment because President Trump’s actions contradicted the DC “consensus” on US -Ukraine relations and the need for a new Cold War with Russia. President Trump is not the first president to be undermined by the deep state and he will certainly not be the last.

The 2020 election has awoken many Americans to the corruption of the modern welfare-warfare state. These Americans are ripe for the message of liberty. They can help with the vital task of demystifying the US Presidency, destroying the deep state, restoring our constitutional republic, and regaining our lost liberties.

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ANY MINUTE NOW: Has Biden Won – VIOLENCE NEXT?

This article was contributed by Portfolio Wealth Global.

Lucy, you’ve got some ‘splainin’ to do! If these instances mentioned below even closely resemble reality, Biden’s victory lap is premature:

  1. A state stops counting and upon resumption, Biden’s tally surges.
  2. A USPS worker was arrested while bringing three absentee ballots from Canada into the U.S. – claims he took a wrong turn.
  3. Software glitches across the board. By the way, some of these software systems can be hacked online.
  4. Backdated envelopes.

For the sake of democracy and the American way, we hope these prove to be false or over-exaggerated, but we can’t deny that there are many Trump supporters who now doubt the official count.

When Trump tweeted “I WON THIS ELECTION, BY A LOT,” it took him four minutes to reach 40K likes. When he tweeted “Joe Biden should not wrongfully claim the office of president. I could make that claim also. Legal proceedings are now beginning!” he received over 600K likes. These represent probably 10% of the people who genuinely believe this election was not conducted fairly, so, in reality, we believe millions of Americans are now convinced these results to be real.

This may become a legal battle and I’m pretty sure that markets won’t like that in the least.

Courtesy: Zerohedge.com

As you can see above, the media, in our opinion, will begin to report that a massive third wave of hospitalization and death cases has begun. With the elections currently tilting towards Democrats, all fingers will be pointed towards Trump (perhaps globally).

Biden’s security has been greatly enhanced, with a wide no-fly-zone over his home.

Germany has openly condemned President Trump’s behavior as dangerous and within his own party, he is under pressure to concede and to hand over the baton.

I am going to keep you posted on developments, perhaps even on a daily basis, since circumstances are changing so quickly.

For now, let’s recap what we got:

  1. Precious metals enjoyed an historic week of gains.

  1. Bitcoin, a cryptocurrency that we mentioned and highlighted right here in this newsletter when its price was less than $600/coin is now worth $16,000. This represents a 26.6x appreciation!
  2. Societe Generale, a very famous French bank, has calculated that QE programs have suppressed interest rates in the United States by a dramatic number.

This, of course, has served to widen the wealth gap, bring about societal unrest and lead to a debt bubble.

Courtesy: Zerohedge.com

If bonds were not purchased by the Federal Reserve, they argue, the S&P 500 would be 1,800 points and the NASDAQ 100 would be worth around 5,000 points.

The proof is in the pudding.

  1. Lastly, because of the gain in the price of gold, which appears to have bottomed around $1,860 and silver, which appears to have bottomed just below $23.00, the sector has been recovering and mining shares are up noticeably.

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ANY MINUTE NOW: Has Biden Won – VIOLENCE NEXT?

This article was contributed by Portfolio Wealth Global.

Lucy, you’ve got some ‘splainin’ to do! If these instances mentioned below even closely resemble reality, Biden’s victory lap is premature:

  1. A state stops counting and upon resumption, Biden’s tally surges.
  2. A USPS worker was arrested while bringing three absentee ballots from Canada into the U.S. – claims he took a wrong turn.
  3. Software glitches across the board. By the way, some of these software systems can be hacked online.
  4. Backdated envelopes.

For the sake of democracy and the American way, we hope these prove to be false or over-exaggerated, but we can’t deny that there are many Trump supporters who now doubt the official count.

When Trump tweeted “I WON THIS ELECTION, BY A LOT,” it took him four minutes to reach 40K likes. When he tweeted “Joe Biden should not wrongfully claim the office of president. I could make that claim also. Legal proceedings are now beginning!” he received over 600K likes. These represent probably 10% of the people who genuinely believe this election was not conducted fairly, so, in reality, we believe millions of Americans are now convinced these results to be real.

This may become a legal battle and I’m pretty sure that markets won’t like that in the least.

Courtesy: Zerohedge.com

As you can see above, the media, in our opinion, will begin to report that a massive third wave of hospitalization and death cases has begun. With the elections currently tilting towards Democrats, all fingers will be pointed towards Trump (perhaps globally).

Biden’s security has been greatly enhanced, with a wide no-fly-zone over his home.

Germany has openly condemned President Trump’s behavior as dangerous and within his own party, he is under pressure to concede and to hand over the baton.

I am going to keep you posted on developments, perhaps even on a daily basis, since circumstances are changing so quickly.

For now, let’s recap what we got:

  1. Precious metals enjoyed an historic week of gains.

  1. Bitcoin, a cryptocurrency that we mentioned and highlighted right here in this newsletter when its price was less than $600/coin is now worth $16,000. This represents a 26.6x appreciation!
  2. Societe Generale, a very famous French bank, has calculated that QE programs have suppressed interest rates in the United States by a dramatic number.

This, of course, has served to widen the wealth gap, bring about societal unrest and lead to a debt bubble.

Courtesy: Zerohedge.com

If bonds were not purchased by the Federal Reserve, they argue, the S&P 500 would be 1,800 points and the NASDAQ 100 would be worth around 5,000 points.

The proof is in the pudding.

  1. Lastly, because of the gain in the price of gold, which appears to have bottomed around $1,860 and silver, which appears to have bottomed just below $23.00, the sector has been recovering and mining shares are up noticeably.

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99.9% CHANCE TRUMP GETS THE BOOT!

This article was contributed by Future Money Trends. 

Unless something that not even the authors of the most elaborate Hollywood sci-fi movie can concoct, happens in a few days (or weeks), Joe Biden will be announced as the 46th President of the United States.

I’m not saying that because I don’t believe that there were voting irregularities, but I don’t want to provide false hope to Trump supporters. There is no smoke without a fire, so clearly, things did happen, but the lead between the two candidates is 4.3M votes, so it has to be one giant scandal, if the ballots were messed with.

There will be recounts and there will be and already are court appeals, but from all of the data that I’ve been able to put together, the world is now preparing for a Biden presidency.

The big question is whether or not the Georgia recount will actually flip the state in terms of their Senators, which might give the Democrats a “blue sweep,” a result that the markets are currently not pricing in and they definitely do not like!

The markets have celebrated the gridlock situation in Washington since they’ve deduced it to mean that in the next four years:

  1. We won’t see any tax hikes (or cuts)
  2. No new wars (probably)
  3. No reckless spending programs on climate change initiatives
  4. No resumption of the Obama-era massive regulatory environment
  5. No ban on fracking

Gridlock, for lack of a better word, guarantees that the majority of the pro-growth agenda from the Trump administration will remain intact (for the most part) and that the power struggles in Washington will probably be negotiated on an even keel since there will be checks and balances between the red and blue agendas.

It also means that any delays in fiscal programs due to feistiness between the two sides will be resolved through currency printing by the Federal Reserve, in the interim.

Courtesy: Zerohedge.com

We are left with the following question: how will global markets and the U.S. stock market trade in light of this new era upon us – Will it be more like 1987 or more like 2009?

This week, the dollar weakened greatly.

Stocks soared by the most they have in a post-election week since Franklin Delano Roosevelt was sworn in in the early 1930s.

Here are some worrisome risks to consider, going forward:

  1. Will Biden’s inauguration usher in a period of lockdowns?
  2. Will Trump, in the interim period, wish to approve and oversee a massive stimulus program as his last hurrah?
  3. Are more stories about Hunter Biden’s laptop going to create national security risks for Joe’s approval process?

With these in mind, I want to recap the performance of our five watch lists from 2020 (starting with the first one) and also note that we’ll publish additional summaries of companies not mentioned in these reports but that we did profile in these pages. We’ll be doing this in the coming days and weeks, as well as highlighting two new opportunities!

The first watch list was posted right after the March Madness week. It offered once-in-a-decade (some say even more) opportunities to consider stocks while they sold off badly. The watch list, which can be accessed HERE, was comprised of 27 securities in total.

26 securities are up considerably, with a number of them trading 100%+ above their March lows, an impressive achievement.

Expect updates on our other 4 watch lists, as well as companies mentioned in this newsletter this year. It’s been a tremendous comeback year since March and we’ve got plenty to report on!

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Prepare: COVID-19 Cases Surge Again In Record Numbers

They are really pushing the fear of this coronavirus case surge. The United States allegedly reported 116,707 new coronavirus infections on Thursday, as 20 states saw their highest daily counts yet.

Prepare for the likelihood of another lockdown. As we’ve said before, if they can get away with putting everyone on house arrest again, they will do it. The recent election chaos is nothing more than a distraction, and the mainstream media won’t report on much other than the COVID-19 scam.

Other countries are locking down again, and people are slowly figuring out that this is all an elaborate elitist hoax:

Far tougher restrictions are being rolled out across Europe, with Greece becoming the latest country to bar residents from leaving their homes for all but a handful of essential tasks.

In London, more than 100 people were arrested Thursday night during a demonstration against England’s month-long lockdown, which took effect earlier in the day. The London Metropolitan Police Service said in a statement that the majority of arrests were for breaches of the new lockdown rules, which include a 10 p.m. curfew and a ban on large gatherings. –Washington Post

The continued reporting of more restrictive and draconian lockdowns in Europe and elsewhere is an attempt to desensitize the American public to another even more sinister lockdown. Do not consent to this tyranny no matter who is chosen to be the next president. We have to start doing what’s right instead of blindly following political parasites, regardless of the letter they stick behind their name.

Prepare to be tracked and traced and obey the orders of the medical martial law police state commanders.

According to CNN, the CDC says it is time to develop a testing strategy to identify asymptomatic cases, while Pfizer has opted out of the government’s vaccine distribution system. As infections across Europe “rise exponentially”, Italy will impose a new stay-at-home order, England has entered a new national lockdown, and France, Poland, and Russia are reporting record case numbers.

Anyone who has been following along and can see beyond the facade of what this plandemic is knows this is all bein set up to roll out an agenda.  This is the Great Reset, The New World Order, and the complete and total enslavement permanently of the entire human race.

Please have your preps in place.  Time is almost up and it isn’t going to matter who wins the election. The chaos is coming, they’ve planned and promised. Stay alert, because they will not stop.

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Biden Gains On Trump In PA, Takes Lead In Georgia, As Day Three Of Post-Election Counting Continues

This article was originally published by Tyler Durden at ZeroHedge.

As we head into day three of counting the ballots, Philadelphia City Commissioner Al Schmidt told CNN he expects an update in the next few hours as they kept counting through the night.

There are 50,000 votes left to be counted there, he said. Despite a dustup that was the result of observers from both the Trump and Biden campaigns have been present observing the counting process, Schmidt said. “We have no doubt when the count is finished, Senator Harris and I will be declared the winners” he added.

Here’s the most up to date map from Bloomberg:

Source: Bloomberg

 

In Georgia, Biden took a lead of more than 900 votes at about 0430 Friday morning: the lead has since grown to 1,096 votes. He gained the lead initially came after Clayton County in the Atlanta suburbs reported a bucket of ballots. Biden had been winning a huge proportion of the votes in that area. Other Atlanta suburbs are still reporting.

In PA, Trump’s lead stood at 18,229 votes at 0600ET though it seems to steadily be shrinking. More mailed-in ballots, which Biden is winning by a healthy margin, are still expected to be counted, with many of them from the heavily Democratic city of Philadelphia and its suburbs. More mailed-in ballots are also set to be counted on Friday in Allegheny County, the home of Pittsburgh.

However, in Georgia, a local reporter summed up the situation with all the attendant frustration and vitriol. Robin Kemp, the reporter in Clayton County, acknowledged that “yes” the votes are still being counted” and that no clear winner has emerged.

If, by some miracle, Biden does pull off a victory in Georgia, it would be a historic moment for Dems. But it wouldn’t necessarily translate to a victory: Also, for readers who aren’t familiar with the other votes that take days to fully count these are validly cast ballots, just being counted now.

Biden also retains leads in the states of Nevada and Arizona, where ballots are still being counted, and mail-in ballots from thousands of older retirees remain to be counted.

With PA remaining the biggest available prize, every major network has Biden leading with at least 253 electoral votes, meaning that if he were to win Pennsylvania and its 20 electoral votes, he would have more than the 270 electoral votes needed to win the presidency. Fox News and the Associated Press have both called the race for Biden in Arizona, projecting him as the winner of that state’s 11 electoral votes, though other networks have abstained.

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Our Imperial Presidency

This article was originally published by Charles Hugh Smith at Of Two Minds Blog.

Regardless of who holds the office, America’s Imperial Project and its Imperial Presidency are due for a grand reckoning.

While elections and party politics generate the emotions and headlines, the truly consequential change in American governance has been the ascendancy of the Imperial Presidency over the past 75 years, since the end of World War II.

As commander-in-chief of the armed forces, the Constitution grants the President extraordinary but temporary powers in wartime. With the power to declare war granted solely to Congress, this dangerous (in the Founders’ view) expansion of Executive power was tolerated because it was temporary and necessary in the fast-moving emergency of war.

Congress has declared war a total of five times, while U.S. armed forces have been deployed in conflicts 300 times. So in 295 conflicts out of 300, the president had sole discretion. Various stamps of Congressional approval of these wartime powers have been given over the decades, but these are more for show than actual limits on presidential powers.

The extraordinary powers granted to President Roosevelt in World War II did not expire at the end of the war. Rather, the powers of the presidency expanded along with the National Security agencies which rose to unprecedented power in the Cold War era of 1945 – 1991. The entire alphabet soup of the National Security State–CIA, NSA, DIA, etc.–serve the president, not Congress, which has been relegated the role of toothless oversight.

Historian Arthur M. Schlesinger, Jr.’s 1973 book, The Imperial Presidency, introduced the term Imperial Presidency into the American lexicon.

While historians have documented the rise of Executive power at the expense of the legislative branch and pundits have wrung their hands over this concentration of vast, often secret power in the presidency, nobody within the status quo has addressed the core reason behind the rise of the Imperial Presidency: America’s Empire requires a CEO/Emperor as a simple operational reality.

You can’t run a global military/commercial/diplomatic empire with a slow-moving legislative body; you need a dynamic CEO (chief executive officer) with essentially unlimited powers to do whatever it takes to run the empire.

Empires need an emperor, and this is the history of post-WW2 America. As the victor, the U.S. emerged with a global reach and power that can only be described as imperial. While the USSR soon gained military parity with nuclear weapons and vast tank armies aimed at Western Europe, the commercial empire was solely American.

While some cheered America’s global empire and others shouldered it as a necessary Cold war burden, the status quo relished the immense expansion of centralized bureaucratic and executive powers.

An Imperial President requires the Imperial machinery of global hegemony, and so the National Security State replaced the elected government as the real power. For a peek behind the curtain of the Imperial Presidency’s powers, please read The Enemies Briefcase: Secret powers and the presidency. (via Cheryl A.)

The last time the U.S. Congress pushed back against the Imperial Presidency and Security Agencies was 45 years ago, in 1975. In response to the domestic over-reach of the ImperialPresidency (Watergate) and the security agencies (COINTELPRO, etc.), the Church Committee undertook the first comprehensive review of the presidency’s expansive secret powers and the secret powers wielded by the National Security State.

The domestic abuses of power by the FBI and CIA included the blatantly illegal COINTELPRO programs aimed at destroying the anti-war / civil rights movements in the 1960s and early 1970s.

We know from the Church Committee reports that the FBI and CIA broke numerous federal laws and violated every constitutional limit on their powers as a matter of daily policy. The abuses of power were not the work of rogue agents or even rogue agencies; the abuses were SOP (standard operating procedures) for the Imperial machinery of the presidency and the security agencies that served the essentially unlimited power of the Imperial presidency.

For more on COINTELPRO, please read War at Home: Covert action against U.S. activists and what we can do about it and/or Cointelpro: The FBI’s Secret War on Political Freedom.

Empires arise, evolve, and collapse just like nations. Edward Luttwak’s insightful book The Grand Strategy of the Roman Empire: From the First Century CE to the Third outlines the three stages of Empire.

Luttwak describes the first stage of expansion thusly:

“With brutal simplicity, it might be said that with the first system the Romans of the republic conquered much to serve the interests of the few, those living in the city–and in fact still fewer, those best placed to control policy.”

The second stage spread the benefits of the Empire much more broadly:

“During the first century A.D., Roman ideas evolved toward a much broader and altogether more benevolent conception of empire… men born in lands far from Rome could call themselves Roman and have their claim fully allowed, and the frontiers were efficiently defended to defend the growing prosperity of all, and not merely the privileged.”

The third stage is one of rising inequality:

“In the wake of the great crisis of the third century, the provision of security became an increasingly heavy charge on society, a charge unevenly distributed, which could enrich the wealthy and ruin the poor. The machinery of the empire now became increasingly self-serving, with its tax collectors, administrators and soldiers of much greater use to one another than to society at large.

That line describes the American state and central bank (the Federal Reserve) perfectly. As the Imperial Presidency’s powers have expanded to the top of the S-Curve, so too has self-serving greed supported by everyday abuses of power reached new heights.

Who’s benefited mightily from Imperial over-reach? As the chart below indicates, the top 1% of America’s power elite has benefited to a degree that’s unmatched around the world. The military-industrial sector has prospered (see chart below) as have the agencies of the National Security State. As for the bottom 99%: suck it up, debt-serfs and tax donkeys: yours is not to make a reply or reason why, yours is to do and die.

Regardless of who holds the office, America’s Imperial Project and its Imperial Presidency are due for a grand reckoning. Empires require an emperor, and perhaps America will finally tire of its self-serving Empire and its Imperial Presidency.

The post Our Imperial Presidency first appeared on SHTF Plan – When It Hits The Fan, Don't Say We Didn't Warn You.

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2020 Election: Trump Blasts Vote-Count Delays As “Fraud On The American Public”

This article was originally published by Tyler Durden at Zerohedge. 

…and this is for all the marbles.

RESULTS (0235ET):

TRUMP

Total 213 – KY (8), IN (11), WV (5), SC (9), AL (9), TN (11), OK (7), MS (6), ME (1/2) FL (29), AR (6), WY (3), LA (8), ND (3), SD (3), NE (4/5), KS (6), MO (10), UT (6), ID (4), OH (18), TX (38), IA (6), MT (3)

BIDEN

Total 238 – VT (3), VA (13), CT (7), IL (20), DE (3), NJ (14), RI (4), ME (1/2), MA (11), MD (10), DC (3), NY (29), NM (5), CO (9), NH (4), NE (1/5) CA (55), OR (7), WA (12), AZ (11), NM (5), HI (4), MN (10)

Only one state flipped (for now if Fox projections hold): Arizona for Biden.

NBC News projects that Democrats will maintain their control of the House of Representatives.

It’s looking less and less likely that the Democrats will take over the Senate. They lost crucial races in Montana and Iowa and their path is narrowing rapidly.

Mail-in ballot delays are hitting now:

  • WI (no way we’re announcing tonight),
  • MI (Friday),
  • PA (no count anytime soon) and
  • GA (biggest Dem county stopped counting, Trump leading by 300k).

That’s 62 electoral votes in total. 62 is a big number in a race for 270. That’s why we might not know tonight.

Jonathan Tamari of the Philadelphia Inquirer warned that:

One huge red flag for Biden in PA: He’s currently trailing in Chester County, a key suburb that Clinton won by 25.5k – and Dems were counting on for a bigger win. Still a lot of mail ballots not counted there, but Biden needs to win big there.”

Biden addressed the nation at 0045ET:

“Your patience is commendable. We knew this was going to go long, but who knew we were going to go into tomorrow morning, maybe even longer. But look, we feel good about where we are. We really do. I’m here to tell you tonight we feel confident we are going to win this election.”

“We believe we’re on track to win this election,” Biden says.

“We can know the results as early as tomorrow morning but it may take a little longer. As I’ve said all along it’s not my place or Donald Trump’s place to say who wins the election, it’s up to the American people.”

“Keep the faith guys! We’re going to win this”

Trump replied, via tweet:

“We are up BIG, but they are trying to STEAL the Election. We will never let them do it. Votes cannot be cast after the Polls are closed!”

Adding that he will be making a statement tonight, “a big win!”

Twitter immediately censored it…

As Michael Tracey noted, “We’re approaching a nightmare scenario. They’re both essentially declaring victory.”

Trump delivered a statement at 0220ET. Trump says “millions and millions of people voted for us tonight, and a very sad group of people is trying to disenfranchise that group of people, and we won’t stand for it.”

He said he was getting ready for a “big celebration. We were winning everything and all of a sudden it was just called off.”

“We won states that we weren’t expecting to win.”

“It’s also clear that we have won Georgia. We’re up by 2.5%”

“Arizona we have a lot of life in that and somebody said — somebody declared it was a victory for him.”

“We’ve clearly won North Carolina, we’re up 1.4%.”

“Most importantly we are winning Pennsylvania by a tremendous amount.”

“we had such a big night. You look at all the margins we won them by.”

“I said: What happened to the election, it’s off.”

Trump says Democrats “knew they couldn’t win, so they said let’s go to court.”

This is a fraud on the American public, this is an embarrassment to our country. We were getting ready to win this election, frankly we did win this election. So our goal now is to ensure the integrity for the good of this nation.”

“We’ll be going to the U.S. Supreme Court. We want all voting to stop. We don’t want them to find any ballots at 4 AM in the morning and add them to the list.”

“We will win this.”

*  *  *

As Victor Davis Hanson notes, the 2020 election is not just about Joe Biden sitting on a perceived lead and trying to run out the clock against barnstorming incumbent President Trump. It is really a choice between changing rules when they are deemed inconvenient and respecting constitutional norms and long-held traditions that have served America well for many years.

Upsets/Notable

Big Loss For Trump – Fox calls Arizona for Biden

Additionally, Democrat Mark Kelly is way ahead of GOP incumbent Martha McSally in the Arizona Senate race. More than 10 points ahead with 73% of precincts reporting.

The Trump campaign is not happy at the early call from Fox. Campaign spokesman Jason Miller tweeted:

We only need 61% of the outstanding, uncounted Election Day votes in Arizona to win.

These votes are coming from “our counties,” and the 61% figure is very doable based on what our other Election Day votes are looking like.

@FoxNews should retract their call immediately.

Politico / WSJ / NYT not calling AZ for Biden

Republicans Flip Alabama Senate Seat

AP is projecting that Tom Tuberville, a former Auburn University football coach, has won the Senate race in the red state of Alabama, unseating Democrat Doug Jones who won the seat in a special election in 2017. So that’s a pickup for the Republicans. The Democrats so far have picked up one Senate seat — Cory Gardner’s in Colorado.

Bookies Flip To Trump Favorite

BetFair Exchange has flipped its odds to Trump (77%) and Biden (23%)

Meanwhile over at PredictIt…

Some folks are gonna be upset…

Florida

Decision Desk HQ has called Florida for Trump.

In 2016, Clinton beat Trump by about 290,000 votes in Miami-Dade. Currently, Biden’s up just a bit over 90,000.

Trump has picked up votes among black and Latino Floridians over Clinton.

Meanwhile, we may be seeing our first House seat flip of the night as freshman Democrat Debbie Mucarsel-Powell is losing to Republican Carlos Gimenez in Florida’s 26th congressional district with 83% of precincts reporting.

In Colorado, Fox News projects that Democrat John Hickenlooper has defeated incumbent Republican GOP Senator Cory Gardner.

Expected:

  • Trump Wins Indiana: CNN
  • Trump Wins Kentucky: AP
  • Biden Wins Vermont: AP
  • Biden Wins Virginia: Fox
  • Trump Wins West Virginia: AP
  • Trump Wins South Carolina: AP
  • Trump Wins Alabama: AP
  • Biden Wins Connecticut: AP
  • Biden Wins Illinois: AP
  • Trump Wins Tennessee: AP
  • Biden Wins Delaware: AP
  • Biden Wins New Jersey: AP
  • Biden Wins Rhode Island: AP
  • Maine split
  • Biden Wins Massachusetts: AP
  • Biden Wins Maryland: NBC
  • Trump Wins Oklahoma: AP
  • Biden Wins District of Columbia: Networks
  • Trump Wins Mississippi: AP
  • Trump Wins Arkansas: AP
  • Biden Wins New York: NBC
  • Biden Wins New Mexico: AP
  • Trump Wins Wyoming: AP
  • Trump Wins Louisiana: AP
  • Trump Wins North Dakota: AP
  • Trump Wins South Dakota: AP
  • Trump Wins Nebraska: AP
  • Biden Wins Colorado: AP
  • Trump Wins Kansas: AP
  • Biden Wins New Hampshire: Networks
  • Trump Wins Missouri: AP
  • Trump Wins Utah: Networks
  • Biden Wins California: NBC
  • Trump Wins Idaho: AP
  • Biden Wins Oregon: AP
  • Biden Wins Washington: AP
  • Biden Wins New Mexico: AP
  • Trump Wins Ohio: AP
  • Trump Wins Texas: Fox
  • Biden Wins Hawaii: AP
  • Biden Wins Minnesota: AP
  • Trump Wins Iowa: Fox
  • Trump Wins Montana: AP

*  *  *

State of play (as of 0120ET)

Source: Fox News

Leaning…

Source: NYT

*  *  *

Here are the deadlines in battleground states:

Axios reports when each state official has said we can expect unofficial election results:

  1. Arizona: Early ballots will have to have the signatures verified, and there’s no way to know how many voters will turn those in on Election Day, according to Sophia Solis, spokesperson for the office of Arizona’s secretary of state.
  2. Florida: Election night results will not be released at the state level until 8 pm Eastern, according to a spokesperson for the Florida Department of State. The spokesperson declined to provide any other projections for the timing of the results.
  3. Georgia: Results are expected late Tuesday for non-close races. Even in the close races, Walter Jones, spokesperson for the Secretary of State office said, they will probably have it sorted out by Wednesday.
  4. Michigan: The Secretary of State’s office expects it to take until roughly Friday to process and count all the ballots, according to spokesperson Tracy Wimmer.
  5. Minnesota: “We expect that all or substantially all of in-person election day votes and absentee votes will be reported election night or soon after,” said Peter Bartz-Gallagher, a spokesperson for the Secretary of State’s office.
  6. North Carolina: “Results reported by the end of election night will include 97 percent or more of all ballots cast in North Carolina in the 2020 general election,” according to the Board of Elections.
  7. Ohio: “We expect results from Tuesday evening into Wednesday morning,” said Maggie Sheehan, press secretary for the Ohio Secretary of State’s office.
  8. Pennsylvania: Secretary of State Kathy Boockvar said in a recent interview that she expects the “overwhelming majority” of votes will be counted by Friday, Nov 6.
  9. Texas: The Texas secretary of state’s office declined to provide any expected timeline given the large size of the state and those elections are run on a county-by-county-basis.
  10. Wisconsin: “In some bigger cities, especially where they count absentee ballots at a central location instead of the polling place, we might not see all the results until the next morning,” said Reid Magney, a spokesperson for the Wisconsin Elections Commission.

On election night itself, Michael Snyder says the most important state to focus on will be Florida.  As I discussed in a previous article, Florida is one of the states that allow mail-in ballots to be counted in advance, and we should have a really good idea of what the results are going to look like in the state by the end of the night.

If Biden is declared the winner in Florida on election night, that is going to be a really, really bad sign for Trump.  There really isn’t a path to 270 electoral votes for Trump without Florida.

If Trump wins Florida, or if the vote is too close to call, then Pennsylvania becomes crucially important.

Unfortunately, Pennsylvania is one of the states that does not allow mail-in ballots to be counted in advance, and they are going to have millions of them to count.

At this point, Pennsylvania Governor Tom Wolf is openly admitting that “it may take longer than usual to count every vote”

‘These are unprecedented times. Because of the coronavirus, there were millions of votes cast by mail so it may take longer than usual to count every vote,’ he says in a new ad for the nonpartisan group, The Voter Project.

‘The folks in our election offices – your neighbors, family and friends are working hard ensuring every single vote is counted,’ he says.

Pennsylvania is supposed to have every vote counted by Friday, but we are deeply skeptical.

Interestingly, and not exactly confidence-inspiring, Biden campaign manager Jen O’Malley Dillon reportedly said this afternoon that:

“We continue to have multiple pathways to 270 electoral votes” says they can win 270 even without PA and FL,” according to Time’s Charlotte Alter.

*  *  *

Or follow along with Matt Taibbi and Katie Halper as they drink and comment on the state-by-state counts (but definitely do not declare any victory).


As Matt Taibbi writes, in life, as in cult sci-fi/adventure thrillers starring Geneva’s own Christopher Lambert, winner takes all:

Unfortunately, there are good reasons to doubt we’ll see anyone’s head fully lopped off this evening. The enormous number of mail-in votes, coupled with a slate of conflicting state rules about when such votes are counted – added to a high likelihood of unpredictable logistical difficulties associated with the pandemic – make a delayed conclusion to the Trump-Biden electoral contest very possible.

Usually, high in-person turnout favors Democrats. This year, because so many Democrats voted early (and Republicans have been warned away from mail ballots), the situation will likely be reversed. This means we could very well have early results that look confusing, maybe even like a wipeout for Trump, when what we’re actually seeing is just in-person votes being counted faster than mail votes. We also could see opposite scenarios.

Overall, the likelihood is that Joe Biden will win, and comfortably, but the issue is when that result comes in. Imagine the chaos of the Iowa Democratic caucus, with all the attendant scarcely-believable explanations coming from officials and vote-counters, expanded to presidential scale. That’s the horror-movie scenario for this evening.

Because of the fear both sides have about the results, the quantity of media spin tonight is likely to be, as rule 7 below notes, “unprecedented.” Partisans from both red and blue camps will be prepping audiences for bad news in ways that deflect blame from their own consultant pals, and also planting seeds for arguments likely to be made in contested-result scenarios. Expect Republicans to tell tales of trucks of fake ballots shipped over the Rio Grande in burlap sacks, while Democrats might counter with photos of wheelchair-bound minority voters invited to exercise their democratic covenant at ad-hoc ballot stations re-located to the top of hundred-foot climbing walls.

DRINKING GAME RULES

The main rule is implied: just start drinking and don’t stop for the next few years.

As for tonight specifically, here goes:

Drink for EVERY MENTION of:

1) “Red mirage”;

2) “Blue mirage”;

3) “Path to victory” or “route to victory”;

4) “Most important election of our lifetime”;

5) “Still too close to call”;

6) “Shy Trump supporter”;

7) “Unprecedented”;

8) “Firewall.” Double if this is accompanied by an awkward effort by an anchor to inoffensively characterize the minority voting bloc to which they’re ascribing monolithic voting tendencies;

9) “Neck and neck”;

10) “Broward County” or “Miami-Dade”;

11) “It could be a big night for (whatever)”;

12) “It all comes down to Pennsylvania.”

Drink EVERY TIME:

13) A commentator says “(something) is on the ballot tonight,” and that something is not the name of a candidate;

14) John King looks visibly aroused on the way to the Magic Wall;

15) A member of the media uses the word “we” to describe Democratic Party results;

16) A Republican accuses Democrats of stuffing ballots. Double if the alleged plot involves the use of undocumented immigrants as sham voters;

17) A Democrat mentions voter suppression. Double if this is accompanied by a warning that this is the “only way” Trump could win;

18) Any commentator suggests Trump will not give up power if he loses;

19) Someone reports the possibility of results-delaying litigation over a new set of voting irregularities detected today;

20) A commentator reacts to a result by seriously wondering aloud if Russians are meddling;

21) There is a video of Melania Trump looking a little too happy that her husband is losing;

22) Trump ups the ante on an outrageous lie about his opponents at the 11th hour, like that Biden has already written an executive order canceling free enterprise, or has decided to grant American citizenship to everyone in Bangladesh;

23) Biden says something incomprehensible, dozes off or forgets whom he’s talking to within a TV appearance;

24) Someone cuts to a shot of boarded-up windows. Double when windows are actually broken.

25) Someone cries on set as results come in. Or, alternatively, does the political version of the Bill Simmons fist pump:

Finally, we fall back to Buckminster Fuller’s infamous quote for some context tonight:

If you take all the machinery in the world and dump it in the ocean, within months more than half of all humanity will die and within another six months they’d almost all be gone; if you took all the politicians in the world, put them in a rocket, and sent them to the moon, everyone would get along fine.

Stay safe and remember that politics is all about subverting you emotionally and then reaping your production. The rest are details.

The post 2020 Election: Trump Blasts Vote-Count Delays As “Fraud On The American Public” first appeared on SHTF Plan – When It Hits The Fan, Don't Say We Didn't Warn You.

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AMERICA VOTES: Are Trump Crusaders CORRECT?

This article was contributed by Portfolio Wealth Global. 

Today, America is voting. One year ago, at this time, President Trump was pretty confident that he’d win a 2nd term. After all, tax cuts and major regulatory hurdles were removed. Through a combination of natural trends that were in motion and his administration’s policies, America was booming, economically speaking and the improvement was felt by enough Americans to give Trump a landslide victory.

Covid-19 opened the door for Democrats to re-enter the presidential race, so to speak; it forced Mr. Trump to manage a healthcare crisis, which is obviously not what he really wants to do, as a business-oriented individual. Many millions who weren’t raving Trump fans, but were quite happy with the way their careers and finances were going, were laid-off and now had an excuse to change their tune on the Republican Party.

It’s pretty safe to say that President Trump hates this virus, from a personal perspective. He was riding on the gravy train until it came along and forever changed many aspects of our lives, at least for the next 5-10 years.

Courtesy: Zerohedge.com, Convoy Investments

The markets have changed as well; the puck has moved towards fiscal stimulus and away from a monetary one. Tens of millions of Millennials have now become actively involved in stocks.

If, up until now, any word uttered from the mouths of Bernanke, Yellen or Powell, caused trillions of dollars to change hands, the next president will have an impact even greater than that. There are new top-trending fund managers; less than 1% of the population has truly realized just how different of a world we are entering.

The markets are now following what Congress does more than it cares for what the Federal Reserve can do. As a child, if you’d gone to Six Flags and went on the same ride a few times, even if it was the best one, the thrill factor had a diminishing effect. Even if there were no lines and you could do it time and again, most kids wouldn’t.

They’d much rather try a brand-new ride, a rollercoaster that they’ve never seen before – one with new colors and a fresh design in another part of the park.

Fiscal stimulus measures like direct deposits, checks to the bank account, and other socio-economic policies, which we will see in the years ahead, will be a critical catalyst for markets. They will be much broader in scope than Medicare, Medicaid, or Social Security, and include demographics much younger than retirees.

We believe the U.S. government will act in such a way that inflationary expectations will rise, while the FED will attempt to suppress rates, thus sustaining negative real rates (as we’ve predicted for more than a year), while leaving the nominal bond yield in the positive range.

Trump or Biden; Washington will be fully engaged in MASSIVE DEFICIT SPENDING in this decade and commodity investors will flourish.

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TODAY IS THE DAY: JB vs. DT – MY PREDICTION!

This article was contributed by Future Money Trends. 

The United States and many parts of the Western World, as well as developing nations, are watching their screens today, anticipating how the elections will turn out.

Most voters don’t pick their president based on results, but on how they make them feel. 70% of voters have no idea what the platform of Donald Trump or Joe Biden is; they are familiar with buzzwords and general terms but can’t or won’t devote the time it takes to arrive at a factual, wise, and wholehearted decision.

This election day is determined by peer pressure, media propaganda, and largely by the way the candidate makes you feel about whether or not you’d want to be his friend.

A political leader with the responsibilities of the president doesn’t have to fit into that slot of “a nice guy to have coffee with,” although it doesn’t hurt.

This job of occupying the White House between now and 2024 is about one thing: the ABILITY to perform the work required.

FutureMoneyTrends.com believes that Donald Trump is in trouble in Arizona, a state that could tilt the balance towards the Democrats. We also believe that Trump crusaders woke up at 5 AM today and are doing anything they can possibly do to help their candidate.

Therefore, our prediction is that Donald Trump is likely to win, by securing PA, MI, and NC, as well as FL and GA, giving him 308 Electoral College votes, but we shall see.

What I’d like to do now is analyze the precious metal sector for each of the two scenarios, a Biden victory and a Trump one:

Courtesy: Zerohedge.com

Between now and December 8th, when the electoral college vote is materially finalized, there might be legal debates that arise due to the probability of mail-in fraud, late voting, or other manipulative actions.

What markets want more than the certainty of knowing who will be the next President of The United States is MORE STIMULUS.

Starting in March, after they poured everything they had into this economy, the Federal Reserve has become second fiddle to Congress.

QE programs and low, zero, or negative interest rates are the norm. Markets have already priced in the fact that they’ll stay there for years. Households can only function and originate mortgages thanks to this. Businesses can only recycle loans, refinance debt, and borrow funds because of it. Governments can only keep their giant deficits in motion due to this reality, and it won’t change anytime soon.

Joe Biden and the Democrats – The most important policy change that will be enacted if Biden ends up winning is his attitude towards China.

Biden is likely to ease up big time.

This is important because this kid-gloves approach is likely to cause the world to be less fearful of animosity between these two countries, the world’s strongest empires. As you know, in the past four years, President Trump has not started any new war; his attitude towards foreign policy included far less back-channeling and much more of a public approach, putting pressure on China, Europe, and the Middle East, out in the open. Our opinion is that Biden’s way could lead to a Chinese confidence boost and new war fronts could emerge, just like when Russia felt brave enough to attack Ukraine.

The bottom line is that a Biden victory is likely detrimental to the U.S. dollar and we believe that under his administration, commodities and stocks will trade in tandem, OPPOSITE TO HOW they did in the past twelve years.

Since silver is 55% below its all-time high, our rating of it as a likely winner is even bigger than gold’s. We would not be surprised to see strong silver performance in 2021 and beyond, testing its legendary $50/ounce high.

The post TODAY IS THE DAY: JB vs. DT – MY PREDICTION! first appeared on SHTF Plan – When It Hits The Fan, Don't Say We Didn't Warn You.

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WE HAVE A WINNER: ELECTIONS 2020!

This article was contributed by the Wealth Research Group. 

Around the globe, millions of media personnel, content creators, news websites, propaganda outlets, and social media giants are covering the elections; it’s a ratings bonanza.

People are literally glued to their screens since this election does matter; it is a struggle for the soul of a nation that has dominated planet Earth, without question, since the end of WW2.

Though it only comprises 4% of the global population, its economic engine contributes just below 25% of global GDP. Its military presence in around 150 countries is unprecedented. Its companies are some of the largest in the world (Apple, Amazon, Microsoft, Google, and Facebook) and in the decade that has just begun, we’ll probably witness 30-100 more TRILLION-DOLLAR businesses being born on U.S. soil, some of which are currently just ideas, germinating in the minds of future entrepreneurs.

The United States is a country of extreme contrast between the various states that comprise the union and the glue that has bound them together since 1776 – a cocktail of shared values, which are cherished by its citizens, is potentially passing its expiration date.

Today, more than ever before in my lifetime, and to my knowledge, more than any other time in the 20th and 21st centuries, this glue is coming undone.

The differences of opinions on just about any topic are huge, but more than that, there is a lack of willingness to compromise.

Each side does not believe that it is worthwhile to be flexible with the other; the image that each American has of his fellow American who votes for the other party, or who feels differently than him on a certain topic, is that he is brainwashed and can’t see the truth.

It’s a slippery slope.

I’m not here to predict civil war or the end of the union; my sole purpose with WealthResearchgroup.com publications, through this newsletter, is to provide context, value and to empower you to think about the big things in life – not dwelling on the transitory, temporary, flitting or petty.

The winner of today’s elections could be either Joe Biden or Donald Trump, but the captain of the ship that is your life is YOU, so you must “win” this election. You need to take today and reclaim victory over your own circumstances. Have you plateaued? Time to grow above it…

Personally, we believe Trump can do it and will do it!

Life boils down to 24-hour sessions, where between 30% and 33% is devoted to a rejuvenation of the mind, body, and soul via sound sleep. Before you do anything else, give this some thought, since it has been proven beyond any shadow of a doubt that human beings MUST SLEEP WELL.

Spend time creating the ideal environment for you – bed, linens, mattress, no lighting, and zero distractions; think of the process and the routine of this important human task – which you do EVERY DAY – and perfect it. You’ll see major results. The late Kobe Bryant attributed sleep tactics to winning his back-to-back championships in his second go at them.

Think of the last 15-30 minutes of your waking hours and of the first 30 minutes, upon getting up; it is proven that what you focus on and pay attention to at those times will be engrained in your life – do you read? Pay gratitude? Write down today’s/tomorrow’s tasks?

Once you’re up, you spend 65%-70% of your life in the state of full operation and must divide it between BODY, INTELLECT, and SOUL, giving these three the best you can deliver to them. Unhappiness originates from a lack of fulfillment in one or more of these areas, the only ones that human beings are made out of.

Are you inspired to live an amazing life, to put the past behind you for good, and just LIVE?

Here are big questions to ask, make decisions about, and act with UNWAVERING FAITH to accomplish:

  1. Are you good at what you do? That will be a determining factor in how much money you’ll make. Can you perform above and beyond what’s expected of you, constantly evolving, never sleeping while on guard? You have to OUTGROW your current position, in order for more opportunities to arrive. I faced many issues over the years, hitting brick walls time and again, determined to rise up to the next level, but not connecting the dots on what’s missing. Relentlessly, I kept analyzing and internally improving, until breakthroughs started to appear.
  2. If you happen to be good at something that you don’t particularly like, do you have pastime hobbies that elevate you and offset the fact that your primary source of income comes at a cost of personal sacrifice? Not everyone that loves basketball gets to make a career out of it…
  3. Are you in love? Do you share your life and your time with someone who supports you, is loyal to you, and is fun to be with? One of the lucky breaks I caught was to find the perfect woman for me when I was just 21. We’ve been together ever since, started a family, and have a bond that is supportive of both of us.
  4. Do you love your neighborhood, city, and state? The world is your oyster in the 21st century; you’re not a plant anymore.

These are just questions to start-off with; no scientific study has ever found and none ever will that there’s a limit to the amount of brain cells, which can be developed in order to perform a certain task, to accomplish a given feat or mission; human beings can grow in patience, kindness, generosity, tolerance, flexibility, forgiveness, loyalty, positivity, cheerfulness, poise and the only limits are ones that we believe in and set for ourselves.

Don’t compare yourself to anybody else and don’t think anyone else has a secret that you don’t possess. The difference between people is not external, but in the way THEY THINK.

Think, Think, Think!

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2 DAYS TO GO: This Race Is TIGHT!

This article was contributed by Portfolio Wealth Global. 

The volatility index is screaming at us. History says that we are in one of the most make-or-break moments for stocks in the past three decades.

Courtesy: Zerohedge.com

On October 28th, the VIX closed above 40, which happens very rarely; it’s a caution sign of the highest order. Literally, VIX closes over that level less than 3% of the time.

My gut instinct is that there’s potential for a big sell-off if the elections don’t end in the way that big money managers believe they will.

When we look at how gold fits into this picture, I want to remind you that between 2017 and 2020, no public mentions of any discovery of 2M ounces or more has been accomplished; the mining industry is still traumatized by the bear market and is behaving with caution.

Courtesy: Zerohedge.com

One cannot overstate the need to think professionally and to be mindful of the fact that the profits do not justify prices on a broad-based index level. Certainly, the opportunities are with individual securities, if you’re capable of understanding businesses and feel comfortable risking funds.

The S&P 500 has never crashed this severely in the week leading up to a presidential election; something is clearly not right. Both the Dow Jones and the NASDAQ have already entered correction mode (down over -10% from their highs).

What I think most people are not prepared for is the possibility that their country or state will re-enter some sort of stay-at-home order and even quarantine.

Lockdowns are in the cards!

Courtesy: U.S. Global Investors

The U.S. is experiencing a “V”-shaped recovery, but this data hardly shows the distress that is really out there.

So, what’s in store for Tuesday?

Again, because of the Electoral College system, people in the swing states will determine who will sit in office for the next four years. According to my calculations, there are 195 swing votes, which is a lot.

Because of the way the Electoral College voting works, the fact that Democrats get California, New York, Illinois, New Jersey, and Virginia, comprising 173 votes, along with Massachusetts and Washington State, which add another 23 votes, for a total of 196, means they will turn their focus on just winning in several other small states and they’re in.

Because California is such a big deal, this system makes it very difficult for Trump, who doesn’t stand a chance there.

He doesn’t even campaign in California…

His focus and his message are that he will continue opening up the economy, dealing with the virus while respecting people’s freedoms, while instilling the fear that Joe Biden will enforce major lockdowns, school closures, and trample on your civil rights.

On the other end, Biden will show Trump as reckless and irresponsible, holding him accountable for the deaths, because of his “haste” in opening up.

We shall see where public opinion ends up on these matters in addition to other hot topics.

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It WOULDN’T Take Much: Markets COULD IMPLODE!

This article was contributed by Future Money Trends. 

National polls will tell you which candidate has more support in general, but in the U.S., each and every citizen does not vote on a national level, but on a state-by-state level. In other words, if one resides in California, they will influence which candidate will win in their state alone.

This might create a situation where the popular vote, which is the candidate who gets the most total votes, does not become president.

John Quincy Adams in 1824, Rutherford B. Hayes in 1876, Benjamin Harrison in 1888, George W. Bush in 2000, and Donald Trump in 2016 all won despite losing in the popular vote.

This system, where each resident can only influence locally, is called the electoral college, and it is only practiced in the United States, even though surveys show that between 60% and 80% of Americans don’t approve of it.

WHAT IS UNIQUE ABOUT THIS WAY OF CHOOSING A POLITICAL LEADER?

  1. This system is based on the number of congressmen that serve in the House of Representatives.

Each state also gets to send two senators to the Senate.

Here’s how this works in real life: in Texas, there are just over 25M residents, so it has 36 congressmen in the House. A state like Vermont is tiny, with less than 650,000 residents, so it has one congressman. The way the electoral college works is Texas gets 36 votes for each congressman and two for its Senators, so it’s worth 38 votes in Tuesday’s elections, compared with Vermont’s 1 congressman + 2 Senators, which gets them 3 votes on Tuesday.

This is just one example. What this does is make it so that each vote is not equal to another due to the number of residents each delegate ends up representing.

Take Oregon, which will vote for Biden. It is worth seven votes. Its population is 4.2M, so it means each delegate is in charge of 600,000 voters (4,200,000 / 7 = 600,000). In other words, every 600,000 people are worth one vote. In red-voting Montana, there are 1.07M residents, which influence three votes, so every 356,000 voters are worth a delegate. This makes their votes more valuable.

  1. Swing states: in areas that are known for changing their minds between Democrats and Republicans, therefore, the two candidates campaign, rally, blow their ad budget, and put in the effort, whereas in states they are comfortably in the lead in or have no prayer of winning, they would not spend a second.

In 2016, in New York, a blue state, 2.8M people voted for Trump, but since Hillary got 4.5M votes, those people’s political opinions got buried.

This system goes back to the early part of the United States when it made more sense, but it seems to be inefficient for the 21st century.

Courtesy: Zerohedge.com

Back to the markets, we can see that as hedge fund manager David Einhorn says, fundamentals have begun mattering since September 2nd because liquidity isn’t enough to move prices higher anymore.

This is a warning sign shouting at us.

Be on the lookout for our special PRESIDENTIAL UPDATE Tuesday AM!

 

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CONTESTED ELECTIONS: Police Ready For MAYHEM!

This article was contributed by The Wealth Research Group. 

A record turnout of voting is happening around the United States. The ease of mail-in votes is allowing many more people to express their opinions, where they might otherwise just stay home, be indifferent about it, and avoid the crowds.

Let’s go over the current state of affairs:

Democrat leaning states – California (55), Hawaii (4), Oregon (7), Washington State (12), Illinois (20), New Mexico (5), New York (29), Washington D.C. (3), Maryland (10), Delaware (3), New Jersey (14), Connecticut (7), Massachusetts (11), Rhode Island (4), Vermont (3) and Virginia (13). These states are nearly guaranteed to vote for Biden; that’s a collective 200 Electoral College votes.

Republican Leaning States – Oklahoma (7), Utah (6), Idaho (4), Wyoming (3), North Dakota (3), South Dakota (3), Nebraska (5), Louisiana (8), Alabama (9), Mississippi (6), Arkansas (6), Missouri (10), Kentucky (8), West Virginia (5), Tennessee (11), Montana (3), Alaska (3) and Indiana (11). These states are nearly guaranteed to vote for President Trump; that’s a collective 111 Electoral College votes.

SWING STATES: Nevada (6), Arizona (11), Colorado (9), Wisconsin (10), Michigan (16), Florida (29), New Hampshire (4), North Carolina (15), Georgia (16), Iowa (6), Ohio (18), South Carolina (9), Minnesota (10), Kansas (6), Pennsylvania (20), Maine (4) and Texas (38). That’s a collective of 227 Electoral College votes.  

According to the polls, which are NOT to be trusted, Biden has a big lead. They vary from one to another, but most have Joe Biden comfortably in the driver’s seat.

If Biden wins the blue-swinging states, according to the polls, then he would have 279 Electoral College votes, whereas Donald Trump would have 263.

In other words, if Trump wins in either AZ, CO, WI, MI, or NC and is able to secure FL, TX, PA, and MN, he will remain in office.

What do you think will occur?

Monday will be another volatile day, because, as you can see, with everything that’s happening with Joe’s son, things aren’t looking like smooth sailing for the Democrats.

Courtesy: Zerohedge.com

The eerie similarity between today’s market action and the one markets experienced in the Great Depression is quite dramatic, but the Federal Reserve and the world’s governments are reacting quickly and with a massive force of stimulus measures, all based on DEBT – lots and lots of it.

It seems like the tradeoff between debt and stimulus is always towards DEBT.

Can markets suddenly plunge by 40%-60%? Is it possible?

The answer is most likely not, since the crisis that we’ve seen this year did not originate from a financial or economic source.

It’s certainly possible that we’ll have volatility and pretty erratic markets for a while, since there’s an elevated level of uncertainty, specifically when it comes to the pandemic.

When one looks at this third wave of infections sweeping through Europe and the U.S., coupled with the elections, the conclusion is that Covid-19 will probably stay with us for a few years longer than most believe, perhaps permanently.

I’ll leave you with this: since 1928, if the S&P 500 was down for the 3-month period before elections, the reigning party (Republicans, in this case) was defeated. Since August, the index has returned -0.6%, so if you wanted yet another CLOSE CALL, this is as tight as it gets.

Courtesy: Zerohedge.com

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STOCKS DEMOLISHED: WHAT DID YOU EXPECT?

This article was contributed by Portfolio Wealth Global. 

Oh man, yesterday proved what happens when there’s uncertainty about a major event, coupled with the CERTAINTY that no Federal Reserve is coming to your aid in the days ahead. This is education for the millennials, who have been trained to expect Daddy Jerome Powell to show up every time they load-up.

There is no BACKUP COMING, no Navy Seals coming to the rescue.

This is it; between now and perhaps the end of the year, price discovery is going to be real. We’re going to see exactly what big money and algorithms think about valuations with nothing to prop up markets.

Panic? YES. Volatility? SURE. Buying opportunities? 100%. Craziness and illogical behavior? EVERYWHERE you look.

This will be one of the most important investment months of your career. By acting responsibly, professionally, and with poise and composure, not with an inability to see positions going up and down like yoyos, one will be able to exploit others’ mental incapability to handle bullets firing above their heads.

For the next few days, the FED is out of the business of putting a floor on stocks; perhaps even more than just a few days…

The major indices are now RED for the month of October.

Famed hedge fund manager David Einhorn, who got his ba**s handed to him for shorting TSLA, is convinced the markets peaked on September 2nd. He believes the bubble is over and cites IPO mania, elevated valuations for the Robinhood app darlings, market concentration (FAANG), options trading volumes being off the charts, and the parabolic charts of some stocks.

On top of that, Rasmussen polled Americans and has issued a VICTORY ALERT for President Trump – what a turnaround.

The same polling company actually found that tens of millions of Americans likely believe that a REAL McCoy Civil War is a possibility.

Courtesy: visualcapitalist.com

This chart has a lot to do with how America got here!

The ability to create currency and segregate it so it ends up in the hands of the rich and powerful to decide what to do with it has led to expensive asset prices, record buyback programs, no wage growth, and the worst income gap in history.

Think about the process of currency creation: how dollars are born and get pushed into the banking system where the institution cherishes safety and lends to the big and the wealthy, STARVING the real economy.

I personally bought shares yesterday, according to the watch lists we have previously published, taking nibbles at companies, not whole chunks.

NEVER buy a full allocation right off the bat; one can be fully correct on the potential of the company and COMPLETELY WRONG on the timing. Being flexible with your purchases (being patient about the process) is the tactic of successful investors.

Nothing is “now or never” – NOTHING. There’s always time to think things through.

The odds are fully in your favor; let the game come to you.

As I see it, if Joe Biden wins (despite this huge controversy with Hunter’s compromised dealings with China), between now and January 2021, it’s going to get sickening at times since the world will be paralyzed until Inauguration Day. If Trump wins, I still don’t expect SMOOTH SAILING because I think a contested result is coming either way, but Trump won’t lose a recount if he wins the initial vote.

THIS IS EXCITING.

 

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Lior Gantz: “It’s Unsustainable! America’s Debt Problem Is Out Of Hand”

Source: YouTube screenshot

Lior Gantz of Wealth Research Group recently sat down with Jake Ducey of the YouTube channel, I Love Prosperity to discuss the state of the economy and how to protect yourself from the coming debt-bubble price explosion.  The world is going to soon realize that America’s debt problem is out of hand, and simply not sustainable.

Gantz’s advice is to invest in gold and silver as a way to protect yourself from the coming debt bubble explosion and economic crash. In the coming years, people all over the world will begin to see the dollar as weak and notice that it isn’t the same fiat currency as it was before.

Ducey then asks Gantz about where we are going economically as far as inflation is concerned. Gantz says that we shouldn’t expect the Weimar Republic, but we should be prepared for negative rates by hoarding gold or silver.

The discussion of inflation is in-depth, but instead of fearing inflation, we should be more concerned about other elements all rolling together in this economy.

Gantz continues to suggest you have one year’s worth of savings, but you should also try to focus on growing a business for income increasing. You could also consider owning some mining stocks and other investments in gold and silver, for profit potential. Physical gold and silver will be a great investment too. Another great way is to ain some kind of marketable expert skill that could be utilized as income generation all the time. Because at some point, this whole debt-based system will crumble as it was designed to.

Be aware of what is going on in this insane economy. It probably won’t matter much who is elected. This destruction of the dollar is planned and orchestrated and it will be done to usher in the digital dollar of complete centralization and control.

Think It’s Bad Now? “It Doesn’t Matter Who Wins, The Dollar Is Going To Be DESTROYED!”

 

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ELECTION JITTERS: FULL-BLOWN MELTDOWN!

This article was contributed by Future Money Trends.

Yesterday, markets absolutely crashed hard.

What’s causing this unbelievable volatility? In one word, it’s the election. This November 3rd, the world’s leading economy, the one that holds the reserve currency status, could erupt into chaos.

The markets were sure that Biden will win due to the polls, which they couldn’t believe would be wrong again, but the reality is proving much more complicated.

For one, Hunter Biden’s scandal is getting suppressed at 20x the force that the bullion banks depressed silver at the turn of the decade. If Trump’s son was in the same shoes, there would have been no COVID-19 coverage anymore – his recordings would be playing 24/7 and spreading like fire on all social media platforms.

The United States media has lost all credibility and any sense of fairness or dignity.

Courtesy: U.S. Global Investors

October is notoriously the most volatile month of the calendar year, and the NASDAQ 100 is very close to another flash correction (-10%).

What we’re hearing from Jeff Gundlach, David Einhorn, and Stanley Druckenmiller is distressing and alarming. Gundlach is predicting a revolution this decade. Einhorn has called the top of the tech bubble (as of September 2nd). Druckenmiller is on edge.

Going back more than 120 years, the data shows that October is a unique month; for some reason, the biggest market crashes occur within this calendar month.

Courtesy: SeekingAlpha.com

As you can see, the tech bubble of today is only half as expensive as the one in the 2000s, so before we start predicting a great depression 2.0, know that we personally don’t treat this volatility as the telltale signs of a huge meltdown.

We acknowledge the fact that stocks are expensive, but we also know that times are different.

Therefore, keep “living” what’s going on instead of looking to build fantasy scripts in your mind like the ones I read about every day that forecast -80% drops as if those occur every Monday morning.

The worst black swan event in a century only managed to move markets down by -35% in March, so think of what -80% really entails…

Courtesy: Zerohedge.com

We live in a world of expensive assets and zero-percent interest rates. At some point in the coming years, the whole thing will have to be reversed, neutralized, or reset – IT’S MADNESS.

On the other side of this chaos, I expect the motherlode of all stimulus packages – wait for fireworks, even if they take a couple of months to kick in.

Governments are under severe threat of existential legitimacy and people want money. They will GET IT, and that is a clear catalyst for commodities.

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Greg Mannarino: “They Want People Desperate. People Aren’t Desperate Enough”

Greg Mannarino says the stock market will continue to rise for now and expect more debt after the election to spur inflation. The big goal now is to destroy the middle class and make people desperate. And they aren’t yet desperate enough.

Another lockdown that impoverishes more and takes the livelihoods of hundreds of thousands more people could very well be coming down the pike. Already, “more Americans are going hungry today than we have seen in the last  75 years. That’s pretty profound,” says Mannarino.

That says a lot about the current financial state of affairs in this country right now.  But unless people get more desperate, they won’t be taking the central bank’s new digital dollar, which will be tracked, traced, taxed, and tied to a social credit score.  You can be eliminated at will and prevented from spending money if the powers-that-shouldn’t-be decide it.

This should honestly horrify everyone.  Our permanent enslavement is around the corner if we don’t wake up and stop letting political psychopaths and central banks dictate our lives. If you want a clear picture of what the establishment ruling class wants, it’s the New World Order and can be summed up by reading this article:

If America had any sense, we would be locking down again now

Poverty must occur to create dependence on the system in order for this to work in the elitists’ factor.  Once you understand the end game, you should know their next moves, at least to some extent.

This market is all fake, everything is staged, and we are living in a Matrix far too many are hopelessly dependent upon.

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WARNING: We’re Too Early – GOLD MELTDOWN!

This article was contributed by the Wealth Research Group. 

Since June 2019 (the past 16 months), 8 gold and silver companies that have enjoyed triple-digit gains have been featured in these pages. Among them, one company has even rallied over 1,000% — companies that we’ve been following for 3-4 years have seen 600% and 700% appreciations, while others have been uplisted to the NYSE. Truly, in the past 16 months, we could do no wrong.

Those who were brave enough to look the devil in the eye in March and April and capitalize on the panic – when TV screens the world over were broadcasting people dropping dead on the streets of China – have been able to enjoy generationally-high returns in just 6-8 months — buying the crash was, as it always is, the best opportunity to make sensational returns.

But, since gold peaked in August, nothing has worked in the mining sector. At least three companies that have been featured here since then, as potential opportunities for you to independently watch, study, and research, are now 30% – 50% cheaper than they were when these were first presented here, along with their business models. It’s a key lesson in the importance of trading tactics, such as (1) splitting purchases into increments in order to sustain blows better, (2) taking time to build positions, (3) being early, and (4) tolerating risk and volatility.

Somehow, in the past three to four weeks, investors have become convinced (so much so that they’re willing to swear by it) that Joe Biden is heading towards a landslide victory.

Courtesy: Zerohedge.com

As such, they’ve created the following script in their minds:

* A Biden victory is going to make it extremely difficult for Washington to achieve anything between now and the January inauguration.

* No stimulus bill will be passed. If one does pass both parties’ demands, it will be small.

* Therefore, we have no way of knowing how things will develop. In the meantime, we (as in the investment community) will settle for a large cash position.

As you can see by the chart above, everyone and their mama is betting on higher interest rates, for the time being.

I’ve been investing since June 2000, when at age 16, with three years’ worth of babysitting and basketball tutoring savings (which I’ve gathered since the age of 13), my personal banker had convinced my parents that I was mature enough to invest money in the markets. He got them to sign a waiver, so that I, a minor at the time, could buy equities.

Rarely have I made a decision in the twenty years since, which had anything to do with who was in the White House, since 73% of my net worth is tied to long-term strategies, not to cyclical trades. But when it comes to mining stocks, unless one is willing to absorb the risks of timing his trades wrongly and seeing -50% temporary plunges (which, at times, could even turn into permanent ones, cutting losses when things go south and moving on), one SHOULD NOT ever be in the commodities sector.

Even the world’s best gold stock can’t appreciate in price when gravity is pulling it in the opposite direction. Trading mining stocks boils down to the art of cutting losers fast and sticking with winners for the long haul.

THEORETICAL EXAMPLE: (Total portfolio size $50,000):
* Proper Asset Allocation: Speculative portfolio size (15%, $7,500).
* Proper Diversification: Ten companies, each making up $750, or 1.5% of total portfolio.
* Proper Position Sizing / Stop Loss: Each investment is made in increments of three – 33% initially ($250), additional 33% ($250) if/when the stock falls 20%, last 33% ($250) if/when stock falls another 20%; stop-loss to be set to 36%, below FINAL cost-basis.

Breakdown: Company (A) trades for $1.00. Initial outlay is made ($250 @ $1.00). The stock falls to 80c, so secondary outlay is made ($250 @ $0.80). Commodity prices continue dragging mining stocks down another 20% to 64c, so final outlay is made ($250 @ $0.64). Overall cost-basis: $0.813. Stop-loss is set to: 0.813 *0.64 = $0.52.

Risk/Reward: If the company does what it sets to do: 500% potential returns – (don’t do for less). If company (A) fails or if the commodity cycle turns bearish, potential loss: 36%.
In numbers: $1,000 could turn into $5,000 (winner) or to $640 (loser), so the equation is risking $360 in order to potentially make $4,000, an 11:1 risk/reward set up.

The biggest investment mistake people make, in my opinion, is buying the whole position on day 1.

Right now, the entire investment community is sure of a Biden victory, which will lead to a few months of wait-and-see until the inauguration.

Courtesy: Zerohedge.com

There are long-term trends in place, mixed with short-term sentiment moves. Right now, within the context of a bull market for gold and silver, there’s a short-term trade of higher bond yields. This will hurt precious metals.

Gold could fall to $1,820 and silver to $23/ounce. The mining stocks could undergo a brutal correction phase.

One has to make an individual decision, which boils down to this: Am I willing to stomach a rollercoaster ride until gold surpasses $2,000 again and reaches green pastures?

If one answers YES, then this weakness is a buying opportunity.

If one answers NO, then this weakness is a chance to sell and come back later, when the momentum is strong again.

It doesn’t look good for precious metals in the immediate-term, but looking past January 2021, the case for $2,500 to $3,000 gold is well intact, according to the world’s most sophisticated investors:

Courtesy: U.S. Global Investors

The Ball Is In Your Court!

The post WARNING: We’re Too Early – GOLD MELTDOWN! first appeared on SHTF Plan – When It Hits The Fan, Don't Say We Didn't Warn You.

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WARNING: We’re Too Early – GOLD MELTDOWN!

This article was contributed by the Wealth Research Group. 

Since June 2019 (the past 16 months), 8 gold and silver companies that have enjoyed triple-digit gains have been featured in these pages. Among them, one company has even rallied over 1,000% — companies that we’ve been following for 3-4 years have seen 600% and 700% appreciations, while others have been uplisted to the NYSE. Truly, in the past 16 months, we could do no wrong.

Those who were brave enough to look the devil in the eye in March and April and capitalize on the panic – when TV screens the world over were broadcasting people dropping dead on the streets of China – have been able to enjoy generationally-high returns in just 6-8 months — buying the crash was, as it always is, the best opportunity to make sensational returns.

But, since gold peaked in August, nothing has worked in the mining sector. At least three companies that have been featured here since then, as potential opportunities for you to independently watch, study, and research, are now 30% – 50% cheaper than they were when these were first presented here, along with their business models. It’s a key lesson in the importance of trading tactics, such as (1) splitting purchases into increments in order to sustain blows better, (2) taking time to build positions, (3) being early, and (4) tolerating risk and volatility.

Somehow, in the past three to four weeks, investors have become convinced (so much so that they’re willing to swear by it) that Joe Biden is heading towards a landslide victory.

Courtesy: Zerohedge.com

As such, they’ve created the following script in their minds:

* A Biden victory is going to make it extremely difficult for Washington to achieve anything between now and the January inauguration.

* No stimulus bill will be passed. If one does pass both parties’ demands, it will be small.

* Therefore, we have no way of knowing how things will develop. In the meantime, we (as in the investment community) will settle for a large cash position.

As you can see by the chart above, everyone and their mama is betting on higher interest rates, for the time being.

I’ve been investing since June 2000, when at age 16, with three years’ worth of babysitting and basketball tutoring savings (which I’ve gathered since the age of 13), my personal banker had convinced my parents that I was mature enough to invest money in the markets. He got them to sign a waiver, so that I, a minor at the time, could buy equities.

Rarely have I made a decision in the twenty years since, which had anything to do with who was in the White House, since 73% of my net worth is tied to long-term strategies, not to cyclical trades. But when it comes to mining stocks, unless one is willing to absorb the risks of timing his trades wrongly and seeing -50% temporary plunges (which, at times, could even turn into permanent ones, cutting losses when things go south and moving on), one SHOULD NOT ever be in the commodities sector.

Even the world’s best gold stock can’t appreciate in price when gravity is pulling it in the opposite direction. Trading mining stocks boils down to the art of cutting losers fast and sticking with winners for the long haul.

THEORETICAL EXAMPLE: (Total portfolio size $50,000):
* Proper Asset Allocation: Speculative portfolio size (15%, $7,500).
* Proper Diversification: Ten companies, each making up $750, or 1.5% of total portfolio.
* Proper Position Sizing / Stop Loss: Each investment is made in increments of three – 33% initially ($250), additional 33% ($250) if/when the stock falls 20%, last 33% ($250) if/when stock falls another 20%; stop-loss to be set to 36%, below FINAL cost-basis.

Breakdown: Company (A) trades for $1.00. Initial outlay is made ($250 @ $1.00). The stock falls to 80c, so secondary outlay is made ($250 @ $0.80). Commodity prices continue dragging mining stocks down another 20% to 64c, so final outlay is made ($250 @ $0.64). Overall cost-basis: $0.813. Stop-loss is set to: 0.813 *0.64 = $0.52.

Risk/Reward: If the company does what it sets to do: 500% potential returns – (don’t do for less). If company (A) fails or if the commodity cycle turns bearish, potential loss: 36%.
In numbers: $1,000 could turn into $5,000 (winner) or to $640 (loser), so the equation is risking $360 in order to potentially make $4,000, an 11:1 risk/reward set up.

The biggest investment mistake people make, in my opinion, is buying the whole position on day 1.

Right now, the entire investment community is sure of a Biden victory, which will lead to a few months of wait-and-see until the inauguration.

Courtesy: Zerohedge.com

There are long-term trends in place, mixed with short-term sentiment moves. Right now, within the context of a bull market for gold and silver, there’s a short-term trade of higher bond yields. This will hurt precious metals.

Gold could fall to $1,820 and silver to $23/ounce. The mining stocks could undergo a brutal correction phase.

One has to make an individual decision, which boils down to this: Am I willing to stomach a rollercoaster ride until gold surpasses $2,000 again and reaches green pastures?

If one answers YES, then this weakness is a buying opportunity.

If one answers NO, then this weakness is a chance to sell and come back later, when the momentum is strong again.

It doesn’t look good for precious metals in the immediate-term, but looking past January 2021, the case for $2,500 to $3,000 gold is well intact, according to the world’s most sophisticated investors:

Courtesy: U.S. Global Investors

The Ball Is In Your Court!

The post WARNING: We’re Too Early – GOLD MELTDOWN! first appeared on SHTF Plan – When It Hits The Fan, Don't Say We Didn't Warn You.

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Doug Casey: “I Wonder If The U.S. Isn’t Devolving Into A 3rd World Country”

In an interview with Kenneth Ameduri of Crush the Street, infamous analyst, and author Doug Casey. Casey didn’t mince words and came down hard on the ruling class and the establishment terrorizing all of us.

Casey begins the interview by explaining that neither Donald Trump nor Joe Biden said anything of substance during the recent presidential debates. In fact, he wondered “if the U.S. isn’t devolving into a third world county” as the people put all of their hope and faith in the government on one side or the other.

Casey then touches on the subject of big social media giants and their censorship campaign.  He’s hoping that they [social media] are going to  “cut their own throats” by continuing to centralize power and attempt to control speech. He also makes the good point that without direct and indirect subsidies from the government these social media giants would be midgets.

“The Constitution is a dead letter,” says Casey. “It’s a document that exists, but it’s not observed.” He adds that he’s not a fan of democracy either “It’s two wolves and sheep deciding what to have for dinner,”  he says. “Democracy is mob rule dressed up in a coat and tie.”

Casy’s interview sheds light on the biggest problem we face today: politics. The government has initiated a power grab many have missed and even more people are unaware of. Our future is bleak if we continue down this path. The printing of money is going to be catastrophic, Casey says of our economic situation. We will see the destruction of the dollar.

Because of that, he’s staying away from all stocks, except gold mining stocks.

All of the awakening of the coming “Greater Depression” is forcing people to reevaluate central banking and control. This coming depression will be worse than the unpleasantness of 1929-1946, Casey adds.  And a lot of people are figuring it out and dumping the dollar for gold, silver, and Bitcoin.

 

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US Manufacturing Disappoints In Early October PMI Data As Election Anxiety Builds

This article was originally published by Tyler Durden at ZeroHedge. 

After a mixed bag of PMI data from Europe (UK ugly, Services weak compared to Manufacturing), preliminary October data for both segments of the US economy were expected to rise (despite a trend towards weaker macro data for the last two months).

Interestingly, US saw a mirror image of Europe – with Manufacturing disappointing (53.3 vs 53.5 3exp) and Services stronger (56.0 vs 54.6 exp)

Source: Bloomberg

The combination proved enough though to lift the US Composite index to 20-month highs and suggest economic growth is rebounding confidently…

Commenting on the flash PMI data, Chris Williamson, Chief Business Economist at IHS Markit, said:

The US economy looks to have started the fourth quarter on a strong footing, with business activity growing at a rate not seen since early 2019. The service sector led the expansion as increasing numbers of companies adapted to life with COVID19, while manufacturing continued to report solid growth amid rising demand from households and businesses.

A slowdown in hiring and weaker new order inflows were in part attributable to hesitancy in decision making ahead of the presidential election. More encouragingly, business optimism surged higher, indicating that firms have become increasingly positive about prospects for the coming year amid hopes of renewed stimulus, COVID-19 containment measures gradually easing and greater certainty for businesses a and households after the presidential elections.”

Perhaps most worrying for The Fed, however, is that Markit found “Inflationary pressures also eased. Despite a further strong rise in cost burdens, service providers sought to generate more sales and limit increases in output charges.”

Get back to work Mr.Powell!

The post US Manufacturing Disappoints In Early October PMI Data As Election Anxiety Builds first appeared on SHTF Plan – When It Hits The Fan, Don't Say We Didn't Warn You.

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